Canada Tories steam into the deep blue water

Shattered party rebuilds with sharp swing to the right, Hugh Winsor writes from Ottawa

Canada's Conservatives, rebuilding themselves from their historic and catastrophic defeat four years ago, have taken a sharp right turn. In an effort to regain votes they have chosen what in British political terms might be called the "clear blue water" strategy.

As the country's undeclared election campaign moved into full swing this week, Jean Charest, leader of a revitalised Conservative Party, has taken a major gamble by targeting the right-wing populist Reform Party rather than the ruling Liberal government of Prime Minister Jean Chretien as the best route back to political contention and the rebuilding of his shattered party.

Politicians of every political stripe are taking advantage of the Easter parliamentary recess to pre-test the themes they plan to use in the formal campaign for an election that is widely expected to be announced next month for balloting in early June.

For Mr Charest this has meant a tour through vote-rich Ontario (which accounts for one third of the seats in the federal parliament) promising an immediate 10 per cent reduction in personal income taxes to be paid for by more cuts in social spending, the firing of 35,000 civil servants and the elimination of many business subsidies as well as selling off government assets.

Although some analysts have argued Mr Charest has picked the wrong enemy, the Tories seem to be preoccupied with the western-Canada based Reform Party which scooped up enough previously Conservative supporters to split the vote in 1993 and permit the Liberals to win a large majority.

Many of the new Conservative promises appear to be direct thefts from the Reform agenda, including tough rhetoric about law and order. Nevertheless, the Conservatives appear to be getting over their humiliating defeat in 1993 when they went from a comfortable majority of 165 seats in parliament to two.

That devastation was largely due to the electorate's desire for a change and a reaction against political sleaze and cronyism that surrounded the government of the former prime minister, Brian Mulroney. Reform and the Conservatives each won about 4 million votes in total but since the Reform vote was concentrated in the three western provinces, the party won 52 seats.

The political landscape has changed a lot since 1993, however. Memories of the Mulroney era have dimmed while Mr Charest, who is 39 and was only a junior minister in the Mulroney cabinet, has benefited from his youth, his ease in both English and French, his photogenic family and his strong performance on the federalist side during the Quebec referendum.

His personal popularity has shot up in the polls and even outpaces Mr Chretien's in Quebec, but until recently Mr Charest and his party offered a blank screen when it came to policy. Behind the scenes, party organisers and advisers were torn between attempting to out-reform Reform or to go after the more centrist Liberals.

In opting for the shift to the right, the Conservatives risk alienating areas where they have the best chance of winning back some of their traditional seats, especially in Atlantic Canada where there is unhappiness with Liberal initiatives to cut back on unemployment insurance and regional subsidies. The minimum goal is to win the 12 seats needed for official recognition as a party in parliament.

The Reform Party leader, Preston Manning, has predictably accused the Conservatives of stealing many of his policies while attacking the tax cut promise as fiscally irresponsible if the deficit is not eliminated first. The Reform Party is also in favour of reducing government, and cutting back social programmes.

But it is also promising tax cuts eventually and both parties attribute Ontario Premier Mike Harris's success at the provincial level to his pledge to cut taxes. The Reform Party has not been able to break out of its large rural Western Canadian base, however, because of the extreme views of some of its MPs and the unsympathetic perception of its leader, Mr Manning.

The party's hostility towards bilingualism and any recognition of Quebec's distinctiveness has precluded any support for it there. All of this provides an opportunity for the Conservatives to portray themselves as the only opposition party capable of winning support across the country and the only national alternative to the Liberals.

One of Canada's leading pollsters, Darryl Bricker, believes Mr Charest and the Conservatives have made a strategic error. "The people who moved from the Tories to Reform are unlikely to come back. But the Tories lost a lot more votes to the Liberals in the last election and it's the Liberals that should be their target," he said. None of this skirmishing appears to concern the Liberals who are cruising along with a 25 percentage point lead over their nearest rivals in the polls.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
There will be a chance to bid for a rare example of the SAS Diary, collated by a former member of the regiment in the aftermath of World War II but only published – in a limited run of just 5,000 – in 2011
charity appealTime is running out to secure your favourite lot as our auction closes at 2pm today
Elton John and David Furnish exchange marriage vows
peopleSinger posts pictures of nuptials throughout the day
File: James Woods attends the 52nd New York Film Festival at Walter Reade Theater on September 27, 2014
peopleActor was tweeting in wake of NYPD police shooting
Martin Skrtel heads in the dramatic equaliser
SPORTLiverpool vs Arsenal match report: Bandaged Martin Skrtel heads home in the 97th-minute
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
ebooksA year of political gossip, levity and intrigue from the sharpest pen in Westminster
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Recruitment Genius: Telesales & Customer Service Executives - Outbound & Inbound

£7 - £9 per hour: Recruitment Genius: Are you outgoing? Do you want to work in...

Recruitment Genius: National Account Manager / Key Account Sales

£30000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: An opportunity has arisen for a...

Recruitment Genius: Operations Manager

£30000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: An exciting opportunity to join...

Recruitment Genius: Recruitment Consultant

£30000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: We have an excellent role for a...

Day In a Page

Surrounded by high-rise flats is a little house filled with Lebanon’s history - clocks, rifles, frogmen’s uniforms and colonial helmets

Clocks, rifles, swords, frogmen’s uniforms

Surrounded by high-rise flats is a little house filled with Lebanon’s history
Return to Gaza: Four months on, the wounds left by Israel's bombardment have not yet healed

Four months after the bombardment, Gaza’s wounds are yet to heal

Kim Sengupta is reunited with a man whose plight mirrors the suffering of the Palestinian people
Gastric surgery: Is it really the answer to the UK's obesity epidemic?

Is gastric surgery really the answer to the UK's obesity epidemic?

Critics argue that it’s crazy to operate on healthy people just to stop them eating
Homeless Veterans appeal: Christmas charity auction Part 2 - now LIVE

Homeless Veterans appeal: Christmas charity auction

Bid on original art, or trips of a lifetime to Africa or the 'Corrie' set, and help Homeless Veterans
Pantomime rings the changes to welcome autistic theatre-goers

Autism-friendly theatre

Pantomime leads the pack in quest to welcome all
The week Hollywood got scared and had to grow up a bit

The week Hollywood got scared and had to grow up a bit

Sony suffered a chorus of disapproval after it withdrew 'The Interview', but it's not too late for it to take a stand, says Joan Smith
From Widow Twankey to Mother Goose, how do the men who play panto dames get themselves ready for the performance of a lifetime?

Panto dames: before and after

From Widow Twankey to Mother Goose, how do the men who play panto dames get themselves ready for the performance of a lifetime?
Thirties murder mystery novel is surprise runaway Christmas hit

Thirties murder mystery novel is surprise runaway Christmas hit

Booksellers say readers are turning away from dark modern thrillers and back to the golden age of crime writing
Anne-Marie Huby: 'Charities deserve the best,' says founder of JustGiving

Anne-Marie Huby: 'Charities deserve the best'

Ten million of us have used the JustGiving website to donate to good causes. Its co-founder says that being dynamic is as important as being kind
The botanist who hunts for giant trees at Kew Gardens

The man who hunts giants

A Kew Gardens botanist has found 25 new large tree species - and he's sure there are more out there
The 12 ways of Christmas: Spare a thought for those who will be working to keep others safe during the festive season

The 12 ways of Christmas

We speak to a dozen people who will be working to keep others safe, happy and healthy over the holidays
Birdwatching men have a lot in common with their feathered friends, new study shows

The male exhibits strange behaviour

A new study shows that birdwatching men have a lot in common with their feathered friends...
Diaries of Evelyn Waugh, Virginia Woolf and Noël Coward reveal how they coped with the December blues

Famous diaries: Christmas week in history

Noël Coward parties into the night, Alan Clark bemoans the cost of servants, Evelyn Waugh ponders his drinking…
From noble to narky, the fall of the open letter

From noble to narky, the fall of the open letter

The great tradition of St Paul and Zola reached its nadir with a hungry worker's rant to Russell Brand, says DJ Taylor
A Christmas ghost story by Alison Moore: A prodigal daughter has a breakthrough

A Christmas ghost story by Alison Moore

The story was published earlier this month in 'Poor Souls' Light: Seven Curious Tales'