Trebling of tuition fees has stoked inflation
More pressure put on household budgets after students' bills rocket
Sunday 11 November 2012
The controversial trebling of student tuition fees, pushed through by the coalition amid bitter protests two years ago, is set to add to the Bank of England's headaches by fuelling a fresh rise in inflation this week.
The Bank's official Consumer Prices Index inflation benchmark is set to jump to 2.5 per cent for October from a three-year low of 2.2 per cent in September. This will put more pressure on household budgets as the economy struggles to retain momentum during the final quarter of 2012.
Analysts warn a major factor in the latest rise is the near-trebling of average tuition costs to £8,385 for the current academic year. The policy was agreed in November 2010 after Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg broke a pre-election pledge not to raise tuition fees and lifted the cap to £9,000.
Under the final year of the old regime, average tuition fees were £3,375, according to the Office for Fair Access.
The chief economist at Investec, Philip Shaw, said the price rise would have a lingering impact on the inflation figures as three successive years of new students pay the higher fees. He said: "This is likely to add 0.2 or 0.3 per cent to inflation, an effect set to be present in the data for three years. This isn't something which will disappear next October."
Education, which also includes private school fees and adult education classes, only accounts for around 2 per cent of the overall CPI inflation basket, although the huge rise is likely to have a disproportionate effect. The last time a major rise in fees took place under Tony Blair, when costs rose from an average of £1,175 to a maximum of £3,000 in October 2006, the increase added 0.12 percentage points to the CPI.
The Bank of England called a halt to its quantitative easing money-printing programme last week, a decision driven in part at least by the worsening prospects for inflation.
Mr Shaw added: "Our forecasts point to higher grain prices and a resumption of gas and electricity tariff increases dragging inflation further away from the target. We consider that CPI inflation could be as high as 3.5 per cent by mid-2013."
The Bank is set to raise its inflation estimates in its latest set of quarterly forecasts next week to reflect the renewed pressure on the cost of living.
The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee is also set to trim back prospects for growth next year, estimated at 1.8 per cent in August, to reflect more modest City forecasts of 1.1 per cent, according to Deutsche Bank chief economist George Buckley.
He said: "The Bank has an optimistic-looking profile and we're expecting downward revisions."
filmFilm producers sue Warner Bros for $75m over Hobbit films
sportNapoli 2 Arsenal 0: Gunners must now face either Real Madrid, PSG, Bayern Munich, Atletico Madrid or Barcelona in knock-out stages
Swedish stars ask fans for £195 pledges on crowd-funding website
voicesJust when you thought you could find a man, get married, and have a baby by the age of 35... it turns out you’re too late, says Grace Dent
musicAs Mariah Carey and Noddy Holder rake in the royalties from their classics, why there hasn't been a decent festive hit for 20 years?
theatreAuthor Daniel Rosenthal recalls the mishaps that almost brought the curtain down on the likes of John Gielgud and Diana Rigg
lifeAs the Royal Mail plans to phase out deliveries on two wheels, it's no wonder posties are in a spin
musicThe 21-year-old beat Ella Eyre and Chlöe Howl to win the honour
lifeFull of the joys and want to help your fellow man? December isn't the time to do it
techLuke Blackall reports on precision engineered prams and babygros that monitor your child 24-7
Nelson Mandela memorial: ‘Bogus’ interpreter made mockery of Barack Obama’s tribute in Soweto
David Cameron explains selfie with Obama and Helle Thorning-Schmidt at Mandela Memorial
French café starts charging extra to rude customers
Krokodil in Mexico? Teenager hospitalised after 'injecting drug into her genitals'
Australia incest case: Severely deformed children found in remote farming community after generations of inbreeding
- 1 Nelson Mandela memorial: ‘Bogus’ interpreter made mockery of Barack Obama’s tribute in Soweto
- 2 French café starts charging extra to rude customers
- 3 Sun will 'flip upside down' within weeks, says Nasa
- 4 Is Facebook making us forget? Study shows that taking pictures ruin memories
- 5 Australia incest case: Severely deformed children found in remote farming community after generations of inbreeding
iJobs Money & Business
£77099.84 - £96375.26 per annum + Bonus + Benefits : Harrington Starr: My clie...
£45000 - £60000 per annum + Bonus and Package: Harrington Starr: Trading appli...
£50000 - £60000 per annum + BONUS + BENEFITS: Harrington Starr: A leading prov...
£70000 - £90000 per annum + BONUS + BENEFITS: Harrington Starr: A leading mark...