Stan Hey: 6-5 Against

Murray looks percentage call on home turf

A combination of the summer's longest day, the last knockings of a Test series, Glastonbury and Wimbledon will spell one word to the English people – rain.

But let's be positive – the top players can expect their matches to be put under Centre Court's roof, and there should be extended play, given that darkness doesn't fall until 10pm.

The other word the English associate with this period is "failure", and it's a fair bet that all but Andy Murray will be out by round two. In order to win Murray needs to perform consistently through five rounds, then hope that he can get past his usual nemesis, Rafael Nadal (9-4, Ladbrokes) in a possible semi-final. Roger Federer (13-5, Coral) is demoted to third seed which means he and the in-form Novak Djokovic (7-2 Boylesports) could meet in the other semi.

Murray's win percentage in Grand Slam events is highest at Wimbledon, so he has a chance against Nadal if it comes to it. Murray is on offer at 6-1 (William Hill, Victor Chandler) and I'm going £20 each-way on him, with £5 each-way on the fifth seed, the hard-serving Swede Robin Soderling, as a possible mischief-maker.

With the women's singles disrupted by dropouts and the Williams sisters just returning from injuries, there may be a chance for an outsider – a chance is taken on the very noisy Belarusian, Victoria Azarenka, £5 each-way, 16-1 Paddy Power, for a screaming result.