Mile looks making of Moohaajim against unbeaten market leaders

 

Betting on the Qipco 2,000 Guineas is so skewed towards the two favourites that neither retains any vestige of value.

Dawn Approach jumped through every hoop as a juvenile, will prove better again over this trip, and is in the best of hands with Jim Bolger. But anyone contemplating short odds must acknowledge that he found a couple of pretty slight Group One fields in the autumn, while the  precocity he showed as early as March last year will be less of an asset against maturing rivals here.

One such, Toronado, has developed into a very handsome colt, with a long, fluent stride. But three rivals in varying states of readiness provided him a red carpet through his trial over the Guineas course and distance last month, and his form as yet lacks that elite lustre. Both favourites are plainly eligible, but no more than the odds allow.

The other unbeaten runner is Mars, who really will have to be out of this world to win a Classic on his first start since victorious in a Dundalk maiden last summer. He is joined from Ballydoyle by two more seasoned types – both sons of Henrythenavigator, who beat Dawn Approach’s sire, New Approach, in a photo for this race in 2008. Their trainer, Aidan O’Brien, reckons they share their father’s predilection for this fast ground and it is easy to  picture a big run from either.

George Vancouver is a tempting price, having looked a different colt when winning the Juvenile Turf on fast going at the Breeders’ Cup last autumn. But O’Brien’s son, Joseph, has chosen Cristoforo Colombo, who has a bare length to find with Dawn Approach on their Coventry Stakes form at Royal Ascot and looked eager for this trip when fourth in the Middle Park over today’s course.

A couple of lengths ahead of him that day was the colt who appeals as best value now. Beaten only a neck by a top-drawer sprinter there, Moohaajim (3.50) is bred to do better again at a mile this year. Most people have been put off by his failure to find much off the bridle in his trial at Newbury, concluding that he did not see out even a seventh furlong there. But he could just as easily have needed the run, not least on unsuitably dead ground, and the way he travelled had left no doubt that he has trained on. There are many instances of horses making radical improvement between a comeback on easy ground at Newbury, and the big day on a faster surface here – and the very slow spring entitles Moohaajim to do just that at 25-1.

Hot Snap would be an enormously popular winner for Sir Henry Cecil in the fillies’ version, the Qipco 1,000 Guineas, tomorrow. But she cannot afford to get behind early, the way she did in her trial when sheltered from a crosswind. What A Name (3.50) looked a lot more streetwise in her own prep race and represents a rising star of the European Turf in Mikel Delzangles.

Sentimentalists could none the less be gratified overnight, when Orb and Oxbow look solid and value prospects respectively in the Kentucky Derby for two training legends in Shug McGaughey and Wayne Lukas.

Turf Account

CHRIS McGRATH’S NAP

Elusivity (2.35 Newmarket)

NEXT BEST

Ice Pie (2.45 Thirsk)

Arts and Entertainment
Sir Bruce Forsyth with Tess Daly in the BBC's Strictly Come Dancing Christmas Special
tvLouis Smith wins with 'Jingle Bells' quickstep on Strictly Come Dancing's Christmas Special
News
peopleIt seems you can't silence Katie Hopkins, even on Christmas Day...
Arts and Entertainment
Wolf (Nathan McMullen), Ian (Dan Starky), The Doctor (Peter Capaldi), Clara (Jenna Coleman), Santa Claus (Nick Frost) in the Doctor Who Christmas Special (BBC/Photographer: David Venni)
tvOur review of the Doctor Who Christmas Special
Arts and Entertainment
Left to right: Stanley Tucci, Sophie Grabol and Christopher Eccleston in ‘Fortitude’
tvSo Sky Atlantic arrived in Iceland to film their new and supposedly snow-bound series 'Fortitude'...
PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Daily Quiz
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services
iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Recruitment Genius: Account Manager

£20000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This full service social media ...

Recruitment Genius: Data Analyst - Online Marketing

£24000 - £35000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: We are 'Changemakers in retail'...

Austen Lloyd: Senior Residential Conveyancer

Very Competitive: Austen Lloyd: Senior Conveyancer - South West We are see...

Austen Lloyd: Residential / Commercial Property Solicitor

Excellent Salary: Austen Lloyd: DORSET MARKET TOWN - SENIOR PROPERTY SOLICITOR...

Day In a Page

Isis in Iraq: Yazidi girls killing themselves to escape rape and imprisonment by militants

'Jilan killed herself in the bathroom. She cut her wrists and hanged herself'

Yazidi girls killing themselves to escape rape and imprisonment
Ed Balls interview: 'If I think about the deficit when I'm playing the piano, it all goes wrong'

Ed Balls interview

'If I think about the deficit when I'm playing the piano, it all goes wrong'
He's behind you, dude!

US stars in UK panto

From David Hasselhoff to Jerry Hall
Grace Dent's Christmas Quiz: What are you – a festive curmudgeon or top of the tree?

Grace Dent's Christmas Quiz

What are you – a festive curmudgeon or top of the tree?
Nasa planning to build cloud cities in airships above Venus

Nasa planning to build cloud cities in airships above Venus

Planet’s surface is inhospitable to humans but 30 miles above it is almost perfect
Surrounded by high-rise flats is a little house filled with Lebanon’s history - clocks, rifles, frogmen’s uniforms and colonial helmets

Clocks, rifles, swords, frogmen’s uniforms

Surrounded by high-rise flats is a little house filled with Lebanon’s history
Return to Gaza: Four months on, the wounds left by Israel's bombardment have not yet healed

Four months after the bombardment, Gaza’s wounds are yet to heal

Kim Sengupta is reunited with a man whose plight mirrors the suffering of the Palestinian people
Gastric surgery: Is it really the answer to the UK's obesity epidemic?

Is gastric surgery really the answer to the UK's obesity epidemic?

Critics argue that it’s crazy to operate on healthy people just to stop them eating
Homeless Veterans appeal: Christmas charity auction Part 2 - now LIVE

Homeless Veterans appeal: Christmas charity auction

Bid on original art, or trips of a lifetime to Africa or the 'Corrie' set, and help Homeless Veterans
Pantomime rings the changes to welcome autistic theatre-goers

Autism-friendly theatre

Pantomime leads the pack in quest to welcome all
The week Hollywood got scared and had to grow up a bit

The week Hollywood got scared and had to grow up a bit

Sony suffered a chorus of disapproval after it withdrew 'The Interview', but it's not too late for it to take a stand, says Joan Smith
From Widow Twankey to Mother Goose, how do the men who play panto dames get themselves ready for the performance of a lifetime?

Panto dames: before and after

From Widow Twankey to Mother Goose, how do the men who play panto dames get themselves ready for the performance of a lifetime?
Thirties murder mystery novel is surprise runaway Christmas hit

Thirties murder mystery novel is surprise runaway Christmas hit

Booksellers say readers are turning away from dark modern thrillers and back to the golden age of crime writing
Anne-Marie Huby: 'Charities deserve the best,' says founder of JustGiving

Anne-Marie Huby: 'Charities deserve the best'

Ten million of us have used the JustGiving website to donate to good causes. Its co-founder says that being dynamic is as important as being kind
The botanist who hunts for giant trees at Kew Gardens

The man who hunts giants

A Kew Gardens botanist has found 25 new large tree species - and he's sure there are more out there