It's a level playing field for all of the runners – until the tapes go up

Two past winners and 38 wannabes line up, but some chances seem more obvious than others. Chris McGrath guides you over the obstacles and past the pitfalls



Hot Shots



Arbor Supreme


Hampered when unseating at halfway last year but lightly weighted, shaped well in his rehearsal, loves a test of stamina and drying conditions are in his favour. Odds 20-1

Becauseicouldntsee

Has long looked an ideal type and excelled against Majestic Concorde last time. Just a pity his preparations have been interrupted by minor surgery. Odds 25-1

Character Building

Tired into seventh last year only after making up loads of ground from rear, and has had better preparation now. Rider well qualified to be first woman to win National. Odds 25-1

The Midnight Club

Has the priceless assistance of Ruby Walsh and Ireland's top trainer. Still improving, won a strong trial and has been craving a proper test of stamina. Odds 10-1

What A Friend

Career best when fourth in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, a run that would require him to carry much more weight in future. Big chance in Sir Alex Ferguson's colours. Odds 12-1

Coming To The Elbow

Ballabriggs

From the stable that gave us Red Rum, his bold style has long looked ideal for Aintree. But how much petrol will remain in the tank for the long run-in? Odds 14-1

In Compliance

Once threatened to be top-class, and is kindly weighted. Lost apprentice rider last time but ran well over these fences last year and attractive odds if lasting home. Odds 66-1

Oscar Time

His dashing amateur rider has won the Cheltenham Gold Cup and he shaped well in his rehearsal, although did not quite last home in the Irish National last year. Odds 12-1

Skippers Brig

Looks dangerously weighted after beating Ballabriggs in their warm-up, and could improve again over this distance, but drying ground is a worry. Odds 33-1

State Of Play

Goes well here, and best fresh, so audaciously held back since finishing third last year. Unlikely to give the leaders such a start this time, and is fairly weighted. Odds 25-1

In Midfield

Backstage

Top jockey and trainer, and similar preparation to his stable's 2007 winner, Silver Birch, but requires a leap of faith in terms of both form and stamina. Odds 12-1

Bluesea Cracker

Wore down Oscar Time in the Irish National last year and has shaped well in her build-up, though it is uncertain how she will cope with faster ground. Odds 25-1

Don't Push It

Managed to exorcise Tony McCoy's Aintree curse last year, and has enjoyed a similar preparation, but must concede weight all round this time. Odds 10-1

Dooneys Gate

Represents Ireland's top stable and ran well over these fences last season, but stamina is uncertain and his amateur partner has won just one steeplechase. Odds 66-1

Golden Kite

Forget his warm-up over hurdles in bad ground and you could give this dour stayer a chance at big odds, with a good strike rate in these conditions. Odds 50-1

Killyglen

Signs of renewal for new stable and ran better than it appeared last time, burning up too much fuel in sharing a hot pace. Type to relish the distance. Odds 50-1

Majestic Concorde

Inexperience a concern after competing in just seven steeplechases, but impressed last time and top connections make the odds tempting. Odds 28-1

Niche Market

Won the Irish National for his previous trainer but Walsh turned him down after he showed little over an inadequate distance at Newbury last time. Odds 20-1

Silver By Nature

Scottish grey would have been given more weight after a runaway success in Haydock mud, but ability to match that on faster going unproven. Odds 14-1

Tidal Bay

Hopelessly unreliable, but has the talent if he has got out of bed the right side, and a very able rider, too. Might just down tools if it looks too much like hard work. Odds 33-1

Outsiders

Big Fella Thanks

Going well on home turn last year but ultimately beaten miles into fourth and his new trainer, who excels with stayers, must find new reserves from somewhere. Odds 16-1

Calgary Bay

Might take to this challenge, as he can jump and travel with gusto, but whether he will retain energy for the final slog is another question. Odds 33-1

Can't Buy Time

Failed to get round in the last two runnings, and has had a season of fits and starts, but fairly treated at the weights on his very best form. Odds 66-1

Comply Or Die

First in 2008, second in 2009, but faded badly last year and has shown little sign of life since; fairly weighted but surely vulnerable to younger legs. Odds 50-1

Hello Bud

Nearly as old as his jockey but again jumped brilliantly when winning over a shorter distance here in November. Stamina ran dry, however, when fifth last year. Odds 33-1

Quinz

Flamboyant youngster who would have more weight in future, but most of his form is on right-handed (clockwise) tracks and he remains very short of experience. Odds 16-1

Royal Rosa

Has had his moments round here, twice runner-up over these fences, but was taken off his feet when unseating his rider at halfway in this last year. Odds 80-1

The Tother One

Has hinted at better, given a test of stamina, but has increasingly looked too inaccurate over his fences, and too irresolute when the chips are down. Odds 66-1

Vic Venturi

Has won round here but lacked fluency before coming down last year, has plenty of weight to carry, and his stamina open to doubt, too. Odds 50-1

West End Rocker

Top connections, so worth forgiving his blip last time, but suspicion is that previous improvement in a lower grade was insufficient to get him involved here. Odds 33-1

Foinavon Fodder

Chief Dan George

Won at the Cheltenham Festival last year but already under pressure when early faller on his return there, hardly threatening an imminent return to form. Odds 40-1

Grand Slam Hero

Flourished last summer but made no show on his return from a break last time, and his jumping has looked too diffident to cope with a test like this. Odds 100-1

King Fontaine

Has not coped with a step up in class after reeling off four wins in lesser company, soon struggling to find a rhythm at Cheltenham last time. Odds 66-1

Ornais

Entitled to be rusty on both starts since a long absence, but his best form has come in small fields and this will be a very different kettle of fish. Odds 66-1

Or Noir De Somoza

Impossible to know what to expect from this French import, prolific over shorter distances, but odds are against him winning a National at the drop of a hat. Odds 50-1

Piraya

Lacks stamina and probably commitment, too. Tailed off at 100-1 last season and recent starts promise little better, after he took no interest at Cheltenham. Odds 150-1

Quolibet

Recent French import who offered precious little on British debut, sent off at 50-1 and failing to cut the mustard in undemanding company at Cheltenham. Odds 125-1

Santa's Son

Must make surreal improvement at 11, having spent his career making only a modest impact at shorter distances, finishing well beaten most recently at Cheltenham. Odds 200-1

Surface To Air

Ancient history records that he won three of his first four steeplechases but that was nearly three years ago, and finished tailed off last over hurdles on his comeback. Odds 66-1

That's Rhythm

Ready for a fresh start but only those with long memories will remember him cruising when falling in the Scottish National a couple of years ago. Odds 150-1

Our experts' predictions for today's National

Chris McGrath, Racing Correspondent

1. Arbor Supreme

2. Becauseicouldntsee

3. The Midnight Club

4. Character Building

Sue Montgomery, Racing Writer

1. Bluesea Cracker

2. Backstage

3. The Midnight Club

4. Big Fella Thanks

Hyperion, Tipster

1. Ballabriggs

2. Surface To Air

3. Character Building

4. Don't Push It

James Lawton, Chief Sports Writer

1. Oscar Time

2. Don't Push It

3. Tidal Bay

4. Niche Market

Independent Comment
blog comments powered by Disqus
Caption competition
Caption competition
News in pictures
World news in pictures
Sport blogs

New day (slowly) rising – As Brasileirão gets underway, Brazilian football stumbles, rather than leaps into the future

The average Serie A crowd last year was 13,000 - comparable to Australia’s A-League.

by James Young

iBet: Mercedes and Hamilton to roar in Monaco

Monaco is a street circuit where driver ability is more important than anywhere else and if we take ...

by Gareth Purnell

On The Road at the Giro d’Italia: It sounds sadistic, but the team live for the mountain stages

Three weeks ago as I drove off the Eurostar, I remember thinking what a very long time it was until ...

by Martin Ayres

       
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services

Day In a Page

Andrew Mitchell: 'It's no good feeling hard done by'

Andrew Mitchell: 'It's no good feeling hard done by'

In his first interview since 'plebgate', the former Chief Whip opens up just enough to concede that, in politics, you have to take the rough with the smooth
Corruption and the FCO: Blue skies, white sands, dark clouds

Corruption and the FCO: Blue skies, white sands, dark clouds

Special report: Met police call for criminal inquiry into former diplomat's Cayman Islands rule
Fallen angel: Winona Ryder on bouncing back from her decade in the wilderness

Fallen angel: Winona Ryder bounces back

She owned the 1990s... but then she disappeared. Now, Ms Ryder is back with quite the bang in her latest role, as the wife of a notorious real-life Mob hitman.
Roman Polanski shakes Cannes Film Festival

Roman Polanski shakes Cannes Film Festival

The director's new film, 'Venus in Fur', is one of the raciest on offer
Rev Richard Coles: 'I don’t have any concerns that God is cross with me for being gay and eventually the Church won’t either'

Rev Richard Coles on the Church and homosexuality

The mellifluous, erudite and witty Coles is the nation's most pop-culture-friendly priest
'Baghdad likes to live from crisis to crisis': Civil war looms in Iraq

Patrick Cockburn: Civil war looms in Iraq

The governor of Kirkuk - one of the country's most violent but successful provinces - fears the worst
Written on the body: Tattooists at pains to point out their artistic credentials

Written on the body

Tattooists at pains to point out their artistic credentials
Conquering Everest: 60 facts about the world's tallest mountain

Conquering Everest: 60 facts about the world's tallest mountain

The IoS marks the sixtieth anniversary of Sir Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay first reaching the peak of the highest mountain on Earth
A new, and irreversible, Dust Bowl looms

Rupert Cornwell: A new, and irreversible, Dust Bowl looms

The destructive power of tornadoes will be as nothing once the Great Plains' vast underground water reserve dries up
Every creature's needless death diminshes us all

Philip Hoare: Every creature's needless death diminishes us all

A 60 per cent decline in our national species should alarm us, yet few of us act. But to mind more about animals would reflect well on society
Killing with kindness: Burma's religious battleground - and the monks at the heart of it

Killing with kindness: Burma's religious battleground

Six years ago, the world cheered the monks behind Burma’s Saffron Revolution. Now, a horrific new eruption of religious slaughter is being blamed on a 'Buddhist Bin Laden'.
Let's take it outside: Bill Granger's Bank Holiday feast

Let's take it outside: Bill Granger's Bank Holiday feast

You can’t always depend on the weather – but you can avoid the pitfalls of the British barbecue by preparing an elaborate outdoor feast indoors ahead of time...
The Calvin report: Stirring Champions League final shows how far English game must advance

The Calvin report

Stirring Champions League final shows how far English game must advance
10 big questions for the British & Irish Lions to answer

10 big questions for the British & Irish Lions to answer

Warren Gatland's squad fly Down Under aiming to do justice to the expectations – and hoping the Wallabies stay in the pub
The Last Word: Golf must end the hypocrisy before its halo slips totally

The Last Word

Golf must end the hypocrisy before its halo slips totally