World Cup 2014: Just 4% of England fans think Roy Hodgson's team will win the tournament in Brazil... that's fewer than favour South Korea!

A new study shows England fans are the most pessimistic around

England supporters’ pessimism has been hard earned and borne out of 50 years of misery and pain in major tournaments.

But a new poll shows that Three Lions fans are so far down on their luck that only Costa Rican fans think they have less chance of winning the World Cup.

In a study of 19 countries by The Upshot, just four per cent of English people believed they would win the World Cup – even South Korea have eight per cent believing in their team.

To put that into perspective, Roy Hodgson’s men are currently ranked 10th in the official FIFA World Rankings and South Korea are 55th.

However, researchers from Cambridge University Press say that the England squad's confidence is soaring, despite draws against Ecuador and Honduras in Miami.

At the other end of the scale, Brazil have the most confident fans heading into the tournament, with 64 per cent believing Luiz Felipe Scolari can deliver a sixth Jules Rimet trophy.

According to the same study, 26 per cent of England fans have Brazil as the favourites, with Spain second with just nine per cent and our least favourite teams are Russia and Germany.

England pip Brazil to be Argentina’s least favourite team, while fans in Australia and Japan think Wayne Rooney and Co are the second best team to watch, after Brazil.

South Korean fans think they are more likely to win the World Cup

Read more: Tim Rich gives eye-witness account of dreadful Manaus pitch
Raheem Sterling set for No 10 role
Roy Hodgson faces the biggest test of his long career

Somewhat surprisingly, almost 50 per cent of the English fans polled were ‘not interested’ in football, with just 19 per cent very interested. Colombia can claim to be the world’s most football-mad nation, with 50 per cent ‘very interested’ and just six per cent ‘not interested’.

World Cup fever is yet to grip England, but a good performance and three points in Manaus against Italy might act as a catalyst.

But then again, most England fans probably think they’ll lose.

However, that negativity is not reaching the players in Hodgson's squad - their confidence is actually on the rise as the tournament approaches.

Cambridge University Press have created the 'Cambridge Confidence Index' by analysing and assessing millions of words relating to football from a range of media sources.

They found that confidence in the England team had risen from 53 before the match with Peru to 77 in the wake of the Honduras draw.

Words such as 'progress', 'joy' and 'strong' have been increasingly used by players, staff and fans, while Luke Shaw and Adan Lallana have been described in glowing terms.

Ahead of the Italy game Mario Balotelli is the most mentioned opponent, with words like 'tough' and 'dangerous' most frequently used.

Dr Claire Dembry said: "It’s interesting to see that the nation is in confident spirits ahead of the Italy game, despite some fairly lacklustre performances against Ecuador and Honduras.”

“Football fever has certainly arrived, and this is reflected in the confident language being used in the media to describe the England team, as well as the tournament as a whole."

Arts and Entertainment
The cast of The Big Bang Theory in a still from the show
tvBig Bang Theory filming delayed by contract dispute over actors' pay
Sport
England celebrate a wicket for Moeen Ali
sportMoeen Ali stars with five wickets as Cook's men level India series
News
peopleGuitarist, who played with Aerosmith, Lou Reed and Alice Cooper among others, was 71
News
Robyn Lawley
people
PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
News
people
News
people
News
i100  ... he was into holy war way before it was on trend
Life and Style
lifeDon't get caught up on climaxing
Life and Style
food + drinkVegetarians enjoy food as much as anyone else, writes Susan Elkin
Arts and Entertainment
Harry Potter (Daniel Radcliffe), Hermione Granger (Emma Watson) and Ron Weasley (Rupert Grint)
newsBloomsbury unveils new covers for JK Rowling's wizarding series
News
scienceScientists try to explain the moon's funny shape
Sport
Usain Bolt confirms he will run in both the heats and the finals of the men's relay at the Commonwealth Games
commonwealth games
News
peopleHowards' Way actress, and former mistress of Jeffrey Archer, was 60
Life and Style
Troy Baker and Ashley Johnson voice the show’s heroes
gamingOnce stilted and melodramatic, Hollywood is giving acting in video games a makeover
News
i100
Arts and Entertainment
As Loki in The Avengers (2012)
filmRead Tom Hiddleston's email to Joss Whedon on prospect of playing Loki
Voices
voices In defence of the charcoal-furred feline, by Felicity Morse
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?

Bleacher Report

Daily Quiz
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services

Day In a Page

Save the tiger: The day America’s love of backyard tigers led to a horrific bloodbath

The day America’s love of backyard tigers led to a horrific bloodbath

With only six per cent of the US population of these amazing big cats held in zoos, the Zanesville incident in 2011 was inevitable
Samuel Beckett's biographer reveals secrets of the writer's time as a French Resistance spy

How Samuel Beckett became a French Resistance spy

As this year's Samuel Beckett festival opens in Enniskillen, James Knowlson, recalls how the Irish writer risked his life for liberty and narrowly escaped capture by the Gestapo
We will remember them: relatives still honour those who fought in the Great War

We will remember them

Relatives still honour those who fought in the Great War
Star Wars Episode VII is being shot on film - and now Kodak is launching a last-ditch bid to keep celluloid alive

Kodak's last-ditch bid to keep celluloid alive

Director J J Abrams and a few digital refuseniks shoot movies on film. Simon Usborne wonders what the fuss is about
Once stilted and melodramatic, Hollywood is giving acting in video games a makeover

Acting in video games gets a makeover

David Crookes meets two of the genre's most popular voices
Could our smartphones soon be diagnosing diseases via Health Kit and Google Fit?

Could smartphones soon be diagnosing diseases?

Health Kit and Google Fit have been described as "the beginning of a health revolution"
Ryanair has turned on the 'charm offensive' but can we learn to love the cut-price carrier again?

Can we learn to love Ryanair again?

Four recent travellers give their verdicts on the carrier's improved customer service
Billionaire founder of Spanx launches range of jeans that offers

Spanx launches range of jeans

The jeans come in two styles, multiple cuts and three washes and will go on sale in the UK in October
10 best over-ear headphones

Aural pleasure: 10 best over-ear headphones

Listen to your favourite tracks with this selection, offering everything from lambskin earmuffs to stainless steel
Commonwealth Games 2014: David Millar ready to serve up gold for his beloved Scotland in the end

Commonwealth Games

David Millar ready to serve up gold for his beloved Scotland in the end
UCI Mountain Bike World Cup 2014: Downhill all the way to the top for the Atherton siblings

UCI Mountain Bike World Cup

Downhill all the way to the top for the Atherton siblings
Save the tiger: The animals bred for bones on China’s tiger farms

The animals bred for bones on China’s tiger farms

The big cats kept in captivity to perform for paying audiences and then, when dead, their bodies used to fortify wine
A former custard factory, a Midlands bog and a Leeds cemetery all included in top 50 hidden spots in the UK

A former custard factory, a Midlands bog and a Leeds cemetery

Introducing the top 50 hidden spots in Britain
Ebola epidemic: Plagued by fear

Ebola epidemic: Plagued by fear

How a disease that has claimed fewer than 2,000 victims in its history has earned a place in the darkest corner of the public's imagination
Chris Pratt: From 'Parks and Recreation' to 'Guardians of the Galaxy'

From 'Parks and Recreation' to 'Guardians of the Galaxy'

He was homeless in Hawaii when he got his big break. Now the comic actor Chris Pratt is Hollywood's new favourite action star