Labour poll lead cut to just three points but voters are tiring of Coalition

ComRes poll for The Independent are a setback to the Lib Dems, who hope country's first coalition since the Second World War will make voters more open to the idea

Voters are not warming to coalition government and  would prefer either the Conservatives or Labour to win an overall majority in 2015, according to a ComRes survey for The Independent.

It shows that Labour's lead over the Conservatives has halved to three points in the past month, its smallest in a ComRes poll since October last year. Labour is on 37 per cent (up one point since last month); the Tories on 34 per cent (up four points); the UK Independence Party 12 per cent (down two points); the Liberal Democrats 10 per cent (unchanged) and other parties 8 per cent (down one point).

Although these figures would give Ed Miliband a majority of 32 at a general election, the revival in Tory fortunes will worry Labour MPs. The Tories claim Labour is on the defensive over the deficit, welfare and its relationship with the trade unions.

The ComRes findings are a setback to the Lib Dems, who hope the country's first coalition since the Second World War will make voters more open to the idea. Asked whether Britain  is better off with a coalition than it would have been if the Conservatives or Labour had won the last election outright, only 29 per cent agreed and 57 per cent disagreed. The current Coalition does not appear to have won over Tory supporters to the merits of sharing power. While six in 10 Lib Dem voters believe the country (60 per cent) is better off with a coalition, almost two-thirds (64 per cent) of Tory voters disagree.

Public support for coalition has not improved since the same question was asked  in January 2011, when 32 per cent believed the nation was better off with a coalition and 58 per cent disagreed.

Three in four people (73 per cent) would now prefer one party to win an outright majority in 2015 rather than have another coalition, while 19 per cent disagree. Surprisingly, even a majority of Lib Dem voters (53 per cent) would prefer one party to win an overall majority, while 40 per cent would not. A big majority of Labour voters (82 per cent)  and Conservative voters (79 per cent)  would rather see one party win outright.

However, Lib Dem strategists will draw comfort from the suggestion that one in five voters would prefer another coalition. They are a key target for Nick Clegg's party and this finding will give it hope that it could do better in 2015 than its current 10 per cent poll rating suggests.

In the event of a hung parliament after the next election, a majority of  Lib Dem supporters (53 per cent) would prefer to see their party go into coalition with Labour rather the Conservatives, while 39 per cent disagree. 

The public as a whole  appear  more opposed to a second Lib-Con coalition than a Lib-Lab one. Women (45 per cent) are more likely than men (37 per cent) to prefer the Lib Dems to enter a coalition with Labour rather than the Tories.

Ukip's continuing slip reflects its lower profile since its strong performance in the May local elections. But almost one in five (17 per cent) of people who voted Tory at the last general election say they would now back Nigel Farage's party. Only half of those who voted for the Lib Dems in 2010 would so now, with one in four (26 per cent) saying they would back Labour.

ComRes interviewed 1,001 GB adults by telephone between 25 -27 July 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
ebooks
ebooksA special investigation by Andy McSmith
  • Get to the point
2015 General Election
May2015

Poll of Polls

Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Recruitment Genius: Recruitment Specialist - HR Team

£26000 - £30000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: They are the go-to company for ...

Recruitment Genius: Graphic Designer

£25000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: A great opportunity has arisen ...

Recruitment Genius: Telesales Executive - OTE £38,000

£16000 - £38000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This is an exciting opportunity...

Recruitment Genius: Parts Sales Advisor - OTE 18k-23k

£18000 - £23000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: One of Ford's leading Parts Who...

Day In a Page

Revealed: Why Mohammed Emwazi chose the 'safe option' of fighting for Isis, rather than following his friends to al-Shabaab in Somalia

Why Mohammed Emwazi chose Isis

His friends were betrayed and killed by al-Shabaab
'The solution can never be to impassively watch on while desperate people drown'
An open letter to David Cameron: Building fortress Europe has had deadly results

Open letter to David Cameron

Building the walls of fortress Europe has had deadly results
Tory candidates' tweets not as 'spontaneous' as they seem - you don't say!

You don't say!

Tory candidates' election tweets not as 'spontaneous' as they appear
Mubi: Netflix for people who want to stop just watching trash

So what is Mubi?

Netflix for people who want to stop just watching trash all the time
The impossible job: how to follow Kevin Spacey?

The hardest job in theatre?

How to follow Kevin Spacey
Armenian genocide: To continue to deny the truth of this mass human cruelty is close to a criminal lie

Armenian genocide and the 'good Turks'

To continue to deny the truth of this mass human cruelty is close to a criminal lie
Lou Reed: The truth about the singer's upbringing beyond the biographers' and memoirists' myths

'Lou needed care, but what he got was ECT'

The truth about the singer's upbringing beyond
Migrant boat disaster: This human tragedy has been brewing for four years and EU states can't say they were not warned

This human tragedy has been brewing for years

EU states can't say they were not warned
Women's sportswear: From tackling a marathon to a jog in the park, the right kit can help

Women's sportswear

From tackling a marathon to a jog in the park, the right kit can help
Hillary Clinton's outfits will be as important as her policies in her presidential bid

Clinton's clothes

Like it or not, her outfits will be as important as her policies
NHS struggling to monitor the safety and efficacy of its services outsourced to private providers

Who's monitoring the outsourced NHS services?

A report finds that private firms are not being properly assessed for their quality of care
Zac Goldsmith: 'I'll trigger a by-election over Heathrow'

Zac Goldsmith: 'I'll trigger a by-election over Heathrow'

The Tory MP said he did not want to stand again unless his party's manifesto ruled out a third runway. But he's doing so. Watch this space
How do Greek voters feel about Syriza's backtracking on its anti-austerity pledge?

How do Greeks feel about Syriza?

Five voters from different backgrounds tell us what they expect from Syriza's charismatic leader Alexis Tsipras
From Iraq to Libya and Syria: The wars that come back to haunt us

The wars that come back to haunt us

David Cameron should not escape blame for his role in conflicts that are still raging, argues Patrick Cockburn
Sam Baker and Lauren Laverne: Too busy to surf? Head to The Pool

Too busy to surf? Head to The Pool

A new website is trying to declutter the internet to help busy women. Holly Williams meets the founders