Simon English: Analysts' retrospective information is shameful
Thursday 12 July 2012
Related articles
Outlook What's the point of City analysts? Sometimes their job seems to be to alert investors to things that have already happened. Getting the future right, while admittedly difficult, is not something they seem ever able to do convincingly.
As the fizz was streaking out of Britvic shares yesterday after the company admitted its recall of various fruity drinks could end up costing it £25m, supposed experts were scrabbling to rewrite their "forecasts".
Without apparent shame, the broker Canaccord Genuity cut its recommendation to investors on Britvic to sell and slashed the target price for the shares from 310p to 200p.
This advice would have been useful any time until yesterday. By then it was not much better than useless. Surely it would have been better for the broker to have stuck to its guns, to argue that the stock will quickly recover.
Canaccord weren't the only ones. Panmure Gordon also now advises selling the shares – thanks chaps –and cuts its estimate of what the stock is worth from 350p to 250p, which is roughly where they now are.
UBS says that shares it yesterday thought were worth 370p should now be valued at just 315p.
For stable-door/horse-bolting behaviour, this lot are nearly as bad as credit ratings agencies.
-
Emergency landing at Heathrow sparks further controversy over London airport capacity
-
Unrest may spread across Europe, warns Red Cross chief
-
French government seeks to ban extreme right-wing group
-
BNP and EDL accused of attempt to fuel racial hatred after Woolwich terror attack
-
You want to get an Eton scholarship? All you need to do is answer four (not so simple) questions
Get your summer started with British Military Fitness
BMF is the UK’s biggest and best loved outdoor fitness classes
Visit York
Find out what The Independent's resident travel expert has to say about one of the most beautiful small cities in the world
Making reading fun for kids
Nook is donating eReaders to volunteers at high-need schools and participating in exclusive events throughout the campaign.
Introducing the 'Get Reading' campaign
Get the latest on The Evening Standard's campaign to get London's children reading.
Enter the latest Independent competitions
Win anything from gadgets to five-star holidays on our competitions and offers page.
Business videos from commercial thought leaders
Watch the best in the business world give their insights into the world of business.
Day In a Page
Johnny Marr talks relationships and reunions
In pictures: After the flood
Death becomes her: A very modern mortician
School of chop: Learning the art of butchery
The man who's eaten everywhere
A Berliner in 1963 – but did John F Kennedy once admire Adolf Hitler?


Comments