Best film - True Grit
This category is the Grand National of the Oscars, withThe King's Speech and The Social Network the front-runners. My choice,True Grit is a beautifully crafted affair, that combines a majestic sweep with trademark Coen bros' black humour.
ODDS 20/1. Favourite: The Social Network (1/3)
Best director - Daron Aronofsky (Black Swan)
Whatever the story Aronofsky is telling, he attacks it in the same febrile, uninhibited way. Natalie Portman may give a bravura performance but her virtuosity is more than matched by his, via swooping camerawork, close-ups and horror-film style sequences.
ODDS 25/1. Favourite: David Fincher/Social Network (1/16)
Best Actor - Colin Firth (The King's Speech)
It would be perverse if Colin Firth's turn as the stuttering British monarch was ignored. The film takes a weirdly deferential approach to royalty, but Firth ensures that The King's Speech has heart and never seems like just another piece of British heritage cinema.
ODDS 1/20 (favourite)
Best actress - Annette Bening (The Kids are All Right)
Actresses in comedies don't often win awards. This year Bening, as a lesbian mum, is up against Natalie Portman and Nicole Kidman, who emote in a way that she doesn't. But hers is the outstanding performance – imperious, funny and moving.
ODDS 5/1. Favourite: Natalie Portman/Black Swan (1/9)