Football: World Cup - Group D: The Permutations

Nigeria are certain of winning the group and will meet the runners- up from Group C on Sunday. Qualification decided by (in order): points, goal difference, number of goals scored, outcome of encounter between the two sides, drawing lots.

1 Spain beat Bulgaria; Nigeria beat Paraguay: Spain finish as runners- up.

2 Spain beat Bulgaria; Nigeria draw with Paraguay: Spain finish as runners- up.

3 Spain beat Bulgaria; Paraguay beat Nigeria: Paraguay finish as runners- up.

4 Spain draw with Bulgaria; Nigeria beat Paraguay: Three teams finish on two points but in this scenario Bulgaria will be eliminated. If Paraguay lose by two goals or more Spain will finish runners-up. If Paraguay suffer a single goal defeat, they must score at least three more goals than Spain score tonight to be certain of finishing runners-up. As the group fixture between Spain and Paraguay finished all-square, the drawing of lots is a possibility.

5 Spain draw with Bulgaria; Nigeria draw with Paraguay; Paraguay finish as runners-up.

6 Spain draw with Bulgaria; Paraguay beat Nigeria: Paraguay finish as runners-up.

7 Bulgaria beat Spain; Nigeria beat Paraguay: Bulgaria finish as runners- up.

8 Bulgaria beat Spain; Nigeria draw with Paraguay: Bulgaria finish as runners-up.

9 Bulgaria beat Spain; Paraguay beat Nigeria: Paraguay finish as runners- up.