Mark Dampier: Drill down for the best managers
Saturday 28 November 2009
I wonder whether, like me, you find yourself constantly battling against information overload? The internet in particular has brought a deluge of facts and figures and while some of it is valuable, much of it can be contradictory. I have found myself reading two intelligent, erudite and convincing arguments on totally opposite points of view in the same sitting.
At times many people struggle to see the wood for the trees. That's why I always try to remember that the best use of an investor's time is to seek out the best fund managers, rather than fretting over which market will perform the best. Over the long term the top managers should see you through.
With more than 2,000 funds available in the UK, you might think that even this approach wouldn't improve an investor's lot - the array of choice still appears bewildering. However, the majority of these are poorly managed and can quickly be discounted; I doubt there are more than a couple of hundred funds that are truly worthy of attention. Even amongst the good ones a few stand out as being really exceptional.
One of those is the Old Mutual UK Select Smaller Companies Fund, which is run by what is, in my opinion, one of the best investment teams in the country.
You would be forgiven for thinking that the last area you would want to invest in a recession is smaller companies. After all, they tend to be particularly sensitive to the economy and are known to be volatile, higher risk investments. Yet some smaller companies funds have been excellent over the last year, and I'm not surprised to see Old Mutual among them.
In fact, the nature of smaller companies in the UK has changed dramatically over the last 25 years or so. Where once the sector was dominated by engineering firms, particularly those based in the Midlands, now the sector is far more diverse and not all are domestically orientated. Some smaller companies are world leaders in their field and have plenty of overseas income - useful given sterling's current weakness.
What I like about the Old Mutual fund is that it has an extremely pragmatic approach, using a combination of individual stock research and analysis of the wider economy. It has been a successful performer for many years. In the early part of this decade a focus on the progress of the business cycle helped the managers deliver good returns. In the middle part, when pretty much everything was going up, it was more important to get stock picking decisions correct and here too they excelled.
The fund has shown that whatever the economy or stock market throws up, it has the capacity to deliver performance superior to its peers. Since its launch in January 2001 it is up by a remarkable 191 per cent compared to a rise of just 19 per cent for its sector average and 16 per cent for the UK stock market as a whole.
This is not to say, however, that the Old Mutual team get everything right. The lead fund manager, Daniel Nickols, will admit that the fund was a little left behind in March, April and May when the current rally began. At the time he was only just beginning to shift his portfolio from being relatively defensive to more aggressive, so while the fund did OK during the early stages of the rally it didn't capture the full gain.
The team continue to believe that the more economically sensitive parts of the market will continue to do well in the short term. They are mindful though that 2010 could be an extremely difficult time - especially after the general election - and their approach will have to remain flexible.
I like that Daniel Nickols and the Old Mutual team never rest on their laurels and are constantly re-evaluating their own views. Despite all this, smaller companies must still be considered a higher risk investment, so won't be everybody's cup of tea. If you're prepared to accept these risks, however, then I believe the Old Mutual UK Select Smaller Companies Fund should be on your buy list.
Mark Dampier is the head of research at Hargreaves Lansdown, the asset manager, financial adviser and stockbroker. For more information about the funds included in this column, visit www.h-l.co.uk/independent
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