THE INVESTMENT COLUMN: Take profits at DIY group Travis
Thursday 03 February 2005
Buying Wickes is a decent next step for a company that was close to meeting its target of winning a 20 per cent share of the builders' merchant market and on an operational level, you wouldn't bet against it being a success. Travis has an awesome reputation for integrating its acquisitions, doubling earnings per share in the last five years by snapping up smaller players and squeezing the benefits that come from being able to buy supplies such as timber, bricks, tools and everything else in bulk. It has promised pounds 35m in annual savings from the Wickes deal, mostly in purchasing.
Yet the deal has increased the risk profile of Travis shares. The company has previously fought shy of the DIY enthusiast, who takes up more time and spends less. Different management skills are required. And the deal comes just at the moment that Frank McKay, the chief executive for five years, heads into retirement. Geoff Cooper, his replacement, was respected as a director of Alliance UniChem but has no form in this industry.
Then there are the risks attached to the DIY market Travis is entering. The proliferation of Changing Rooms-style programmes on TV tempts one to believe this market will grow forever, but it is highly correlated to the housing market. If stagnant house prices mean fewer people moving home, then DIY retailers could struggle. As a relatively small player, Wickes will suffer if its rivals launch a price war to compensate.
And finally there is the question of the share price, which has sky-rocketed since the Wickes deal was unveiled. It can't all be justified by the extra earnings that Wickes will bring in, and the stock has now passed all but one analyst's target price. This looks a good point for shareholders to lock in profits.
-
Pope Francis: Being an atheist is alright as long as you do good
-
That's some guestlist! Stunning images show huge dynastic wedding between Ultra-Orthodox Jewish families which attracted 25,000 guests
-
Man and woman arrested on suspicion of conspiracy to murder victim of Woolwich machete attack, named as Drummer Lee Rigby
-
'Sickening, deluded and unforgivable': Horrific attack brings terror to London’s streets
-
Exclusive: Suspect was inspired by cleric banned from UK after urging followers to behead enemies of Islam
- 1 Pope Francis: Being an atheist is alright as long as you do good
- 2 Man and woman arrested on suspicion of conspiracy to murder victim of Woolwich machete attack, named as Drummer Lee Rigby
- 3 'Sickening, deluded and unforgivable': Horrific attack brings terror to London’s streets
- 4 Archaeologists uncover nearly 5,000 cave paintings in Burgos, Mexico
- 5 Woolwich attack: The EDL will seek to exploit this evil crime for their own evil ends
Get your summer started with British Military Fitness
BMF is the UK’s biggest and best loved outdoor fitness classes
Visit York
Find out what The Independent's resident travel expert has to say about one of the most beautiful small cities in the world
Making reading fun for kids
Nook is donating eReaders to volunteers at high-need schools and participating in exclusive events throughout the campaign.
Introducing the 'Get Reading' campaign
Get the latest on The Evening Standard's campaign to get London's children reading.
Enter the latest Independent competitions
Win anything from gadgets to five-star holidays on our competitions and offers page.
Business videos from commercial thought leaders
Watch the best in the business world give their insights into the world of business.
Day In a Page
The man who's eaten everywhere
A Berliner in 1963 – but did John F Kennedy once admire Adolf Hitler?
Banned Iranian director to attend Cannes Film Festival
The 10 Best salt and pepper sets
Ferran Soriano: Predicting success if Manchester City 'vision' is followed
Edward VIII’s phone calls - and how MI5 bugged them


Comments