Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea backed to progress from Champions League group phase

Analysis from Bloomberg Sports makes current holders Real Madrid the favourites

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The Independent Online

Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea - the four clubs representing England in this year's Champions League - have been backed to progress from the group stage of the competition, by Bloomberg Sports analysis.

Some tough ties lie ahead for those teams from the Premier League, with Liverpool facing Real Madrid, Manchester City against Bayern Munich and Roma and Arsenal meeting Borussia Dortmund.

However, Bloomberg Sports' match analysis which takes into account recent and historic performances, transfer activity and the group stage fixtures, suggests all four will make it through to the knock-out phase.

Arsenal and Chelsea are backed to win their groups, with a likelihood of progressing at 84.6 per cent and 93.66 per cent respectively.

Liverpool and Manchester City are expected to go through as runners-up, with an 88 per cent and 68.62 per cent chance of progress respectively. Real Madrid are backed to finish above Brendan Rodgers' side, whilst Bayern Munich are the favourites to progress from Group E which contains Yaya Toure and Co.

The tweet below shows what the likelihood is that the winner will come from each nation with clubs participating in the competition.

 

In terms of winning the entire competition, among the English teams Chelsea are the favourites. Jose Mourinho's side are given an 11.87 per cent chance of glory. Manchester City have a 6.7 per cent chance, Arsenal 4.9 per cent and Liverpool 2.4 per cent.

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Gareth Bale lifts the Champions League trophy aloft

 

Real Madrid, the current holders, are the favourites to reach and then triumph in the final in Berlin. Carlo Ancelotti's side are given a 19.03 per cent chance of success. Bayern Munich and Barcelona are the second and third favourites ahead of Chelsea in fourth.

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