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Short-sellers strengthen their grip on troubled BA

By Margareta Pagano, Business editor

BA's chief executive, Willie Walsh, is still in talks with Spanish airline Iberia

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BA's chief executive, Willie Walsh, is still in talks with Spanish airline Iberia

More than 16 per cent of shares in British Airways are now on loan to short-sellers, suggesting investors believe that stock in the troubled airline which faces a make-or-break few weeks is still over-valued.

Data Explorers research found that the number of hedge funds and investors who have been selling short over the past three months has been rising steadily to just shy of the all-time high of 17.4 per cent. Short-selling – when investors borrow securities from prime brokers and sell them on in the hope that they can buy them back later at a lower price – has stepped up again over the past few weeks as BA's shares have fallen from 240p to 180p. Just over 50 per cent of the available lending inventory of shares is now out on loan.

Shares bounced back up on Friday to 198p, the biggest one day rise in two months, after BA said that business passenger traffic numbers were finally improving despite reporting the worst results in its history.

BA's chief executive, Willie Walsh, also threatened by strike action, announced a £292m crash into the red and revealed another £48m of restructuring costs in the six months to September. Mr Walsh, who warned that BA still faces tough trading, said the company is now tackling the mismatch of flights and passengers to aircraft, and flight costs, which has bedevilled the airline. Aircraft are now flying fuller, with load factors of up to 80 per cent.

Mr Walsh said revenues are likely to be down by about £1bn in the full year and that costs were still to be cut to meet tougher demand. But BA's unions are still threatening a Christmas strike because of attempts to change working practices and cut another 3,000 jobs.

Talks between BA and Spanish airline Iberia, which could mean the British airline moving its headquarters to Madrid, are said to be continuing.

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[info]mykleboon wrote:
Sunday, 8 November 2009 at 09:11 am (UTC)
"More than 16 per cent of shares in British Airways are now on loan to short-sellers, suggesting investors believe that stock in the troubled airline which faces a make-or-break few weeks is still over-valued"

It is obvious that investors who "lend" their stock to the short sellers do not expect the price to fall enough to compensate the short sellers for the cost of the stock "loaned". If they thought this, then they would sell the stock themselves and buy it back later at the new lower price.

Sometimes the short sellers win - and sometimes they lose. However, both the exisiting shareholders and the short sellers are "investors". It is therefore meaningless to say that "investors" are expecting anything!
[info]ourmaninferney wrote:
Sunday, 8 November 2009 at 11:45 pm (UTC)
Short selling should be banned. In any other business, selling something you don't own is considered fraud. Furthermore, there is no benefit to the remaining shareholders who often see their investments forced downwards in a vicious spiral as more short sellers jump on the bandwagon.
[info]drmagyar wrote:
Monday, 9 November 2009 at 12:16 am (UTC)
It's an interesting idea. What they do is rent the stock, sell it, and then buy it back just before the lease expires. If the stock goes down more than the lease costs then they make money; if not they lose. They also need someone to buy it at the current price and to sell the same amount of stock back at the new price. So there are inherent risks in the transaction. Say for example, the stock doubled. There is an umlimited upside to stock price, so unlimited losses to short selling.

I wonder if it is possible to apply the idea to anything else. Needs to be high liquidity and using it doesn't devalue it.

What is the benefit to the markets for allowing this?
Stock Shock USA
[info]matttaibbifan wrote:
Monday, 9 November 2009 at 01:32 am (UTC)
I loved the movie about Sirius XM: "Stock Shock" because it explains how the whole naked short selling stock market manipulation thing works-and how the company nearly went bankrupt. Good DVD. Amazon has it or stockshockmovie.com has a movie trailer.
[info]ourmaninferney wrote:
Monday, 9 November 2009 at 01:42 pm (UTC)
I know how short selling works - I just don't understand the benefit to the lender of the stock nor to the company concerned. Once a stock starts to be shorted, there are few risks as the bandwagon grows in its effect (each additional shorter further depresses the price). As far as I know, only VW has managed to bloody the shorters' noses in recent history.
Stock Shock USA
[info]matttaibbifan wrote:
Monday, 9 November 2009 at 01:39 am (UTC)
I just wrote in LiveJournal about the movie "Stock Shock" because it explains how the whole naked short selling stock market manipulation thing works-and how the company Sirius XM nearly went bankrupt due, in part, to naked short selling. Good DVD. Amazon has it or stockshockmovie.com has a movie trailer.