League One preview: Home comforts for Howe

 

We're a quarter of the
way through the season, and only 37 per cent of League One matches have been
home wins. History tells us the figure should settle at somewhere in the 40s by
the end of this next quarter, so let's not shy away from a couple of
speculative bets contributing to the expected increase on Saturday.

And when you're dealing in the variance of home advantage, where better to start than with the contrast provided by the return of Eddie Howe at Bournemouth. The atmosphere around Dean Court was increasingly tetchy throughout the reign of Paul Groves, but Howe's mere presence was enough to lift the Cherries to victory over Leyton Orient last weekend.

The 34-year-old homebird was doing a reasonable job in he Championship with Burnley but dropped everything once the call came from Eddie Mitchell, offering him and his assistant Jason Tindall a route back to Dorset, prompting jubilant scenes among supporters. Take the 6/4 about Bournemouth following up with another victory against early pacesetters Tranmere.

Forget the false start, the Cherries have been labouring under a weight of expectation but they have the personnel to be fighting for promotion and now they have the manager to sort out the wheat from the chaff in terms of tactical strategy.

Finding the right balance might take time, but Howe can count on greater intensity from the players while he makes his mind up. His past association with old faces is bound to put the expensive new arrivals on their toes and it should result in some much-needed competition for places.

Tranmere have been nothing short of phenonmenal up to this point but they're overachieving in a big way. To put the matter into context, consider the fact they would finish on 115 points if they maintained this form - and then appreciate that's more than they picked up in the past two seasons put together.

Indeed, Rovers dropped their standards when falling two goals behind at home to Yeovil last weekend only to then complete an extraordinary comeback and win the game 3-2. It said as much about the state of the Glovers' defence as it did about the Merseysiders soaring confidence, but Ronnie Moore's men are pushing their luck now and the bubble looks ready to burst.

Meanwhile, Carlisle had a lucky escape at Bury in midweek, snatching a point with a late Joe Garner strike deep into stoppage time, but we reckon those high-jinks at Gigg Lane will come at a cost when they make the long journey down to Colchester three days later.

Greg Abbott's haven't been performing to the standards we've come to expect in recent years. After four seasons of continual progress, the Cumbrians were widely fancied to push for a top-six finish this time around but last weekend's humbling 4-0 home defeat against Notts County reinforced the view that they are some way short without the talismanic presence of Lee Miller.

Colchester endured a dreadful start to the campaign under John Ward but their fortunes have picked up dramatically under successor Joe Dunne. The Irishman had shown managerial promise in a previous stint as caretaker and he couldn't wait to get his teeth into the job when he was called upon again following Ward's dismissal.

The U's have subsequently won three of their last four league matches, bringing a much more positive dynamic to the sparsely-populated Community Stadium and they look good value to conitnue the resurgence at odds of 6/4.

Betting advice...

2pts Bournemouth to beat Tranmere at 6/4

Rovers bubble looks ready to burst and the Cherries are full of purpose again.

2pts Colchester to beat Carlisle at 6/4

Long journey south will do Cumbrians no favours after late drama in midweek.

For more betting advice, visit Best of the Bets by clicking here.

PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Arts and Entertainment
From Mean Girls to Mamet: Lindsay Lohan
theatre
Sport
Nathaniel Clyne (No 2) drives home his side's second goal past Arsenal’s David Ospina at the Emirates
footballArsenal 1 Southampton 2: Arsène Wenger pays the price for picking reserve side in Capital One Cup
News
Mike Tyson has led an appalling and sad life, but are we not a country that gives second chances?
peopleFormer boxer 'watched over' crash victim until ambulance arrived
Arts and Entertainment
Geena Davis, founder and chair of the Geena Davis Institute on Gender in Media
tv
News
i100
Travel
travelGallery And yes, it is indoors
Life and Style
tech
Arts and Entertainment
The Tiger Who Came To Tea
booksJudith Kerr on what inspired her latest animal intruder - 'The Crocodile Under the Bed'
News
i100
Arts and Entertainment
British actor Idris Elba is also a DJ and rapper who played Ibiza last summer
film
News
Alan Bennett criticised the lack of fairness in British society encapsulated by the private school system
peopleBut he does like Stewart Lee
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?

Bleacher Report

Daily Quiz
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services

Day In a Page

Syria air strikes: ‘Peace President’ Obama had to take stronger action against Isis after beheadings

Robert Fisk on Syria air strikes

‘Peace President’ Obama had to take stronger action against Isis after beheadings
Will Lindsay Lohan's West End debut be a turnaround moment for her career?

Lindsay Lohan's West End debut

Will this be a turnaround moment for her career?
'The Crocodile Under the Bed': Judith Kerr's follow-up to 'The Tiger Who Came to Tea'

The follow-up to 'The Tiger Who Came to Tea'

Judith Kerr on what inspired her latest animal intruder - 'The Crocodile Under the Bed' - which has taken 46 years to get into print
BBC Television Centre: A nostalgic wander through the sets, studios and ghosts of programmes past

BBC Television Centre

A nostalgic wander through the sets, studios and ghosts of programmes past
Lonesome George: Custody battle in Galapagos over tortoise remains

My George!

Custody battle in Galapagos over tortoise remains
10 best rucksacks for backpackers

Pack up your troubles: 10 best rucksacks for backpackers

Off on an intrepid trip? Experts from student trip specialists Real Gap and Quest Overseas recommend luggage for travellers on the move
Secret politics of the weekly shop

The politics of the weekly shop

New app reveals political leanings of food companies
Beam me up, Scottie!

Beam me up, Scottie!

Celebrity Trekkies from Alex Salmond to Barack Obama
Beware Wet Paint: The ICA's latest ambitious exhibition

Beware Wet Paint

The ICA's latest ambitious exhibition
Pink Floyd have produced some of rock's greatest ever album covers

Pink Floyd have produced some of rock's greatest ever album covers

Can 'The Endless River' carry on the tradition?
Sanctuary for the suicidal

Sanctuary for the suicidal

One mother's story of how London charity Maytree helped her son with his depression
A roller-coaster tale from the 'voice of a generation'

Not That Kind of Girl:

A roller-coaster tale from 'voice of a generation' Lena Dunham
London is not bedlam or a cradle of vice. In fact it, as much as anywhere, deserves independence

London is not bedlam or a cradle of vice

In fact it, as much as anywhere, deserves independence
Vivienne Westwood 'didn’t want' relationship with Malcolm McLaren

Vivienne Westwood 'didn’t want' relationship with McLaren

Designer 'felt pressured' into going out with Sex Pistols manager
Jourdan Dunn: Model mother

Model mother

Jordan Dunn became one of the best-paid models in the world