Games will not offer a winning opportunity
The Olympics are expected to give a £5.1bn boost to the economy. But UK investors are unlikely to benefit.
Hosting the Olympic Games has consistently failed to give a stock market boost. That's bad news for those backing UK firms over this summer's sporting events.
In January, Your Money looked at the prospects for the UK ahead of the London Olympics.
Then, Jon Wingent of Close Brothers Asset Management, said: "Hosting an Olympics enhances investment opportunities that might not otherwise be there such as travel, tourism, leisure and retail."
But analysis of the investment performance of the last five countries to host the Games paints a depressing picture. Only Greece and the US reported a small gain, but in China, Australia and Spain, the market fell over the period one month before the Games until their end (see graphic). The Barcelona Olympics actually saw an almost 15 per cent fall in Spanish stock markets.
Darius McDermott of Chelsea Financial Services pointed out: "Markets have generally traded sideways in the run up to and during the Olympic Games. This could be due to people's minds being on other things, but also because the Games tend to fall in the summer months when investors and trading can be quieter too."
But he said any potential uplift will have already been figured into markets while investors are, in any event, more concerned with macro issues at the moment.
"The investment benefits from the London Olympics have generally been played out already, with the exception of tourism," Mr McDermott said.
"The wider issues of unsolved European sovereign debt issues will outweigh any Olympic sentiment when it comes to stock market performance in the next few weeks."
Jonathan Barber of Threadneedle UK Monthly Income fund agreed.
"The positive impact of Olympic effects on the UK market pale into insignificance alongside macro events such as the further unfolding of the eurozone debt crisis and the outlook for global growth in 2012," he said. "These macro issues will continue to drive market volatility in the short term, particularly as three-quarters of UK corporate earnings come from overseas."
Julian Chillingworth, chief investment officer at Rathbones, said: "Any longer-term input in the economy will depend on how effectively the Olympic stadia and related buildings are exploited – something China did not do post the Beijing games. What we don't want is another Millennium Dome scenario."
Fen Sung, manager of the Premier China Enterprise fund, said China did see some short-term gains at the time of the 2008 Beijing Olympics.
"Tourism and construction were working well but the benefit was short-lived. A lot of money was spent, but the Bird's Nest Stadium – the focal point of the Games – is not being used today," he said.
Beyond that, why didn't China get more investment benefit from hosting the Games?
Charlie Awdry of the Henderson China Opportunities fund explained: "In China, investors didn't appreciate how disruptive hosting the Olympics was for business activity. In particular, we saw strong economic activity as business and construction was brought forward ahead of the Olympics.
"But then China seemed to have a national holiday for the duration of the Games and when people returned to work the global economic outlook had deteriorated. Activity levels fell and inventories had to be worked through which made the downturn even worse."
Debt in Britain: Numbers seeking help on how to cope with mounting bills goes up by more than half in three years
Bargain Hunter: BT improves its mobile reception with 'incredibly competitive' deals
Questions of Cash: Why was my case ignored by My Civil Service Pension?
Offset your mortgage and save thousands
Women to lose benefits from contracted-out pension scheme
- 1 Vladimir Putin says Russia will fight for the right of Palestinians to their own state
- 2 Ohio Democrat Teresa Fedor speaks out during abortion debate to reveal she has been raped – and is interrupted by laughter from Republicans
- 3 Germanwings plane crash: I have depression. That doesn't make me a psychopath
- 4 The West has it totally wrong on Lee Kuan Yew
- 5 The Gaza fisherman who built his own reef - and was shot dead there by an Israeli gunboat
Ukip supporters are 55 or older, white and socially conservative, finds British Social Attitudes Report
JK Rowling responds to fan tweeting she 'can't see' Dumbledore being gay
Jeremy Clarkson sacked live: Alan Yentob 'wouldn't rule out' ex Top Gear host's BBC return
Woman filmed launching racist tirade against men on the Tube for speaking in 'own lingo'
David Cameron calls Labour 'hopeless, sneering socialists' while announcing 7-day NHS plans
The West has it totally wrong on Lee Kuan Yew
iJobs Money & Business
Negotiable: Recruitment Genius: To provide a prompt, friendly and efficient se...
Negotiable: Recruitment Genius: You will be the first point of contact for all...
£18000 - £24000 per annum + benefits: Ashdown Group: HR, Payroll & Benefits Of...
£35000 - £38000 per annum + benefits : Ashdown Group: A highly successful, int...
Day In a Page
A four-bedroom apartment on the ground floor of a stunning period property in North Yorkshire, with two kitchens and a large south-west facing garden.
This high-spec two-bedroom home is part of a smart collection of new flats at Beaufort Park and has a large decked balcony that's perfect for summer drinks.
Capitalise on the fabulous views of Trevone Bay by taking two homes and creating one spacious boutique B&B. Just a cliff-top walk from Padstow.
Overlooking a golf course, this six-bedroom Edwardian detached home spans four storeys and retains many period features including the original, operational servants' bells...
On the edge of the city, this six-bedroom home comes with an outdoor swimming pool and a large garage block that has annexe potential.
In a Grade II-listed manor just outside of Bath, this three-bedroom home is arranged on two floors with a skylight in a vaulted roof line.
Open the living room's bi-fold wooden doors to reveal a retro-style kitchen, and a conservatory leading to a paved garden at this three-bedroom home.
A Grade II-listed, four-bedroom home, in a charming Somerset village, with a two-storey studio that could be converted into a holiday cottage
A modern four-bedroom Victorian home, within walking distance to the high street
A luxury apartment in the Gothic mansion of Wyfold Court in Kingwood, offers six bedrooms spread over three floors and a turret
This school conversion, near Stockwell Tube, oozes New York loft style. The one-bedroom flat features double height ceilings and exposed brick work
This six-bedroom Georgian home is on three floors with open fireplaces, a two-oven Aga, an annexe, and cottage gardens with outbuildings and a car barn
High Crest House covers an impressive 9384sq ft, with almost three acres of grounds including a tennis court and summer house enclosed by electric gates
A six-bedroom farmhouse with separate accommodation in converted stables. Situated in the village of Church Aston, within walking distance to the market town
A two-bedroom flat with under-heated walnut floors and bespoke built-in storage. The Tube and Clapham Common are a short stroll away
A refurbished seven-bedroom townhouse with staff quarters, cinema room, superb gym, steam room and plunge pool
A minimnalist four-bedroom home designed to the highest spec, featuring glass walls and a kitchen space lit by a glass roof
Hibernate during winter and make your living during the summer at this busy guesthouse with panoramic sea views, in the village of Lynton
A four-bedroom penthouse next to the Tate with direct views of St Paul's from two floors of luxurious living space
A four-bedroom detached home surrounded by spacious gardens and woodland, close to New Pudsey
An 18th-century, three-bedroom home near Langstone Harbour built from ships beams with vaulted ceilings and wood burning stoves
A five-bedroom semi-detached home with a mix of period and modern features in a popular and convenient location
This five-bedroom red-brick beauty overlooks the village green and sits in just under two acres of land
A three-bedroom villa with self-contained flat, minutes from Lake Windermere
A five-bedroom Victorian home with four receptions, superb gardens and paddock in Pembury
An eight-bedroom house on the south side of the The Green with cinema, wine cellars and summer house
This 17th century beauty is full of rustic cosiness, while the detached home office means you can also run a business
Four exclusive apartments in a Grade II-listed former medical school with 2,275 sq ft of living space and 18ft ceilings
A five-bedroom terraced house on the popular Peterborough Estate, ideally located for both Eel Brook Common and South Park
A state-of-the-art farm-building conversion on the former Cliveden Estate, with 11,420sq ft of internal space, cinema and wine cellar
Windsor Castle overlooks this three-bedroom Victorian cottage located on one of Windsor's smartest roads
A boutique mews house, set around a central courtyard, with three bedrooms and a private roof terrace
A four-bedroom farm-conversion with three bathrooms and two reception rooms
A two-bedroom detached house with ensuite bathrooms and a sun-drenched decked terrace, £750,000
A modern and spacious two-bedroom, penthouse flat with two bathrooms in a prestigious development
A beautifully renovated five-bedroom terrace with three reception rooms and a courtyard garden, £700,000
A four-bedroom period house which has been extended to provide almost 2,500sq ft of living space, £675,000
A pretty three-bedroom Georgian home with a 22ft drawing room and a master suite with a balcony, £525,000
A substanstial family home with five bedrooms and landscaped gardens in the much sought-after Branksome Park area
A well-presented three-bedroom house with front and rear gardens, close to White City station, £475,000
A handsome five-bedroom house in a sought-after location close to the city centre
A five-bedroom country home with valley views, equestrian stables and 27 acres of land, £725,000
A six-bedroom farm house with separate, detached cottages and 371 acres of land
A two-bedroom cottage with parquet floors, chunky beams and an open fireplace
A three-bedrrom flat with 2,733sq feet of living space, a beautiful private garden and 15 acres of communal grounds
A four-bedroom chalet bungalow with three bathrooms and a spacious garden, £525,000
A two-bedroom flat with an open plan kitchen and two balconies, close to Arsenal station