Recruiters, economists and business minister cast doubt on jobs outlook

Fresh doubts have been raised about the economy's ability to absorb quickly the thousands of public-sector workers who will soon be made redundant as a result of spending cuts.

Across the economy in October, staff appointments rose at their weakest rate for 14 months, according to the latest Report on Jobs from the Recruitment and Employment Confederation and the accountants KPMG. The report also shows that growth in vacancies hit a one-year low last month and that there has been an increase in the number of permanent candidates looking for work.

Bernard Brown, a partner and head of business services at KPMG, said: "Many public-sector organisations have now started redundancy programmes, or at least imposed hiring freezes, and at the moment the private sector is not creating new jobs in sufficient numbers to offset this public-sector downturn. Employers across all sectors are more wary about taking on new staff."

And, after a remarkable recovery in the middle months of this year, the construction sector seems poorly placed to hire more staff and is set for a marked double-dip recession. The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply said its headline confidence index slipped from 53.8 to 51.6 between September and October. Although above the neutral 50 mark, the readings on housing and employment are especially weak. Expected deep cuts in public programmes are depressing the sector.

Meanwhile, the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development stood by its prediction that the deficit-reduction programme would cost 1.6 million jobs by 2016, despite hostile questioning of its chief economic adviser, John Philpott, by MPs. Professor Philpott, who was told he possessed the forecasting skills of a "dead octopus", told the Treasury Select Committee that growth for the next two years would be insufficient to generate enough jobs.

Government plans for creating jobs through local enterprise partnerships (LEPs) were also undermined by the leak of a letter from Mark Prisk, the minister for business and enterprise, to his Secretary of State, Vince Cable, declaring that the policy could be "a failure in large parts of England". The CBI's chief economist, Ian McCafferty, added that the LEPs "lack sufficient scale and resources".

Food and clothing prices still rising

Shop prices hit their highest levels last month since January, driven by a spike in food and clothing costs.

The annual rate of shop price inflation jumped to 2.2 per cent in October, compared with 1.9 per cent in September, according to the Nielsen-British Retail Consortium survey. The rising price of cotton lifted non-food price inflation to 1.1 per cent; the soaring wheat costs raised food prices to 4.4 per cent.

Stephen Robertson, director general of the BRC, said: "Wheat is up 47 per cent compared with a year ago, affecting the price of staples such as bread – and some meat products."

Arts & Entertainment
Ricky Gervais at a screening of 'Muppets Most Wanted' in London last month
tvAs the second series of his divisive sitcom 'Derek' hits screens, the comedian on why he'll never bow to critics who habitually circle his work
Arts & Entertainment
Don (John Hamm) and Megan (Jessica Paré) Draper are going their separate ways in the final series of ‘Mad Men’
tvReview: The suits are still sharp, but Don Draper has lost his edge
News
news
Life & Style
Going down: Google's ambition to build an elevator into space isn't likely to be fulfilled any time soon
techTechnology giant’s scientists say there is no material strong enough for a cable from Earth into orbit
VIDEO
News
David Cameron sings a hymn during the enthronement service of The Most Rev Justin Welby as Archbishop of Canterbury, at Canterbury Cathedral last year
news
Life & Style
From long to Jong: Guy Pewsey outside Mo Nabbach’s M&M Hair Academy in west London before the haircut
fashionThe Independent heads to an Ealing hairdressers to try out the North Korean dictator's trademark do
Sport
Vito Mannone fails to keep out Samir Nasri's late strike
sportMan City 2 Sunderland 2: Keeper flaps at Nasri's late leveller, but Black Cat striker's two goals in 10 minutes had already done damage
Extras
indybest10 best smartphones
News
peopleRyan Gosling says yes, science says no. Take the A-list facial hair challenge
Arts & Entertainment
tvCreator Vince Gilligan sheds light on alternate endings
News
Paul Weller, aka the Modfather, performing at last year’s Isle of Wight Festival in Newport
people
Life & Style
Michael Acton Smith founded Firebox straight out of university before creating Moshi Monsters
techHe started out selling silliness with online retailer Firebox, before launching virtual creatures who took the real world by storm
News
Ethical matters: pupils during a philosophy lesson
educationTaunton School's policy of putting philosophy at heart of its curriculum is one of secrets of its success
Arts & Entertainment
Play It Forward: the DC Record Fair in Washington, US
musicIndependent music shops can offer a tempting alternative to downloads on Record Store Day
Sport
video
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition iPad app?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs Money & Business

Data Analyst - Financial services, Client data, LEI

£40000 - £50000 per annum + BONUS + BENEFITS: Harrington Starr: A leading, Cit...

Management Consultancy - Operational Research Analysts

£35000 - £50000 per annum + Bonus + Benefits: Pro-Recruitment Group: You must ...

Corporate Actions Consultant - Market data, ISO15022, presales

£45000 - £60000 per annum + BONUS + BENEFITS: Harrington Starr: Corporate Acti...

Prudential Risk/Operational Risk Associate - London

£350 - £400 per day: Harrington Starr: An opportunity has arisen at a FCA regu...

Day In a Page

Ricky Gervais: 'People are waiting for me to fail. If you think it's awful, then just don't watch it'

Ricky Gervais: 'People are waiting for me to fail'

As the second series of his divisive sitcom 'Derek' hits screens, the comedian tells James Rampton why he'll never bow to the critics who habitually circle his work
Mad Men series 7, TV review: The suits are still sharp, but Don Draper has lost his edge

Mad Men returns for a final fling

The suits are still sharp, but Don Draper has lost his edge
Google finds a lift into space will never get off the ground as there is no material strong enough for a cable from Earth into orbit

Google finds a lift into space will never get off the ground

Technology giant’s scientists say there is no material strong enough for a cable from Earth into orbit
Westminster is awash with tales of young men being sexually harassed - but it's far from being just a problem in politics

Is sexual harassment a fact of gay life?

Westminster is awash with tales of young men being sexually harassed - but it's far from being just a problem in politics
Moshi Monster creator Michael Acton Smith: The man behind a British success story

Moshi Monster creator Michael Acton Smith

Acton Smith launched a world of virtual creatures who took the real world by storm
Kim Jong-un's haircut: The Independent heads to Ealing to try out the dictator's do

Our journalist tries out Kim Jong-un's haircut

The North Korean embassy in London complained when M&M Hair Academy used Kim Jong-un's image in the window. Curious, Guy Pewsey heads to the hair salon and surrenders to the clippers
A History of the First World War in 100 moments: A forgotten naval victory in which even Nature played a part

A History of the First World War in 100 moments

A forgotten naval victory in which even Nature played a part
Vespa rides on with launch of Primavera: Iconic Italian scooter still revving up millions of sales

Vespa rides on with launch of the Primavera

The Vespa has been a style icon since the 1950s and the release this month of its latest model confirms it has lost little of its lustre
Record Store Day: Independent music shops can offer a tempting alternative to downloads

Record Store Day celebrates independent music shops

This Saturday sees a host of events around the country to champion the sellers of well-grooved wax
Taunton's policy of putting philosophy at heart of its curriculum is one of secrets of its success

Education: Secret of Taunton's success

Taunton School, in Somerset, is one of the country's leading independent schools, says Richard Garner
10 best smartphones

10 best smartphones

With a number of new smartphones on the market, we round up the best around, including some more established models
Mickey Arthur: Aussie tells ECB to stick with Ashley Giles

Mickey Arthur: Aussie tells ECB to stick with Ashley Giles

The former Australia coach on why England must keep to Plan A, about his shock at their collapse Down Under, why he sent players home from India and the agonies of losing his job
Homelessness: Why is the supported lodgings lifeline under threat?

Why is the supported lodgings lifeline under threat?

Zubairi Sentongo swapped poverty in Uganda for homelessness in Britain. But a YMCA scheme connected him with a couple offering warmth and shelter
A History of the First World War in 100 Moments: When the world’s biggest shed took over Regent’s Park

A History of the First World War in 100 Moments

When the world’s biggest shed took over Regent’s Park
The pain of IVF

The pain of IVF

As an Italian woman vows to keep the babies from someone else’s eggs, Julian Baggini ponders how the reality of childbirth is often messier than the natural ideal