Six Nations 2014: How can England, Ireland and France win the title?

A complete guide to the final round of the Six Nations

The Six Nations enters its dramatic final round this weekend, with three teams potentially in the running for the title, but who needs what to take home the trophy and where will the other sides finish?

Possible champions

England – The simplest way for England to claim the title is for them to beat Italy in Rome and then hope that France beat Ireland in Paris. England will win the Six Nations provided France do not beat Ireland by 31 points more than their own margin of victory over Italy.

Ireland – Any win for Ireland in Paris will surely hand them the title, thanks to their points difference of 81. However Ireland could theoretically still not win the title if England can thrash Italy and make up their current 49-point deficit. If their margin of victory is 51 points greater than Ireland’s over France, then England will still win.

France – The only realistic way for France to win the title is if they beat Ireland in Paris and then hope that Italy can overcome England in Rome. Should England win against Italy (and they have never lost to them in rugby history) then France will have to make up a 29-point gap between the sides, meaning they must beat Ireland by 31 points more than England’s margin of victory in Rome.

Team-by-team final position guide

England

1st: If they beat Italy and France beat Ireland (by no more than 31 points more than England’s win) or if they beat Italy by 51 points more than Ireland beat France.

2nd: If Ireland beat France and they fail to beat Italy by 51 points more than Ireland’s margin of victory or if England and France lose (provided France don’t overturn a difference of 29 points)

3rd: If England lose to Italy and France beat Ireland (provided Ireland don’t lose by 51 points more than England did in Rome)  

4th: The same results needed for third but with Wales also making up a difference of 37 points in victory over Scotland.

Ireland

1st: If Ireland beat France and England do not make up a difference of 49 points in beating Italy or if they win and Italy beat England.

2nd: If Ireland lose to France and Italy beat England (provided that Ireland don’t let a 51-point gap slip) or if Ireland beat France but England beat Italy by 51 points more than their margin of victory.

3rd: If Ireland lose to France and England beat Italy or if they lose to France and Italy beat England (with Ireland letting a 51-point gap slide)

4th: The same results for third but with Wales making up a difference of 86 points in victory over Scotland.

 

France

1st: If France beat Ireland by 29 points more than England beat Italy or if France beat Ireland and England lose to Italy.

2nd: If France beat Ireland but without a margin of 29 points more than England’s win over Italy or if they lose but so do England (and by 29 points more than France)  

3rd: If France lose and England beat Italy or if they lose and England lose to Italy but without letting their 28-point gap slip

4th: The same results for third but with Wales making up a difference of 8 points in victory over Scotland.

Wales

2nd: England have to lose to Italy and Wales must beat Scotland with the following conditions – if France lose to Ireland then Wales must overturn a 37-point gap when beating Scotland. If Ireland lose to France, Wales must overturn a 86-point gap.

3rd: If England beat Italy and if France lose to Ireland then Wales must beat Scotland and overturn a difference of eight points. They can also take third if Ireland lose to France and they overturn a difference of 86 points or if England lose to Italy and France lose to Ireland, but they fail to overturn a 37-point deficit,

4th: Provided Wales do not lose to Scotland by more than 38 points they will come at least fourth.

5th: If Wales lose to Scotland by 38 points or more they will be fifth.

Scotland

4th: If they beat Wales by more than 38 points

5th: If they beat Wales but not by more than 38 points or if they lose to Wales and Italy fail to beat England. Alternatively either of the above but if Italy beat England without overturning a 25-point gap with Scotland.

6th: If they lose to Wales and Italy beat England (overturning a 25-point gap with Scotland in the process)

Italy

5th: Scotland must lose tow Wales and they must beat England, overturning a 25-point gap with Scotland in the process.

6th: Unless the above results happen, Italy will be sixth whatever the result of their match.

If teams are level on points and points difference, then the title goes to the team who scored the most tries during the Championship.

Sport
Tim Sherwood raises his hand after the 1-0 victory over Stoke
footballFormer Tottenham boss leads list of candidates to replace Neil Warnock
Arts and Entertainment
L to R: Hawkeye (Jeremy Renner), Captain America (Chris Evans) & Black Widow (Scarlett Johansson) in Avengers Assemble
film
News
Nigel Farage celebrates with a pint after early local election results in the Hoy and Helmet pub in South Benfleet in Essex
peopleHe has shaped British politics 'for good or ill'
News
news
PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
News
i100
Travel
Suite dreams: the JW Marriott in Venice
travelChic new hotels in 2015
Arts and Entertainment
Sink the Pink's 2013 New Year's Eve party
musicFour of Britain's top DJs give their verdict on how to party into 2015
Sport
Yaya Sanogo, Mats Hummels, Troy Deeney and Adnan Januzaj
footballMost Premier League sides are after a striker, but here's a full run down of the ins and outs that could happen over the next month
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Daily Quiz
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services

Day In a Page

Aren’t you glad you didn’t say that? The worst wince-and-look-away quotes of the year

Aren’t you glad you didn’t say that?

The worst wince-and-look-away quotes of the year
Hollande's vanity project is on a high-speed track to the middle of nowhere

Vanity project on a high-speed track to nowhere

France’s TGV network has become mired in controversy
Sports Quiz of the Year

Sports Quiz of the Year

So, how closely were you paying attention during 2014?
Alexander Armstrong on insulting Mary Berry, his love of 'Bargain Hunt', and life as a llama farmer

Alexander Armstrong on insulting Mary Berry and his love of 'Bargain Hunt'

From Armstrong and Miller to Pointless
Sanchez helps Gunners hold on after Giroud's moment of madness

Sanchez helps Gunners hold on

Olivier Giroud's moment of madness nearly costs them
A Christmas without hope: Fears grow in Gaza that the conflict with Israel will soon reignite

Christmas without hope

Gaza fears grow that conflict with Israel will soon reignite
After 150 years, you can finally visit the grisliest museum in the country

The 'Black Museum'

After 150 years, you can finally visit Britain's grisliest museum
No ho-ho-hos with Nick Frost's badass Santa

No ho-ho-hos with Nick Frost's badass Santa

Doctor Who Christmas Special TV review
Chilly Christmas: Swimmers take festive dip for charity

Chilly Christmas

Swimmers dive into freezing British waters for charity
Veterans' hostel 'overwhelmed by kindness' for festive dinner

Homeless Veterans appeal

In 2010, Sgt Gary Jamieson stepped on an IED in Afghanistan and lost his legs and an arm. He reveals what, and who, helped him to make a remarkable recovery
Isis in Iraq: Yazidi girls killing themselves to escape rape and imprisonment by militants

'Jilan killed herself in the bathroom. She cut her wrists and hanged herself'

Yazidi girls killing themselves to escape rape and imprisonment
Ed Balls interview: 'If I think about the deficit when I'm playing the piano, it all goes wrong'

Ed Balls interview

'If I think about the deficit when I'm playing the piano, it all goes wrong'
He's behind you, dude!

US stars in UK panto

From David Hasselhoff to Jerry Hall
Grace Dent's Christmas Quiz: What are you – a festive curmudgeon or top of the tree?

Grace Dent's Christmas Quiz

What are you – a festive curmudgeon or top of the tree?
Nasa planning to build cloud cities in airships above Venus

Nasa planning to build cloud cities in airships above Venus

Planet’s surface is inhospitable to humans but 30 miles above it is almost perfect