Oscar pundits favor new frontrunners as ceremony nears

With the film awards season drawing to a close and the Oscars a few days away, the frontrunners have been well determined by fairly consistent wins, from critics awards and the Golden Globes to the professional guilds and BAFTA, the British film academy.

Across the board, predictions of Oscar winners over a month ago from The Hollywood Reporter, film bloggers, and other sources were different than they are in the days leading up to the ceremony, particularly in the Best Picture category. The Social Network had been the leading favorite after it took the majority of awards, including the Golden Globes. But since then, the odds have shifted.

After The King's Speech won the Producers Guild award and its director Tom Hooper won the Directors Guild award, the film gained momentum. Now the film about the royal stutterer seems the likely nominee to be crowned at the Academy Awards, telecast live on Sunday, February 27, 8 pm ET/5 pm PT from Hollywood's Kodak Theater.

David Fincher, director of The Social Network, about the founding of Facebook, is still in the running for the Best Director trophy, according to pundits, and there could be an upset in the category of Best Picture.

Last year, the toss-up was between The Hurt Locker and Avatar for Best Picture, which The Hurt Locker won. Generally, the same film wins Best Director and Best Picture.

As for the Vegas odds, Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports operations at Wynn Las Vegas, had very different odds in December than February. His previous pick for Best Picture, following the favorites at the time, was The Social Network, 2-to-3 with The King's Speech, whose odds were 5-to-2.

The acting awards frontrunners are consistent with winners of previous awards, from the Screen Acting Guild to the Golden Globes. Though there could always be an upset, Colin Firth seems a lock for The King's Speech. Annette Bening could win over the favorite Natalie Portman.

Inception's Christopher Nolan was shut out of the Best Director category but the film is likely to take many of the technical awards.

Based on behind-the-scenes info, The Hollywood Reporter magazine released picks for the winners in its current issue on February 23:

Best Picture: The King's Speech
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay: David Seidler, The King's Speech

Other awards include Best Cinematography, predicted as going to True Grit's Roger Deakins, and Best Song, likely to be given to Toy Story 3's "We Belong Together" by Randy Newman.

Best Foreign Language Film and Best Documentary are up for grabs so at least there will be some surprises at the event, although Biutiful (Mexico) could be the winner. Inside Job, about the recent financial meltdown, and Banksy's Exit Through the Gift Shop are the documentary frontrunners.

Forecasts in the Gold Derby, an awards tracker previously seen in The Los Angeles Times, agrees with the above listing of favorites to win based on film "experts" from weekly entertainment magazines such as US Weekly, television news source CNN, film blogs like Cinematical.com, and trade publications including The Hollywood Reporter.

Actors Anne Hathaway ( Alice in Wonderland) and James Franco ( 127 Hours) are co-hosting the Oscars ceremony on February 27. In preparation, Franco started posting on Twitter, gaining 152,675 followers since February 18, at http://twitter.com/jamesfranco and on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/JamesFranco.

http://www.goldderby.com


http://www.oscars.org

RC

 

Arts and Entertainment

books
Arts and Entertainment
The party's over: Paul Higgins and Stella Gonet in 'Hope' at the Royal Court

theatre
Arts and Entertainment
Brendan O'Carroll as Agnes Brown in the 2014 Mrs Brown's Boys Christmas special

Broadcaster unveils Christmas schedule

TV
Arts and Entertainment
'Irritatingly Disneyfied': fashion vlogger Zoella

books
Arts and Entertainment
Matthew Bell in the new BBC series Posh People: Inside Tatler

Review: Posh journalists just can't get enough of each other

TV
PROMOTED VIDEO
Arts and Entertainment
Look out: Broad shoulders take Idris Elba’s DCI John Luther a long way
tvIdris Elba will appear in two special episodes for the BBC next year
Arts and Entertainment
Taylor Swift is dominating album and singles charts worldwide

music
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Arts and Entertainment

ebooksNow available in paperback
Arts and Entertainment

ebooks
Arts and Entertainment
Kieron Richardson plays gay character Ste Hay in Channel 4 soap Hollyoaks

tv
Arts and Entertainment
Midge Ure and Sir Bob Geldof outside the Notting Hill recording studios for Band Aid 30

music
Arts and Entertainment
Look out: Broad shoulders take Idris Elba’s DCI John Luther a long way
tvIdris Elba will appear in two special episodes for the BBC next year
Arts and Entertainment
Jake Quickenden and Edwina Currie are joining the I'm A Celebrity...Get Me Out Of Here! camp
tvThe two new contestants will join the 'I'm A Celebrity' camp after Gemma Collins' surprise exit
News
The late Jimmy Ruffin, pictured in 1974
people
News
Northern Uproar, pictured in 1996
people

Jeff Fletcher found fame in 1990s

Arts and Entertainment
A scene from the new Paddington bear review

Review: Paddingtonfilm
Arts and Entertainment
Tony stares at the 'Daddy Big Ears' drawing his abducted son Oliver drew for him in The Missing
tvReview: But we're no closer to the truth in 'The Missing'
Arts and Entertainment
Henry Marsh said he was rather 'pleased' at the nomination
booksHenry Marsh's 'Do No Harm' takes doctors off their pedestal
Arts and Entertainment
All in a day's work: the players in the forthcoming 'Posh People: Inside Tatler'

tv
Arts and Entertainment
Eddie Redmayne plays Stephen Hawking in new biopic The Imitation Game

'At times I thought he was me'

film
Arts and Entertainment

books
Arts and Entertainment
One Direction go Fourth: The boys pose on the cover of their new album Four

Review: One Direction, Four

music
Arts and Entertainment
'Game of Thrones' writer George RR Martin

Review: The World of Ice and Fire

books
Arts and Entertainment
Sean Bean will play 'extraordinary hero' Inspector John Marlott in The Frankenstein Chronicles
tvHow long before he gets killed off?
Arts and Entertainment
Some like it hot: Blaise Bellville

music
Arts and Entertainment
A costume worn by model Kate Moss for the 2013 photograph

art
Arts and Entertainment

music
Arts and Entertainment
Len Goodman appeared to mutter the F-word after Simon Webbe's Strictly performance

Strictly
Arts and Entertainment
Jamie T makes his long-awaited return to the London stage
musicReview: Alexandra Palace, London
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?

ES Rentals

    Independent Dating
    and  

    By clicking 'Search' you
    are agreeing to our
    Terms of Use.

    Homeless Veterans Christmas Appeal: Drifting and forgotten - turning lives around for ex-soldiers

    Homeless Veterans Christmas Appeal: Turning lives around for ex-soldiers

    Our partner charities help veterans on the brink – and get them back on their feet
    Putin’s far-right ambition: Think-tank reveals how Russian President is wooing – and funding – populist parties across Europe to gain influence in the EU

    Putin’s far-right ambition

    Think-tank reveals how Russian President is wooing – and funding – populist parties across Europe to gain influence in the EU
    Tove Jansson's Moominland: What was the inspiration for Finland's most famous family?

    Escape to Moominland

    What was the inspiration for Finland's most famous family?
    Nightclubbing with Richard Young: The story behind his latest book of celebrity photographs

    24-Hour party person

    Photographer Richard Young has been snapping celebrities at play for 40 years. As his latest book is released, he reveals that it wasn’t all fun and games
    Michelle Obama's school dinners: America’s children have a message for the First Lady

    A taste for rebellion

    US children have started an online protest against Michelle Obama’s drive for healthy school meals by posting photos of their lunches
    Colouring books for adults: How the French are going crazy for Crayolas

    Colouring books for adults

    How the French are going crazy for Crayolas
    Jack Thorne's play 'Hope': What would you do as a local politician faced with an impossible choice of cuts?

    What would you do as a local politician faced with an impossible choice of cuts?

    Playwright Jack Thorne's latest work 'Hope' poses the question to audiences
    Ed Harcourt on Romeo Beckham and life as a court composer at Burberry

    Call me Ed Mozart

    Paloma Faith, Lana del Ray... Romeo Beckham. Ed Harcourt has proved that he can write for them all. But it took a personal crisis to turn him from indie star to writer-for-hire
    10 best stocking fillers for foodies

    Festive treats: 10 best stocking fillers for foodies

    From boozy milk to wasabi, give the food-lover in your life some extra-special, unusual treats to wake up to on Christmas morning
    Phil Hughes head injury: He had one weakness – it has come back to haunt him

    Phil Hughes had one weakness – it has come back to haunt him

    Prolific opener had world at his feet until Harmison and Flintoff bounced him
    'I have an age of attraction that starts as low as four': How do you deal with a paedophile who has never committed a crime?

    'I am a paedophile'

    Is our approach to sex offenders helping to create more victims?
    How bad do you have to be to lose a Home Office contract?

    How bad do you have to be to lose a Home Office contract?

    Serco given Yarl’s Wood immigration contract despite ‘vast failings’
    Green Party on the march in Bristol: From a lost deposit to victory

    From a lost deposit to victory

    Green Party on the march in Bristol
    Putting the grot right into Santa's grotto

    Winter blunderlands

    Putting the grot into grotto
    'It just came to us, why not do it naked?' London's first nude free runner captured in breathtaking images across capital

    'It just came to us, why not do it naked?'

    London's first nude free runner captured in breathtaking images across capital