1993: remember, you read it here first (3): Independent on Sunday writers look ahead to a turbulent year in which they foresee scandal, revelation and controversy in Britain and around the world: Much blood on the carpet but Maastricht is ratified

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The Independent Online
THIS IS to be a historic year for the European Community, as the single market comes into operation and the Maastricht treaty is finally ratified by all 12. At least, that is the plan. But expect plenty of blood on the carpet before either happens. Plus ca change . . .

Even though the single market is largely in place, some controversial aspects, such as border control for people, remain to be settled, and probably won't be. Other areas, such as new VAT rules, have been agreed but will spark huge rows. A couple of scandals over smugglers and fraud should ignite them.

Denmark will ratify the Maastricht treaty. But this was confidently predicted by the Independent last year as well. Before then Denmark could have a new government. Since the country holds the presidency of the EC for the next six months it is going to be a rough ride.

Political turmoil will continue throughout the EC as voters throw out those who have held power for so long. France will have a new government, leaving President Mitterrand to work with a right-wing administration. There will be a ferocious row within the right before they pick their prime minister. Watch out for Philippe Seguin, who led France's anti-Maastricht campaign. Jacques Delors will resign from the European Commission in a huff, to position himself for the race to succeed Mitterrand.

German politics will produce more good scandals, probably leaving some ministers spending time with their families. Predicting Italian politics is best left to professionals, but corruption trials and assaults on the Mafia will provide some sport.

Everything depends on the economy. If Germany descends into slump and the Bundesbank fails to reduce interest rates, expect the mother - and father - of all rows by the time of the Copenhagen summit in June as the European Monetary System unravels.

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