Oscar pundits favor new frontrunners as ceremony nears

With the film awards season drawing to a close and the Oscars a few days away, the frontrunners have been well determined by fairly consistent wins, from critics awards and the Golden Globes to the professional guilds and BAFTA, the British film academy.

Across the board, predictions of Oscar winners over a month ago from The Hollywood Reporter, film bloggers, and other sources were different than they are in the days leading up to the ceremony, particularly in the Best Picture category. The Social Network had been the leading favorite after it took the majority of awards, including the Golden Globes. But since then, the odds have shifted.

After The King's Speech won the Producers Guild award and its director Tom Hooper won the Directors Guild award, the film gained momentum. Now the film about the royal stutterer seems the likely nominee to be crowned at the Academy Awards, telecast live on Sunday, February 27, 8 pm ET/5 pm PT from Hollywood's Kodak Theater.

David Fincher, director of The Social Network, about the founding of Facebook, is still in the running for the Best Director trophy, according to pundits, and there could be an upset in the category of Best Picture.

Last year, the toss-up was between The Hurt Locker and Avatar for Best Picture, which The Hurt Locker won. Generally, the same film wins Best Director and Best Picture.

As for the Vegas odds, Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports operations at Wynn Las Vegas, had very different odds in December than February. His previous pick for Best Picture, following the favorites at the time, was The Social Network, 2-to-3 with The King's Speech, whose odds were 5-to-2.

The acting awards frontrunners are consistent with winners of previous awards, from the Screen Acting Guild to the Golden Globes. Though there could always be an upset, Colin Firth seems a lock for The King's Speech. Annette Bening could win over the favorite Natalie Portman.

Inception's Christopher Nolan was shut out of the Best Director category but the film is likely to take many of the technical awards.

Based on behind-the-scenes info, The Hollywood Reporter magazine released picks for the winners in its current issue on February 23:

Best Picture: The King's Speech
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay: David Seidler, The King's Speech

Other awards include Best Cinematography, predicted as going to True Grit's Roger Deakins, and Best Song, likely to be given to Toy Story 3's "We Belong Together" by Randy Newman.

Best Foreign Language Film and Best Documentary are up for grabs so at least there will be some surprises at the event, although Biutiful (Mexico) could be the winner. Inside Job, about the recent financial meltdown, and Banksy's Exit Through the Gift Shop are the documentary frontrunners.

Forecasts in the Gold Derby, an awards tracker previously seen in The Los Angeles Times, agrees with the above listing of favorites to win based on film "experts" from weekly entertainment magazines such as US Weekly, television news source CNN, film blogs like Cinematical.com, and trade publications including The Hollywood Reporter.

Actors Anne Hathaway ( Alice in Wonderland) and James Franco ( 127 Hours) are co-hosting the Oscars ceremony on February 27. In preparation, Franco started posting on Twitter, gaining 152,675 followers since February 18, at http://twitter.com/jamesfranco and on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/JamesFranco.

http://www.goldderby.com


http://www.oscars.org

RC

 

Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Arts and Entertainment

ebooksNow available in paperback
Arts and Entertainment

ebooks
Arts and Entertainment

film
Arts and Entertainment
Chvrches lead singer Lauren Mayberry in the band's new video 'Leave a Trace'

music
Arts and Entertainment

music
Arts and Entertainment
Home on the raunch: George Bisset (Aneurin Barnard), Lady Seymour Worsley (Natalie Dormer) and Richard Worsley (Shaun Evans)

TV review
Arts and Entertainment

TV
Arts and Entertainment
Strictly Come Dancing was watched by 6.9m viewers

Strictly
Arts and Entertainment
NWA biopic Straight Outta Compton

film
Arts and Entertainment
Natalie Dormer as Margaery Tyrell and Lena Headey as Cersei Lannister in Game of Thrones

Game of Thrones
Arts and Entertainment
New book 'The Rabbit Who Wants To Fall Asleep' by Carl-Johan Forssen Ehrlin

books
Arts and Entertainment
Calvi is not afraid of exploring the deep stuff: loneliness, anxiety, identity, reinvention
music
Arts and Entertainment
Edinburgh solo performers Neil James and Jessica Sherr
comedy
Arts and Entertainment
If a deal to buy tBeats, founded by hip-hop star Dr Dre (pictured) and music producer Jimmy Iovine went through, it would be Apple’s biggest ever acquisition

album review
Arts and Entertainment
Paloma Faith is joining The Voice as a new coach

TV
Arts and Entertainment
Dowton Abbey has been pulling in 'telly tourists', who are visiting Highclere House in Berkshire

TV
Arts and Entertainment

TV
Arts and Entertainment
Patriot games: Vic Reeves featured in ‘Very British Problems’
TV review
Arts and Entertainment
film review
Arts and Entertainment
Summer nights: ‘Wet Hot American Summer: First Day of Camp’
TVBut what do we Brits really know about them?
Arts and Entertainment
Dr Michael Mosley is a game presenter

TV review
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
SPONSORED FEATURES

ES Rentals

    Independent Dating
    and  

    By clicking 'Search' you
    are agreeing to our
    Terms of Use.

    Orthorexia nervosa: How becoming obsessed with healthy eating can lead to malnutrition

    Orthorexia nervosa

    How becoming obsessed with healthy eating can lead to malnutrition
    Lady Chatterley is not obscene, says TV director

    Lady Chatterley’s Lover

    Director Jed Mercurio on why DH Lawrence's novel 'is not an obscene story'
    Farmers in tropical forests are training ants to kill off bigger pests

    Set a pest to catch a pest

    Farmers in tropical forests are training ants to kill off bigger pests
    Mexico: A culture that celebrates darkness as an essential part of life

    The dark side of Mexico

    A culture that celebrates darkness as an essential part of life
    Being sexually assaulted was not your fault, Chrissie Hynde. Don't tell other victims it was theirs

    Being sexually assaulted was not your fault, Chrissie Hynde

    Please don't tell other victims it was theirs
    A nap a day could save your life - and here's why

    A nap a day could save your life

    A midday nap is 'associated with reduced blood pressure'
    If men are so obsessed by sex, why do they clam up when confronted with the grisly realities?

    If men are so obsessed by sex...

    ...why do they clam up when confronted with the grisly realities?
    The comedy titans of Avalon on their attempt to save BBC3

    Jon Thoday and Richard Allen-Turner

    The comedy titans of Avalon on their attempt to save BBC3
    The bathing machine is back... but with a difference

    Rolling in the deep

    The bathing machine is back but with a difference
    Part-privatised tests, new age limits, driverless cars: Tories plot motoring revolution

    Conservatives plot a motoring revolution

    Draft report reveals biggest reform to regulations since driving test introduced in 1935
    The Silk Roads that trace civilisation: Long before the West rose to power, Asian pathways were connecting peoples and places

    The Silk Roads that trace civilisation

    Long before the West rose to power, Asian pathways were connecting peoples and places
    House of Lords: Outcry as donors, fixers and MPs caught up in expenses scandal are ennobled

    The honours that shame Britain

    Outcry as donors, fixers and MPs caught up in expenses scandal are ennobled
    When it comes to street harassment, we need to talk about race

    'When it comes to street harassment, we need to talk about race'

    Why are black men living the stereotypes and why are we letting them get away with it?
    International Tap Festival: Forget Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers - this dancing is improvised, spontaneous and rhythmic

    International Tap Festival comes to the UK

    Forget Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers - this dancing is improvised, spontaneous and rhythmic
    War with Isis: Is Turkey's buffer zone in Syria a matter of self-defence – or just anti-Kurd?

    Turkey's buffer zone in Syria: self-defence – or just anti-Kurd?

    Ankara accused of exacerbating racial division by allowing Turkmen minority to cross the border