Do the sums: Brazil to win, England third
Sunday 04 June 2006
It's all over before it's even started - German economists have predicted that England will lose the World Cup.
The Cologne-based Institute for German Economics, a well-regarded, government-funded research body, has calculated that Brazil will beat Italy in the final, with England having to settle for third place after defeating Holland.
The institute sees a link between the money spent by teams and their success. "The top six German clubs spent an average of €37.3m (£25.6m) on players' wages, while the bottom six spent only €16.8m. The best-paying teams in other European leagues also won the titles and trophies."
Basing their predictions on current wages, age and "sporting perspective", the economists calculate that the €262m Brazilian team will beat the Italians, worth €251m, in the final. England, with the second-most valuable team (€256m) but the third most valuable squad (€344m), will lose to Brazil in the semi-finals. Germany face defeat by the Dutch in the quarter-finals.
But while there is not much hope for England fans, there is better news for Germany. "The squad of Jürgen Klinsmann can always pin their hopes on home advantage," says the institute.
It claims experience shows that home advantage takes a team precisely 2.5 rounds further than it would otherwise achieve. That would put the Germans in the final and explain England's last victory at Wembley in 1966.
- 1 Cyclist who knocked down three-year-old girl says his life has been 'destroyed'
- 2 A politically correct lefty goes to see Top Gear live – you'll probably believe what happened next
- 4 Isis burns woman alive for refusing to engage in 'extreme' sex act, UN says
As a white man, I'm surprised more women aren't tweeting the hashtag #KillAllWhiteMen
Scotland may have to leave the EU even if it votes to stay in, David Cameron confirms
The day that Britain resigned as a global power
SNP fury as HS2 finds 'no business case' for taking fast train service to Scotland
EU referendum: David Cameron to deny EU migrants and under-18s the chance to vote
A nation of inequality: How the UK is failing to feed its most vulnerable people
iJobs Money & Business
£40-50K: Guru Careers: We are seeking an experienced Software / C# Developer w...
£45,000 - £55,000: Neil Pavier: Are you looking for your next opportunity for ...
£45,000 - £55,000: Sheridan Maine: Are you a newly qualified ACA/ACCA/ACMA qua...
£50,000 - £60,000: Laura Norton: Are you looking for an opportunity within a w...