Stan Hey: 6-5 Against

One of the regular dilemmas facing punters is whether to stick with a team/horse/player after a bet you've placed on them has been unsuccessful.

When the Lions fell behind 26-7 last Saturday with just 47 minutes gone, the logic behind backing them seemed flawed. The pack was being dismantled and the line-out toppled, and any signs that South Africa might be rusty were not immediately visible.

But then, after some essential tinkering by their coaches, the Lions found the coherence we'd bet on. The Springbok lead shrunk to five points and it looked certain, in racing parlance, that the Lions were "going to get up". They didn't, thanks to some desperate defending, and though the bet was a loser, it didn't feel like it.

So, do we bet again? The weak points in the Lions team have been addressed and, though the South Africans will have analysed the threat from their backs, it feels plausible that the series can be taken to the last game next Saturday. Another £10 on the Lions to win (5-2 Totesport), and maybe a fiver on the series win, currently 6-1 with Boylesports.

The action tomorrow comes from the Curragh where, in the same spirit, Gan Amhras (£5 ew, 14-1 Skybet) is given another chance in the Irish Derby after flopping at Epsom. Redemption may also be at hand for our Chester Cup second, Ajaan (£5 ew, 10-1), in today's Northumberland Plate.

*The US Open became a sporting version of Glastonbury, with rain disruption making it hard to tell who was playing and when. Henrik Stenson made the top 10, but Jim Furyk and Geoff Ogilvy were out of tune.

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