The ambitious programme of the International Clivar Project Office, however, intends to tackle it.
Clivar - a study of Climate Variability and Predictability - is a new project of the World Climate Research Programme which spans a wide range of timescales. As its director, Dr John Gould, explains: "It will conduct research aimed at such questions as: Can we predict whether next year's monsoon will be good or bad? Can we say when the next El Nino will be? ... Can we define precisely what its impacts will be?"
The answers to questions such as these will give perhaps the only real measure of the extent to which we are able to forecast the weather more than three days ahead.
The Clivar project office is in the process of moving from Hamburg to Southampton which, as we mentioned on Friday, was the hottest place in the country last week. Even if this is not a clear confirmation that these Clivar chaps know what they are talking about, it is good to know that the weather gods are smiling on their efforts.Reuse content