Cash-starved companies face a £21bn loans squeeze this year as business lending falls to its lowest level since 2006, according to alarming new forecasts.
Smaller businesses will bear the brunt of a 4.6 per cent fall in corporate loans to £429bn this year, Ernst & Young's latest forecasts for the financial sector warn. Business lending should return to growth next year but will not recapture the 2008 heights for another four years, it adds.
The accountant blames the poor economic backdrop and tougher capital requirements for the shortfall as Britain's banks shrink their balance sheets by an estimated £300bn this year.
Carl Astorri, a senior economic adviser to the Ernst & Young ITEM Club, said: "The good news is that 2012 is likely to be the last year of such marked deleveraging in the UK. The bad news is that, once again, SMEs will bear the brunt of it. Government schemes to increase lending may help a lucky few but ... most small businesses are going to continue to feel the squeeze."
Ernst & Young added that loan rejection rates for businesses were rising, and warned that attempts to boost lending through the business bank set up by the Business Secretary, Vince Cable, are likely to fall well short of filling a £19bn "financing gap" faced by SMEs.
Mr Astorri said: "The figures suggest that the business bank's lending capacity could be exhausted in less than a year. Its impact will also be reduced by competition with private sector lending activity."Reuse content