John Curtice

John Kevin Curtice is an academic who is currently Professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyde

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The Conservatives should not be spooked by Nigel Farage

The three main parties suffered in the polls this year. Only UKIP truly did well

Never before has a wholly independent fourth party enjoyed such support

Analysis: Coalition may have its troubles after Ukip's rise - but Ed Miliband still has to prove he can capitalise on them

Many a Conservative MP feared the worst when the local ballot boxes were opened. Their concerns were fully realised.

John Curtice: Ukip are the moral victors of Eastleigh

The party has once again scaled heights that only a little while ago seemed unimaginable

John Curtice: Mid-term loss for the Tories has proved Ukip’s gain

The principal electoral development of 2012 was the advent of mid-term blues for the Conservatives. The party began the year well, with a narrow lead over Labour, one secured the previous month thanks to David Cameron’s European veto.

Ukip is sucking up voters Tories can ill afford to lose

Analysis: Recent figures suggest a 1 per cent swing from Conservative to Labour in 2015

Size discrepancies of police force areas put Labour at a disadvantage

To emerge as the winner, Labour will need to outperform its current poll position

Lincoln (March 1973): Labour’s Dick Taverne forced this by-election when he quit the party over its anti-Common Market stance and contested it under the label Democratic Labour. He stormed home with 58 per cent support.

John Curtice: Was this the biggest shock in by-election history? Not quite...

"The most sensational result in British by-election history, bar none," was George Galloway's proud boast on being declared Bradford West's new MP. Well almost, and, perhaps more importantly, maybe not the most significant by-election success ever.

John Curtice: A solution that dare not speak its name

'Devo max' could suit both Scotland and the UK, but there are risks

Cold wind from Washington could blow away Labour's nine-point lead

The secret wish of most Labour MPs must be: "Oh that spring were here." Our latest NOP poll indicates Labour has opened a nine-point lead over Conservatives. If that were to materialise at the election, nearly every Labour MP could hold their seat, and Tony Blair would have a secure third term.

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