John Curtice

John Kevin Curtice is an academic who is currently Professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyde

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Ukip is sucking up voters Tories can ill afford to lose

Analysis: Recent figures suggest a 1 per cent swing from Conservative to Labour in 2015

Size discrepancies of police force areas put Labour at a disadvantage

To emerge as the winner, Labour will need to outperform its current poll position

Lincoln (March 1973): Labour’s Dick Taverne forced this by-election when he quit the party over its anti-Common Market stance and contested it under the label Democratic Labour. He stormed home with 58 per cent support.

John Curtice: Was this the biggest shock in by-election history? Not quite...

"The most sensational result in British by-election history, bar none," was George Galloway's proud boast on being declared Bradford West's new MP. Well almost, and, perhaps more importantly, maybe not the most significant by-election success ever.

John Curtice: A solution that dare not speak its name

'Devo max' could suit both Scotland and the UK, but there are risks

Cold wind from Washington could blow away Labour's nine-point lead

The secret wish of most Labour MPs must be: "Oh that spring were here." Our latest NOP poll indicates Labour has opened a nine-point lead over Conservatives. If that were to materialise at the election, nearly every Labour MP could hold their seat, and Tony Blair would have a secure third term.

We may have three small losers rather than one big winner

One of the rituals of election night is the sight of politicians trying to argue that their party has done well irrespective of the outcome. At least one party usually has an easier job than the others. However, when the results of tomorrow's local and London elections are declared, all three main parties could be struggling.

The well-heeled of Kensington vote with their feet to make no party really happy

FOR MICHAEL PORTILLO the result was little short of perfect. But for Mr Hague, the outcome was yet another disappointment. Mr Portillo's re-entry into Westminster politics has predictably raised large questions about the future of his party.

So, could the Tories still triumph at the next election?

`There is a hint of uncertainty in the air as polls suggest that the shine is coming off New Labour'

Podium: Reality and illusion in Ulster

From a speech delivered by the professor of politics to the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association
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The Tory MP said he did not want to stand again unless his party's manifesto ruled out a third runway. But he's doing so. Watch this space
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Five voters from different backgrounds tell us what they expect from Syriza's charismatic leader Alexis Tsipras
From Iraq to Libya and Syria: The wars that come back to haunt us

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David Cameron should not escape blame for his role in conflicts that are still raging, argues Patrick Cockburn
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