Savers come in from the cold

HOW TO SAVE IT, HOW TO SPEND IT, HOW TO MAKE IT GROW; 1996. A good year for mortgage borrowers and windfalls. 1997? A different story, says Steve Lodge

How Was it for you? 1996 saw the housing market finally turn the corner and interest rates on mortgages and savings accounts hit their lowest for a generation. The stockmarket carried on booming and building societies were in danger of becoming hot news as savers chased around for the next windfall.

So what should you have been doing financially in 1996? And what's the outlook for 1997?

With hindsight, early 1996 is likely to have been good time to clamber onto the property ownership ladder, particularly in London or the south- east. Buying then would have allowed you to get in before prices started motoring. Prices of many properties have since risen 10 per cent or more and gazumping - that buyers' blight - is back with a vengeance in London.

Furthermore, as well as being the year that the housing market turned, 1996 also saw super-cheap mortgage deals. Borrowers generally felt a lightening of the debt burden as headline mortgage rates fell to 6.99 per cent - even lower from some lenders. But lenders concentrated their fire on offering big discounts to new buyers, people moving and even those staying put but switching mortgages.

Don't expect life to be so sweet in 1997. Mortgage rates are already rising (typically to 7.25 per cent) to reflect the recent increase in base rates, and are expected to rise further. Many major lenders predict that headline mortgage rates will rise to 8 per cent or more during 1997, adding perhaps pounds 50 a month to many mortgage payments, according to a poll conducted for January's Your Mortgage magazine. And discounts, too, are likely to dwindle as the housing market continues to recover.

Some mortgage brokers are recommending fixed-rate loans as a way of avoiding being caught out by rising mortgage rates this year. Our table of Best Borrowing Rates on page 13 carries some of the more attractive deals.

The flipside of cheap mortgages in 1996 has been generally dire interest rates for depositors. If you had a tax-free Tessa account that matured early in the year banks and building societies were falling over themsleves with follow-on offers of 7 per cent or more tax-free. Tax-free Tessas remain good deals. But elsewhere you could easily have ended up with as little as 2 or 3 per cent before tax on your savings.

Savings rates should start to rise now, in part because of the general rise in interest rates and in part to attract and retain money released from those societies paying windfalls.

The five societies due to dole out windfalls worth hundreds of pounds to their savers (and borrowers) this year are the Halifax (in June), Alliance & Leicester (April), Woolwich (autumn), Bristol & West (summer) and Northern Rock (autumn).

New building society windfalls are also expected to be announced over coming months, with Birmingham Midshires and Skipton the favourites to go next.

Elsewhere, anyone with a spare lump sum at the beginning of 1996 - the interest earned on a maturing Tessa account, for example - might have done well putting it into the stockmarket, specifically through a good value PEP that aims to track the performance of the stockmarket. The stockmarket is up more than 10 per cent on the year.

But looking out over the next year there is less reason for investors to be cheerful. Worries about the US stockmarket - Wall Street - rising interest rates and the prospect of a Labour government will not help shares' progress, and there is a possibility of a "setback" - another word for a little crash. If you're thinking of taking out a PEP before the end- of tax-year deadline - PEPs are ideal for long-term saving - better to wait awhile.

In the meantime insurers themselves are following building societies in announcing windfalls. Both Norwich Union and Colonial Mutual are due to dole out free shares in 1997. Friends Provident and Scottish Provident have been tipped as the next to announce handouts. Beware, however, of taking out policies simply in search of windfalls - you may be committing a lot of money for a relatively small windfall.

Shopping around is always good advice in the world of finance, but two markets particularly due for shake-ups in the coming year are travel insurance and pension plans.

Travel insurance from travel agents is rarely a good deal and the current practice of linking holiday discounts to a particular polciy may be banned. If your travelling justifies the cost of an annual policy then buy one and fight your corner for any discount.

By contrast personal pension plans are boring but important. The recent launch of a plan by Richard Branson's Virgin Direct may prompt cheaper and more straightforward pension policies from other companies. Next year Mr Branson is also threatening to take on another set of financial bogeymen - the banks.

Coming and going

1997

Savers

Interest rates to rise - headline

rates of 8 per cent or more

may be back. Windfalls - most

for pounds 500-plus - from Halifax,

Woolwich, Alliance & Leicester,

Bristol & West and Northern

Rock building societies.

Borrowers

Mortgage rates rising - headline rates predicted to be 8 per cent or more by end of year. Less need for discounts as housing market continues to improve.

Investors

Returns likely to be lower; possibility of a "setback'.

Policyholders

Further windfalls to come from mutual insurers. Cheaper pension plans? 1996 Savers Rates fell to lowest in a generation. Savers tied in by prospect of windfalls. Borrowers Property prices improved. Mortgage rates at lowest since 1960s. Big discounts for new borrowers and remortgagers. Cheaper credit cards for users who don't clear bills at end of month.

Investors Stock market hit all-time highs. Railtrack and British Energy privatisations were star turns.

Policyholders Free share windfalls announced for Norwich Union and Colonial Mutual policyholders. More competition - Virgin in life insurance and pensions.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
ebooks
ebooksAn introduction to the ground rules of British democracy
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
SPONSORED FEATURES
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs Money & Business

SThree: Experienced Recruitment Consultant

£20000 - £40000 per annum + OTE + Incentives + Benefits: SThree: Established f...

SThree: Trainee Recruitment Consultant

£20000 - £25000 per annum + OTE 40/45k + INCENTIVES + BENEFITS: SThree: The su...

Recruitment Genius: Collections Agent

£14000 - £16000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This company was established in...

SThree: Trainee Recruitment Consultant

£20000 - £25000 per annum + OTE 40k: SThree: SThree are a global FTSE 250 busi...

Day In a Page

Refugee crisis: David Cameron lowered the flag for the dead king of Saudi Arabia - will he do the same honour for little Aylan Kurdi?

Cameron lowered the flag for the dead king of Saudi Arabia...

But will he do the same honour for little Aylan Kurdi, asks Robert Fisk
Our leaders lack courage in this refugee crisis. We are shamed by our European neighbours

Our leaders lack courage in this refugee crisis. We are shamed by our European neighbours

Humanity must be at the heart of politics, says Jeremy Corbyn
Joe Biden's 'tease tour': Could the US Vice-President be testing the water for a presidential run?

Joe Biden's 'tease tour'

Could the US Vice-President be testing the water for a presidential run?
Britain's 24-hour culture: With the 'leisured society' a distant dream we're working longer and less regular hours than ever

Britain's 24-hour culture

With the 'leisured society' a distant dream we're working longer and less regular hours than ever
Diplomacy board game: Treachery is the way to win - which makes it just like the real thing

The addictive nature of Diplomacy

Bullying, betrayal, aggression – it may be just a board game, but the family that plays Diplomacy may never look at each other in the same way again
Lady Chatterley's Lover: Racy underwear for fans of DH Lawrence's equally racy tome

Fashion: Ooh, Lady Chatterley!

Take inspiration from DH Lawrence's racy tome with equally racy underwear
8 best children's clocks

Tick-tock: 8 best children's clocks

Whether you’re teaching them to tell the time or putting the finishing touches to a nursery, there’s a ticker for that
Charlie Austin: Queens Park Rangers striker says ‘If the move is not right, I’m not going’

Charlie Austin: ‘If the move is not right, I’m not going’

After hitting 18 goals in the Premier League last season, the QPR striker was the great non-deal of transfer deadline day. But he says he'd preferred another shot at promotion
Isis profits from destruction of antiquities by selling relics to dealers - and then blowing up the buildings they come from to conceal the evidence of looting

How Isis profits from destruction of antiquities

Robert Fisk on the terrorist group's manipulation of the market to increase the price of artefacts
Labour leadership: Andy Burnham urges Jeremy Corbyn voters to think again in last-minute plea

'If we lose touch we’ll end up with two decades of the Tories'

In an exclusive interview, Andy Burnham urges Jeremy Corbyn voters to think again in last-minute plea
Tunisia fears its Arab Spring could be reversed as the new regime becomes as intolerant of dissent as its predecessor

The Arab Spring reversed

Tunisian protesters fear that a new law will whitewash corrupt businessmen and officials, but they are finding that the new regime is becoming as intolerant of dissent as its predecessor
King Arthur: Legendary figure was real and lived most of his life in Strathclyde, academic claims

Academic claims King Arthur was real - and reveals where he lived

Dr Andrew Breeze says the legendary figure did exist – but was a general, not a king
Who is Oliver Bonas and how has he captured middle-class hearts?

Who is Oliver Bonas?

It's the first high-street store to pay its staff the living wage, and it saw out the recession in style
Earth has 'lost more than half its trees' since humans first started cutting them down

Axe-wielding Man fells half the world’s trees – leaving us just 422 each

However, the number of trees may be eight times higher than previously thought
60 years of Scalextric: Model cars are now stuffed with as much tech as real ones

60 years of Scalextric

Model cars are now stuffed with as much tech as real ones