Leading article: Both sides should cool the Cold War rhetoric
The future of two enclaves should not be allowed to spark conflict
Thursday, 28 August 2008
Russia's action in recognising the unilaterally declared independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia was hasty, intemperate and ill-advised. It was also utterly predictable. These two regions have tried to separate themselves from Georgia ever since the break-up of the Soviet Union, and they have twice declared independence, without convincing Russia to give them formal backing. Georgia's ill-fated attempt three weeks ago to change the facts on the ground by military means, gave them another chance. It is a chance that they, and Russia's new President Dmitry Medvedev, had no hesitation in seizing.
Predictable though it was, Russia's move adds a new twist to a crisis between the West and Russia that is becoming more dangerous by the day – and much of the blame for this rests with Russia. The Kremlin's response to Georgia's incursion into South Ossetia escalated into an invasion of Georgia – a sovereign, independent country. It was excessive. The withdrawal that was a vital component of the ceasefire agreement brokered by the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy, is not complete even now. Russian troops remain in the Georgian port of Poti and manning checkpoints on the approaches to the enclaves. Their presence is illegal and compromises Georgia's sovereignty. It must be ended forthwith.
That said, the peace initiative launched by France in the name of the European Union was probably the last time any good sense prevailed in this dispute. Since then, the US has sent a warship laden with humanitarian aid – thinly disguised gunboat diplomacy that was bound to irritate Russia. The procession of Western leaders to Tbilisi has exacerbated tensions, and the imminent arrival of the hawkish US Vice-President, Dick Cheney, is calculated to inflame a tense situation still further.
Similarly the Foreign Secretary's speech in Kiev yesterday, which imputed all blame to Russia, reproached the Kremlin for spurning the West's overtures for a decade and threatened Moscow with consequences for misbehaviour, including a drastic reduction in our need for Russian energy. Whatever the reason for his démarche – and David Miliband's personal ambitions in domestic politics, plus the fact he was "beaten" to Tbilisi by David Cameron, can surely not be excluded – this was rhetorical bluster of which we have heard all too much from all too many in recent weeks.
Paradoxically, once Mr Miliband's Kiev speech is shorn of the sabre-rattling and cold war clichés, the bare bones of a strategy can be discerned. He excludes disengagement with Russia and calls, rightly, for co-operation more tightly focused on Europe's interests. He stops short of giving any guarantees on Nato membership, stressing the need for a united international effort to resolve the so-called "frozen" conflicts.
Even this relatively modest programme will not be easy. To Moscow, the recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia represents a delayed Russian "payback" for the West's recognition of Kosovo. Mr Miliband tied himself in knots yesterday trying to argue that Kosovo set no precedent, but it certainly complicates Western efforts to challenge Russia's recognition of the Georgian enclaves. If more dots had been connected earlier, by the West as by Russia, the present predicament might have been avoided.
Now is a time for cool heads to find a way out of the impasse. The future of two small regions in the southern Caucasus cannot be allowed to precipitate a new era of conflict between East and West.
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Copyright 2008 Independent News and Media Limited





Comments
53 Comments
>'Both sides' need cool heads - well in that case maybe someone >should mention that to the Kremlin. It seems the West is trying to >avoid confrontation at all costs while Russia are continuing to >push the envelope with a 'What are you gonna do about it' >attitude.
That is why WSJ and other US/UK media scream about "imperialistic agressive Russia", "necessity to care about Ukraine" (why we did not ask about this); twist facts and, speaking by the words of this article, use "rhetorics of cold war".
Decent article. Both sides should calm down and just decide everything peacefully. And stop "care" about Ukraine.
Posted by Vlad | 01.09.08, 02:51 GMT
FromUSSRwithHate:
So my post of 30/08/08 09:42 is not factual? Significant that you didn't answer it? Of course anything that does not support you 'cause' is opinion and the authors are writers/novelists etc!
You of all people should know about conspiracy theories! Since the times of Peter the Great your country has relied on conspiracy theories to justify 'strong', undemocratic government, eg Russia now 'surrounded' by Nato and USA behind Georgian/Russian conflict to get their man in the White House!
I can only assume that you and Peter Lavelle are of the same ilk!
Posted by Richard | 31.08.08, 19:20 GMT
Dickie,
Do yourself a favor, look up the deffinition of the word "fact" and the word "opinion", then go back and read articles that you source all the time and do some major thinking. Think about how much your opinion is based on OPINIONS of writers and novelists who make their living selling conspiracy theory books, and how much of it is based on real facts. If after this exercise your opinion doesn't change, you are officially a conspiracy theory kook.
Posted by FromUSAwithLove | 31.08.08, 18:44 GMT
Of course anything (or most things!) that you cannot answer, you label as a conspiracy theory! Abusing your adversary usually indicates that you are losing the argument!
Posted by Richard | 31.08.08, 13:17 GMT
FromUSSRwithHate:
Is that the best you can do? Answering the questions as usual! LOL I didn't expect anything else though. If you work for the FSB, I predict that you'll be doing something more productive soon! Good riddance!
Posted by Richard | 31.08.08, 10:39 GMT
There you go Dickie, sourcing opinions from writers that make their living creating conspiracy theories and selling them to publishers, who in turn make money on those books. Next think, you are going to site Ramo and other action packed movies as your sources. I give up on you Dickie. Enjoy the Farenheit 911 crowd!
Posted by FromUSAwithLove | 31.08.08, 04:16 GMT
FromUSSRwithHate:
mises (dot) org (slash) story (slash) 307
Not so difficult to see why General Lebed died in a helicopter crash!
Posted by Richard | 30.08.08, 10:11 GMT
Why would they need to protect the identities of FSB agents taking part in an 'exercise' in Ryazan? What nonesense! Why were 30,000 people evacuated from their homes in Ryazan for an 'exercise'? Why did the local authorities not know of this 'exercise', in flagrant breach of Russian law? Why didn't even the local FSB know? The explosive was positively identified as RDX with a gas chromatograph whereas the FSB claimed it was sugar. The FSB even claimed to have tested it - why would they have needed to have done so if they had constructed a fake bomb for an 'exercise'?
What has the above got to do with conspiracy theories? The fact is that the KGB/FSB have propagated state terror for many years and had by far the most to gain. The Chechens had all to lose from it and never claimed the 'credit', whereas they did claim inother instances. They also did not have the expertise or the resources to mount such a campaign. Unfortunately all the proof is in the hands of the FSB!
Posted by Richad | 30.08.08, 09:42 GMT
There could be lots of reasons why they made the information sensitive: they could be protecting identities of agents involved, it could have been part of investigation, or may be there were corrupt FSB officers involved. Who knows? Linking Ryazan insident to Kremlin and saying that Kremlin ordered terrorist acts to provoke a war with Chechnya is a conspiracy theory that many kooks believe in. Just like in US many kooks believe that WTC was attacked by orders from CIA to provoke a war with Afghanistan and Iraq.
There was an official investigation conducted and most terrorists were punished, but you probably don't believe that investigation and would rather believe in the kokoo conspiracy theories without any facts to back it up right Dickie?
Posted by FromUSAwithLove | 29.08.08, 22:17 GMT
Actually you have answered very few of my questions!
Tell me why the State Duma imposed a 75 year restriction on the further release of information about the Ryazan FSB disaster? Not exactly the actions of innocents! Why would they do that if they had nothing to hide?
Of course, the question you have to ask is what radicalized the Albanians/Kosovars?
Posted by Richard | 29.08.08, 21:40 GMT
53 Comments