In the latest instalment of our Ashes Countdown series, The Independent's cricket correspondent pin-points where the 2009 Ashes will be won and lost.
Click the image on the right to launch our guide.
Whether it's the fans, the toss or the pundits - in past series minor details have changed the course of the Ashes and with this year's meeting between England and Australia too close to call, it could be the case again.
Where do you think the Ashes will be won and lost? Leave your comments and suggestions below.Reuse content