Investment: A fistful of dollars
America's meltdown brings opportunities for UK speculators
Wednesday 07 November 2007
Latest in Mortgages
Property news from America has been unremittingly grim for months. The sub-prime lending crisis devastated the real-estate market, and the dollar is flat on its back.
But amid the wreckage, some British property investors are sensing opportunity. The combination of the property price dive and the weak dollar has given huge buying power to investors armed with sterling.
Reports from estate agents selling US property in the UK suggest that British buyers are already moving in. Adrian McDermott of Escapes2.comspecialises in the Orlando area of mid-Florida, and has seen a revival of interest after a long period of stagnation.
"We've been very quiet over the last 18 months but in the last few weeks there has been increasing interest from investors," he says. "A lot of investors have their currency organised and are waiting for the new year to see if the market has hit rock bottom."
The Orlando area is popular with British investors because Disney World and the other theme parks attract huge numbers of British tourists. This enables US landlords to market their properties over here as well as locally.
A huge surge of construction, however, had the effect of swamping the market, and prices have declined steeply. As a result, buyers can find bargains – especially on estates where the developer is keen to get rid of the last few units, the so-called "inventory stock".
"In the Orlando area there is an oversupply, and people who bought off plan two years ago are now coming up for completion, so buyers can negotiate substantial discounts of up to 20 per cent off the list price," McDermott says. "We have had clients arriving on the site in person and driving a hard bargain. A typical four-bedroom holiday home with swimming pool in Orlando costs around $300,000, which is now less than £150,000."
Investors are also looking at bargains from victims of the US property crisis who are facing repossession. In a process called "short sales", the investor buys the property at a discount from the owner with the agreement of the mortgage lender. The investor gets a bargain, the owner escapes debt-free, and the bank does not have to go to the expense of legal proceedings. Although this is perilously close to profiting from someone's misfortune, short sales can often be a relatively painless way out for families in distress.
The upmarket estate agents Savills has also seen a new interest in top-end US real estate. "We had stopped selling in the US completely but have just started again," says Charles Weston-Baker, who runs Savills' international arm.
Detailed research is needed to identify the areas that may be at the bottom of the property cycle. "It varies so much from place to place. In South Florida [the Miami area] there is massive oversupply and it is likely prices will reduce further, but in other areas there is limited supply and good demand," Weston-Baker says.
Savills is also selling apartments in the Spire, a dramatic new skyscraper in Chicago. Designed by the trendy Spanish architect and engineer Santiago Calatrava, the unicorn-spike tower will be the tallest all-residential building in the world when it is completed in 2011.
The Spire, though, will certainly not be cheap: prices range from $750,000 for a studio flat to $40m for the penthouse right at the pinnacle, 2,000ft above the ground.
The boutique developer Bonnie Copp has a unique perspective on the US and UK markets, as she operates both in London and New York. "Anyone coming over to the US with sterling at the moment finds that everything is incredibly cheap," she says. "It is like a third-world country. There is a huge influx of global buyers due to the weak dollar."
The sub-prime scandal directly impacts only the bottom end of the market. At the upper end, prices are affected only indirectly by the limited availability of mortgages, so cash buyers have a very considerable advantage in places such as Manhattan.
"The US market is still strong at the top end in good locations. New York is incredibly strong," Copp says.
- 1 Be prepared for the job axe to fall
- 2 Wealth Check: 'How can we put a bit aside to enjoy luxuries?'
- 3 Keep cool in the heat of an auction and bag a bargain
- 4 Does Co-op deal look tempting to energy switchers?
- 5 Make money as a mystery shopper
- 6 Money Insider: How to protect yourself from mortgage hikes
- 7 BBC to air allegations of UK firms avoiding tax
- 8 How to start your own internet business
- 9 'Rent to buy'? Good idea, but it's a shame about the small print
- 10 Ten ways to earn a second income
- 1 Mark Steel: Starve the Greeks and they'll feel better
- 2 Sex in dressing rooms and Play School presenters 'stoned out of their minds' - inside BBC Television Centre
- 3 Australia mourns 'Angel of the Gap' Don Ritchie, the man who talked 160 out of suicide
- 4 Fury as blind people hit by benefit reform
- 5 California, the ninth largest economy in the world, resorts to austerity
- 6 Ireland mourns comic talent as 'Father Ted' actor dies, aged 45
- 7 Grace Dent: Twitter might have turned into a party with 10 million guests, but I'm still loving every minute of it
- 8 The dark side of Dubai
- 9 QPR captain Joey Barton threatens to 'expose' Gary Lineker and says of Match of the Day pundit Alan Shearer - 'I despise him'
- 10 Coke reveals its secret: It may need to carry a cancer warning
Experience the Heineken Hub
Get free wi-fi and exclusive i content while you enjoy a tasty pint of Heineken at participating pubs.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Keeping pace with the London 2012 Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Enter the latest Independent competitions
Win anything from gadgets to five-star holidays on our competitions and offers page.
Business videos from commercial thought leaders
Watch the best in the business world give their insights into the world of business.
Career Services
Day In a Page
Charlie Duke: I see the Moon as a science station in the future
Facebook: Is it worth it?
So, Dave, is your top track 'money' or 'us and them'?



Comments