Savers come in from the cold

HOW TO SAVE IT, HOW TO SPEND IT, HOW TO MAKE IT GROW; 1996. A good year for mortgage borrowers and windfalls. 1997? A different story, says Steve Lodge

How Was it for you? 1996 saw the housing market finally turn the corner and interest rates on mortgages and savings accounts hit their lowest for a generation. The stockmarket carried on booming and building societies were in danger of becoming hot news as savers chased around for the next windfall.

So what should you have been doing financially in 1996? And what's the outlook for 1997?

With hindsight, early 1996 is likely to have been good time to clamber onto the property ownership ladder, particularly in London or the south- east. Buying then would have allowed you to get in before prices started motoring. Prices of many properties have since risen 10 per cent or more and gazumping - that buyers' blight - is back with a vengeance in London.

Furthermore, as well as being the year that the housing market turned, 1996 also saw super-cheap mortgage deals. Borrowers generally felt a lightening of the debt burden as headline mortgage rates fell to 6.99 per cent - even lower from some lenders. But lenders concentrated their fire on offering big discounts to new buyers, people moving and even those staying put but switching mortgages.

Don't expect life to be so sweet in 1997. Mortgage rates are already rising (typically to 7.25 per cent) to reflect the recent increase in base rates, and are expected to rise further. Many major lenders predict that headline mortgage rates will rise to 8 per cent or more during 1997, adding perhaps pounds 50 a month to many mortgage payments, according to a poll conducted for January's Your Mortgage magazine. And discounts, too, are likely to dwindle as the housing market continues to recover.

Some mortgage brokers are recommending fixed-rate loans as a way of avoiding being caught out by rising mortgage rates this year. Our table of Best Borrowing Rates on page 13 carries some of the more attractive deals.

The flipside of cheap mortgages in 1996 has been generally dire interest rates for depositors. If you had a tax-free Tessa account that matured early in the year banks and building societies were falling over themsleves with follow-on offers of 7 per cent or more tax-free. Tax-free Tessas remain good deals. But elsewhere you could easily have ended up with as little as 2 or 3 per cent before tax on your savings.

Savings rates should start to rise now, in part because of the general rise in interest rates and in part to attract and retain money released from those societies paying windfalls.

The five societies due to dole out windfalls worth hundreds of pounds to their savers (and borrowers) this year are the Halifax (in June), Alliance & Leicester (April), Woolwich (autumn), Bristol & West (summer) and Northern Rock (autumn).

New building society windfalls are also expected to be announced over coming months, with Birmingham Midshires and Skipton the favourites to go next.

Elsewhere, anyone with a spare lump sum at the beginning of 1996 - the interest earned on a maturing Tessa account, for example - might have done well putting it into the stockmarket, specifically through a good value PEP that aims to track the performance of the stockmarket. The stockmarket is up more than 10 per cent on the year.

But looking out over the next year there is less reason for investors to be cheerful. Worries about the US stockmarket - Wall Street - rising interest rates and the prospect of a Labour government will not help shares' progress, and there is a possibility of a "setback" - another word for a little crash. If you're thinking of taking out a PEP before the end- of tax-year deadline - PEPs are ideal for long-term saving - better to wait awhile.

In the meantime insurers themselves are following building societies in announcing windfalls. Both Norwich Union and Colonial Mutual are due to dole out free shares in 1997. Friends Provident and Scottish Provident have been tipped as the next to announce handouts. Beware, however, of taking out policies simply in search of windfalls - you may be committing a lot of money for a relatively small windfall.

Shopping around is always good advice in the world of finance, but two markets particularly due for shake-ups in the coming year are travel insurance and pension plans.

Travel insurance from travel agents is rarely a good deal and the current practice of linking holiday discounts to a particular polciy may be banned. If your travelling justifies the cost of an annual policy then buy one and fight your corner for any discount.

By contrast personal pension plans are boring but important. The recent launch of a plan by Richard Branson's Virgin Direct may prompt cheaper and more straightforward pension policies from other companies. Next year Mr Branson is also threatening to take on another set of financial bogeymen - the banks.

Coming and going

1997

Savers

Interest rates to rise - headline

rates of 8 per cent or more

may be back. Windfalls - most

for pounds 500-plus - from Halifax,

Woolwich, Alliance & Leicester,

Bristol & West and Northern

Rock building societies.

Borrowers

Mortgage rates rising - headline rates predicted to be 8 per cent or more by end of year. Less need for discounts as housing market continues to improve.

Investors

Returns likely to be lower; possibility of a "setback'.

Policyholders

Further windfalls to come from mutual insurers. Cheaper pension plans? 1996 Savers Rates fell to lowest in a generation. Savers tied in by prospect of windfalls. Borrowers Property prices improved. Mortgage rates at lowest since 1960s. Big discounts for new borrowers and remortgagers. Cheaper credit cards for users who don't clear bills at end of month.

Investors Stock market hit all-time highs. Railtrack and British Energy privatisations were star turns.

Policyholders Free share windfalls announced for Norwich Union and Colonial Mutual policyholders. More competition - Virgin in life insurance and pensions.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
News
people
News
A boy holds a chick during the Russian National Agricultural Exhibition Golden Autumn 2014 in Moscow on October 9, 2014.
news
Life and Style
love + sex
Sport
Ashley Young celebrates the winner for Manchester United against Newcastle
footballNewcastle v United 1 player ratings
Arts and Entertainment
Victoria Wood, Kayvan Novak, Alexa Chung, Chris Moyles
tvReview: No soggy bottoms, but plenty of other baking disasters on The Great Comic Relief Bake Off
Sport
Ashley Young celebrates the winner for Manchester United against Newcastle
footballNewcastle 0 Man United 1: Last minute strike seals precious victory
ebooks
ebooksA special investigation by Andy McSmith
Life and Style
Tikka Masala has been overtaken by Jalfrezi as the nation's most popular curry
food + drink
Arts and Entertainment
Seth Rogan is one of America’s most famous pot smokers
filmAmy Pascal resigned after her personal emails were leaked following a cyber-attack sparked by the actor's film The Interview
News
Benjamin Netanyahu and his cartoon bomb – the Israeli PM shows his ‘evidence’
people
Arts and Entertainment
80s trailblazer: comedian Tracey Ullman
tv
News
i100
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs Money & Business

Ashdown Group: Graduate Application Support Analyst

£25000 - £30000 per annum + benefits: Ashdown Group: A global leader operating...

Reach Volunteering: External Finance Trustee Needed!

Voluntary post, reasonable expenses reimbursed: Reach Volunteering: Would you ...

Christine McCleave: FP&A Analyst

£36,000 - £40,000: Christine McCleave: Are you looking for a new opportunity a...

Recruitment Genius: Sales Executive - OTE £40,000

£15000 - £18000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This is a great opportunity for...

Day In a Page

War with Isis: Iraq's government fights to win back Tikrit from militants - but then what?

Baghdad fights to win back Tikrit from Isis – but then what?

Patrick Cockburn reports from Kirkuk on a conflict which sectarianism has made intractable
Living with Alzheimer's: What is it really like to be diagnosed with early-onset dementia?

What is it like to live with Alzheimer's?

Depicting early-onset Alzheimer's, the film 'Still Alice' had a profound effect on Joy Watson, who lives with the illness. She tells Kate Hilpern how she's coped with the diagnosis
The Internet of Things: Meet the British salesman who gave real-world items a virtual life

Setting in motion the Internet of Things

British salesman Kevin Ashton gave real-world items a virtual life
Election 2015: Latest polling reveals Tories and Labour on course to win the same number of seats - with the SNP holding the balance of power

Election 2015: A dead heat between Mr Bean and Dick Dastardly!

Lord Ashcroft reveals latest polling – and which character voters associate with each leader
Audiences queue up for 'true stories told live' as cult competition The Moth goes global

Cult competition The Moth goes global

The non-profit 'slam storytelling' competition was founded in 1997 by the novelist George Dawes Green and has seen Malcolm Gladwell, Salman Rushdie and Molly Ringwald all take their turn at the mic
Pakistani women come out fighting: A hard-hitting play focuses on female Muslim boxers

Pakistani women come out fighting

Hard-hitting new play 'No Guts, No Heart, No Glory' focuses on female Muslim boxers
Leonora Carrington transcended her stolid background to become an avant garde star

Surreal deal: Leonora Carrington

The artist transcended her stolid background to become an avant garde star
LGBT History Month: Pupils discuss topics from Sappho to same-sex marriage

Education: LGBT History Month

Pupils have been discussing topics from Sappho to same-sex marriage
11 best gel eyeliners

Go bold this season: 11 best gel eyeliners

Use an ink pot eyeliner to go bold on the eyes with this season's feline flicked winged liner
Cricket World Cup 2015: Tournament runs riot to make the event more hit than miss...

Cricket World Cup runs riot to make the event more hit than miss...

The tournament has reached its halfway mark and scores of 300 and amazing catches abound. One thing never changes, though – everyone loves beating England
Katarina Johnson-Thompson: Heptathlete ready to jump at first major title

Katarina Johnson-Thompson: Ready to jump at first major title

After her 2014 was ruined by injury, 21-year-old Briton is leading pentathlete going into this week’s European Indoors. Now she intends to turn form into gold
Syrian conflict is the world's first 'climate change war', say scientists, but it won't be the last one

Climate change key in Syrian conflict

And it will trigger more war in future
How I outwitted the Gestapo

How I outwitted the Gestapo

My life as a Jew in wartime Berlin
The nation's favourite animal revealed

The nation's favourite animal revealed

Women like cuddly creatures whilst men like creepy-crawlies
Is this the way to get young people to vote?

Getting young people to vote

From #VOTESELFISH to Bite the Ballot