James Moore: Losing Streak (09/07/10)
Friday 09 July 2010
Today's bets: Miroslav Klose to score first in the third-place play-off at 9-2 (Bet365). Mesut Ozil to score first in the same game 11-1 (widely available)
I blame that blasted mollusc. The Teutonic so-called "psychic octopus" and YouTube star has displayed a remarkable facility for predicting Germany's results (by picking mussels out of a tank with the winner's flag), so its selection of Spain to sail through the semi-final must have cast a pall on the pre-game team talk. Or something.
The referee didn't do Germany any favours, though, denying Mesut Ozil a penalty – or at least a free-kick from a tasty position – after he was cut down on the edge of the box. Some English fans may consider that poetic justice.
Ah well. They were 14-1 at the start of the tournament, after all, and 14-1 shots don't often come through. There's always the European Championship, when this newish-looking Germany side will be a formidable opponent for anyone, even if Miroslav Klose isn't getting any younger. It's too early to take the 11-2 now, because your stake money will be locked up for two years unless you have a credit account. All the same, that price could look like value before too long.
Can Klose slot another one in tomorrow's third-place play-off? This is not a match that is easy to predict. Uruguay never really expected to get to this stage. They may feel that the third-place play-off is effectively their final. Germany, by contrast, had hopes of winning the whole thing. After a narrow semi-final defeat they might simply not bother to turn up.
It has to be said, though, that Turkey didn't seem that bothered eight years ago when they disposed of a South Korea side who were clearly desperate to win, and collapsed in floods of tears when they didn't. Predicting the result, then, is not a market I'd be that keen on getting involved with. There are just too many variables.
However, I would be interested in another tickle at the first goalscorer market, because I think Klose will be keen to end his World Cup career with a flourish and the 9-2 about him with Bet365 is worth a little interest. Lukas Podolski was anonymous on Wednesday, so I'm abandoning him but I think at a commonly available 11-1 Ozil could also do the job. But for that foul he would have come very close to doing it against Spain.
Latest in Sport
England vs Lithuania: Wayne Rooney rules out repeat of boxing celebration after son Kai repeats it at school and focuses on goalscoring record
Paul Scholes: Frustrated Steven Gerrard should have started crucial game between Liverpool and Manchester United
Paul Scholes: It's amazing Manchester United midfielder Michael Carrick has so few caps for England
New kits for 2015/16: Have the Arsenal, Manchester United, Chelsea, Liverpool and Barcelona strips been leaked?
England vs Lithuania: Theo Walcott 'at risk of being left behind' in Three Lions pecking order
- 1 Germanwings crash: Police make 'significant discovery' at home of co-pilot Andreas Lubitz
- 2 JK Rowling responds to fan tweeting she 'can't see' Dumbledore being gay
- 3 The West has it totally wrong on Lee Kuan Yew
- 4 #FreeTheNipple: Women in Iceland bare breasts in solidarity with trolled student
- 5 Jeremy Clarkson calls on trolls to leave producer Oisin Tymon alone: 'None of this is his fault'
Nigel Farage brands LGBT activists 'filth' and 'scum' and accuses them of scaring away his children after they invade his local pub
Ukip supporters are 55 or older, white and socially conservative, finds British Social Attitudes Report
JK Rowling responds to fan tweeting she 'can't see' Dumbledore being gay
Russia threatens Denmark with nuclear weapons if it tries to join Nato defence shield
Jeremy Clarkson sacked live: Alan Yentob 'wouldn't rule out' ex Top Gear host's BBC return
Germanwings plane crash live: Andreas Guenter Lubitz intentionally crashed flight 9525 into the Alps in act of mass murder and suicide – latest