Private Investor: While Diageo's in high spirits, get a round in

On my travels around the world, I never cease to be amazed at how popular Scotch whisky is. This is especially striking when you consider how much it's gone out of fashion in this, its home market.

I think it's got a lot to do with the "Mike Baldwin" image that the drink has as an "old man's tipple" or at least one that's dated. I still seem to recall scenes from The Sweeney where they'd get a bottle of Scotch out of the filing cabinet when things started to get particularly difficult.

Anyway, they don't think of Scotch in that way in its rapidly growing emerging markets. I've personally seen how enthusiastic the Chinese and the Brazilians, to name two disparate peoples with a growing taste for the stuff, are about their single malts. They're following the Americans and the Japanese, and Scotch is probably having more success now than at any time in its history.

Part of which is why I think it's a good time to buy into Diageo, which has just reported another stonking performance – £2bn in profit from the likes of Johnny Walker, Smirnoff and the rest.

I've been in and out of Diageo shares over the years and I've always felt that I should have stayed in and never bothered trying to take a profit. However, such a habit has helped remedy one of those great psychological problems small investors have – that after they've sold a share for, say, £1, having doubled their money, when it goes to £1.75 or £3, then you somehow think it's "expensive". It need not be, if the company's prospects are rosy.

In that case the share price can, in reality, be cheap, but there's something going on in one's head holding back another purchase, which might even yield more profit than the first exercise.

Well, I've been cured of that now and I'm happy to buy some more shares in Diageo on the back of their encouraging results. I'm not especially bothered by the fact that they're losing market share on Guinness in Ireland and the UK, its traditional home markets.

As we are all becoming lager-drinking homogenised Europeans (with a few pints of Magners on top, in the case of the Irish), the only wonder is why it has taken the black stuff so long to lose ground. Besides, I see the Nigerians are taking up the slack – they started brewing Guinness locally under licence as long ago as 1963. This shows how globalisation and homogenisation can work in Diageo's favour.

Last week I added to my holdings at £10.37 a share, quite a multiple on what I paid for the stock when I first took an interest in it about a decade ago. It is a well-run company with excellent brands and shows every sign of knowing what it's about in the lucrative markets now opening up, such as India and Mexico, as well as the aforementioned China and Brazil.

I've also taken my own advice and added some more to my stock of Capita shares, although I can't claim that I've been able to take any advantage of market weakness to do so.

As I mentioned not so long ago, this is a share that just seems to keep going up in good and bad times; had you joined the party only a couple of years ago, you'd have seen phenomenal growth, and my only regret is not having had the courage of my convictions about Capita and invested more in it earlier.

Given that it runs so many PFI projects, including the hateful London congestion charging scheme, it isn't often liked by taxpayers, public services-users or motorists. It isn't my favourite company either. But if you want a sort of "emotional hedge" that can help you cope with your anger at having to pay a fine of £50 just because you forgot to pay the congestion charge immediately, I can think of no better idea than to buy the shares, at 751p.

Talking of courage, and looking about the market now, I wonder what the truth is about Barclays. It seems hard to credit that such a major institution could be in trouble, and I've no reason for saying it is. But it has been borrowing lots of money from the Bank of England, albeit very short term and for "technical reasons"; to do with the clearing system.

It also has this character who may have gone missing called "Captain Sensible", who was in charge of their sub-prime exposure. It's all conspired to push the share price down, and it ought to be a great buying opportunity. I just don't feel that brave.

Independent Comment
blog comments powered by Disqus
Finacial products from our partners
News in pictures
World news in pictures
Property search
       

ES Rentals

    Independent Dating
    and  

    By clicking 'Search' you
    are agreeing to our
    Terms of Use.

    Day In a Page

    Johnny Marr talks relationships and reunions

    He's worked with Modest Mouse, the Pet Shop Boys and Beck, to name a few, and recently released his first solo album. So why, wonders Johnny Marr, do people still hark on about The Smiths?
    After the flood: From Haiti to Britain, one man has captured the devastation of our increasingly deluged lands

    In pictures: After the flood

    From Haiti to Britain, one man has captured the devastation of our increasingly deluged lands
    Death becomes her: Meet the very modern mortician who champions 'cool' funerals

    Death becomes her: A very modern mortician

    Ever considered baking a loved one's remains into a cake or putting their ashes in fireworks? If so, talk to Caitlin Doughty, champion of the alternative death industry.
    How long can the 'Keep Calm' trend carry on?

    How long can the 'Keep Calm' trend carry on?

    At first it seemed clever and cute. Then the 'Keep Calm' motif went mad, spawning endless offshoots.
    The man who built Brum: A lament for the demise of John Madin's Brutalist Birmingham

    John Madin: The man who built Brum

    The architect's buildings were supposed to leave an indelible, futuristic mark on his beloved hometown but they are now being inexorably torn down.
    School of chop: Learning the art of butchery at the Ginger Pig

    School of chop: Learning the art of butchery

    How do you butcher a lamb? Or make Mexican street food in a British kitchen? Christopher Hirst finds out.
    James Pembroke: The man who's eaten everywhere

    The man who's eaten everywhere

    Few people know more about restaurants than James Pembroke, who only spent five mealtimes at home during his entire childhood.
    A Berliner in 1963 – but did John F Kennedy once admire Adolf Hitler?

    A Berliner in 1963 – but did John F Kennedy once admire Adolf Hitler?

    The young JFK praised 'superior' Nordic races during visits to Germany
    Banned Iranian director Mohammad Rasoulof to attend Cannes Film Festival 2013, his first public appearance since prison

    Banned Iranian director to attend Cannes Film Festival

    Mohammad Rasoulof to make his first public appearance since being imprisoned three years ago
    Seeing the larger picture: Inspiring images of space

    Seeing the larger picture: Inspiring images of space

    An exhibition explores images how photography has shaped astronomy
    Eat Spam and carry on: Wartime pamphlets could teach us a thing or two about healthy, thrifty eating

    Eat Spam and carry on

    Wartime pamphlets could teach us a thing or two about healthy, thrifty eating
    Facial hair: Cat beards and the purrrsuit of excellence

    Facial hair

    Cat beards and the purrrsuit of excellence
    The 10 Best salt and pepper sets

    The 10 Best salt and pepper sets

    Whether they're for everyday use or to make your dining table look just right, it's worth getting a stylish shaker...
    Ferran Soriano: Predicting success if Manchester City 'vision' is followed

    Ferran Soriano: Predicting success if Manchester City 'vision' is followed

    Chief executive says trophies will come if a 'core' of suitable players is in place
    Thomas Müller: We couldn't handle losing a Champions League Final again

    Thomas Müller: We couldn't handle losing a Champions League Final again

    The Bayern Munich forward tells Tim Rich his side have to shed chokers' tag after two recent final defeats