League Two weekend betting preview: United eyes on the prize
Michael Holden is one of the UK's leading football betting tipsters. A former casino croupier with a deep-rooted curiosity in statistics and probabilities, his passion for betting on the beautiful game stretches back more than two decades. Since graduating as a journalist from the University of Central Lancashire in 2005, he has delivered consistent profits for his legion of followers on Sportinglife.com and produced many groundbreaking feature articles on the application of social science in a football betting context. He is now the editor of Bestofthebets.com having orchestrated the design, build and launch of the new sports betting website for Gaming Media Group during the summer of 2011.
Friday 13 April 2012
Steve Evans might be the “man of the moment” according to Rotherham chairman Tony Stewart but the former Crawley boss would be best advised to leave well alone when he selects his team for Saturday's trip to Shrewsbury. If it ain't broke, don't fix it - that's the mantra.
The appointment of Evans was as a surprise for many reasons, but the timing raised eyebrows for the simple fact that Darren Patterson was doing a marvellous job as caretaker and probably deserved to carry his handy work through to the end of the season.
A run of four wins in five matches have propelled Rotherham to within four points of the play-offs and Evans will be well aware of their strengths because his Crawley team were dominated by them for 45 minutes on their own ground three weeks ago.
In truth, the Red Devils turned the tables after the interval to justify odds of 4/6 but the eventual 3-0 scoreline was nothing like a fair reflection of the balance and we would expect Evans to wax lyrical about what he saw from his new troops that day.
So the Millers are in good nick and we think they're capable of ending Shrewsbury's magnificent unbeaten home record, providing Evans sticks to what he does best and simply motivates them rather than trying to educate them.
That said, we do realise a trip to the New Meadow is arguably the toughest assignment on the League Two calendar once you look beyond the powerhouse that Paolo Di Canio has created at Swindon but we're also mindful that the record can become a mental burden on Graham Turner's men with so few matches remaining.
The Shropshire club have been going about their business with great professionalism in recent weeks as they bid to avoid a repeat of last season's double disappointment when they missed out on automatic promotion on the final day, only to then be floored by Torquay in the play-offs with barely time to catch their breath.
So we're not in the business of undermining their efforts, we just think odds of 4/1 or greater about the away win have some appeal in light of the momentum Rotherham are generating.
1pt Rotherham to beat Shrewsbury at 7/4 (Stan James)
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