Bush set to hit back as Democrat leads 2-1

BILL CLINTON has a two-to-one lead over President Bush in two new opinion polls. The polls, taken at the weekend, put the Arkansas Governor 29 or 30 points ahead, approaching double the post-convention bump held, and lost, by Michael Dukakis in 1988.

Although both Republican and Democratic strategists are at pains to point out that summer polls in US presidential races are as soft as butter, Mr Bush's ratings are now close to a historical low for a sitting president.

The White House received further dispiriting news yesterday when the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, Alan Greenspan, forecast only a modest up-turn in the US economy in the second half of this year.

Although he said the recovery would soon 'gather momentum', Mr Greenspan gave the US Congress revised figures forecasting only 2.25 to 2.75 per cent annual growth for 1992, despite a solid first quarter. He also said unemployment would not fall much below its present eight-year peak of 7.8 per cent by the year's end.

In an attempt to arrest the Clinton surge before the Republican convention in Houston next month, the Bush campaign is to lay down its first barrage of nationwide TV advertising during the Barcelona Olympics, beginning this weekend. Mr Bush has dollars 7m ( pounds 3.6m) left over from his primary campaign war-chest. The White House said the advertising during the games would be 'positive'. No attempts would be made at this stage to sling mud at Mr Clinton. The advertisements would show President Bush talking about his record and his economic programme.

The Democratic candidate has overwhelmingly won the first scramble for the loyalties of orphaned supporters of the billionaire independent candidate, Ross Perot, who dropped out of the race last week.

A Washington Post-ABC poll, published yesterday, showed six out of 10 Perot supporters defecting to Mr Clinton and two out of 10 to Mr Bush (with the rest remaining disaffected).

The Perot melt-down, the successful Democratic convention and continuing alarm about the economy pushed Mr Clinton to 58 per cent in the Washington Post- ABC poll and President Bush down to 29 per cent. A Louis Harris poll - also conducted in the three days immediately after the Democratic convention - gave Mr Clinton a 30 point lead, 63 to 33.

A USA Today-CNN poll, published the previous day, showed Mr Clinton comfortably ahead in all regions of the country, including the south, a bastion of Republicanism in most presidential elections in the 1970s and 1980s.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
ebooks
ebooksA special investigation by Andy McSmith
  • Get to the point
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Recruitment Genius: Project Implementation Executive

£18000 - £23000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: They work with major vehicle ma...

Recruitment Genius: Chiropractic Assistant

£16500 per annum: Recruitment Genius: A Chiropractic Assistant is needed in a ...

Recruitment Genius: Digital Account Executive - Midlands

£18000 - £26000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: They work with major vehicle ma...

Recruitment Genius: Web Developer

£28000 - £30000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This company provides coaching ...

Day In a Page

NHS struggling to monitor the safety and efficacy of its services outsourced to private providers

Who's monitoring the outsourced NHS services?

A report finds that private firms are not being properly assessed for their quality of care
Zac Goldsmith: 'I'll trigger a by-election over Heathrow'

Zac Goldsmith: 'I'll trigger a by-election over Heathrow'

The Tory MP said he did not want to stand again unless his party's manifesto ruled out a third runway. But he's doing so. Watch this space
How do Greek voters feel about Syriza's backtracking on its anti-austerity pledge?

How do Greeks feel about Syriza?

Five voters from different backgrounds tell us what they expect from Syriza's charismatic leader Alexis Tsipras
From Iraq to Libya and Syria: The wars that come back to haunt us

The wars that come back to haunt us

David Cameron should not escape blame for his role in conflicts that are still raging, argues Patrick Cockburn
Sam Baker and Lauren Laverne: Too busy to surf? Head to The Pool

Too busy to surf? Head to The Pool

A new website is trying to declutter the internet to help busy women. Holly Williams meets the founders
Heston Blumenthal to cook up a spice odyssey for British astronaut manning the International Space Station

UK's Major Tum to blast off on a spice odyssey

Nothing but the best for British astronaut as chef Heston Blumenthal cooks up his rations
John Harrison's 'longitude' clock sets new record - 300 years on

‘Longitude’ clock sets new record - 300 years on

Greenwich horologists celebrate as it keeps to within a second of real time over a 100-day test
Fears in the US of being outgunned in the vital propaganda wars by Russia, China - and even Isis - have prompted a rethink on overseas broadcasters

Let the propaganda wars begin - again

'Accurate, objective, comprehensive': that was Voice of America's creed, but now its masters want it to promote US policy, reports Rupert Cornwell
Why Japan's incredible long-distance runners will never win the London Marathon

Japan's incredible long-distance runners

Every year, Japanese long-distance runners post some of the world's fastest times – yet, come next weekend, not a single elite competitor from the country will be at the London Marathon
Why does Tom Drury remain the greatest writer you've never heard of?

Tom Drury: The quiet American

His debut was considered one of the finest novels of the past 50 years, and he is every bit the equal of his contemporaries, Jonathan Franzen, Dave Eggers and David Foster Wallace
You should judge a person by how they peel a potato

You should judge a person by how they peel a potato

Dave Hax's domestic tips are reminiscent of George Orwell's tea routine. The world might need revolution, but we like to sweat the small stuff, says DJ Taylor
Beige is back: The drab car colours of the 1970s are proving popular again

Beige to the future

Flares and flounce are back on catwalks but a revival in ’70s car paintjobs was a stack-heeled step too far – until now
Bill Granger recipes: Our chef's dishes highlight the delicate essence of fresh cheeses

Bill Granger cooks with fresh cheeses

More delicate on the palate, milder, fresh cheeses can also be kinder to the waistline
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: 'This FA Cup run has been wonderful,' says veteran Shay Given

Shay Given: 'This FA Cup run has been wonderful'

The Villa keeper has been overlooked for a long time and has unhappy memories of the national stadium – but he is savouring his chance to play at Wembley
Timeless drama of Championship race in league of its own - Michael Calvin

Michael Calvin's Last Word

Timeless drama of Championship race in league of its own