John Rentoul: Gordon Brown asks to be judged on his long-term decisions. So here goes...

Share
+More
Related Topics

Are we coming, or going? And I don't just mean Gordon Brown. They are all at it, promising affordable housing. Except that the moment the global credit crunch starts to deliver it, they say it's a bad thing and the Prime Minister gets the bankers round to No 10 for a meeting that is not a crisis meeting to work out how they can prop up house prices again. And now he's in New York to convene another meeting on Wall Street that was not a crisis meeting, to discuss how to make housing less affordable.

Brown asks us to judge him not on the tittle-tattle but on the long-term decisions. Fine. It does not matter whether he refused to touch the Olympic torch as a gesture of solidarity with the Tibetans, or whether he had never had any intention of touching the torch and it just looked as if Chinese secret agents in blue shell suits with radio earpieces wrestled it away as he was about to hold it aloft. He is right that it should not affect our view of him that, not yet 10 months in the job, he has to deny that he is thinking of quitting. He was "starting a job that I mean to continue", he said, in one of at least three long interviews before he set off to America.

What would he say to Labour MPs who think he should stand down, Brown was asked. "I would say that I'm the person who set the Labour party off on the course of making long-term decisions for the future." He has a point. We should not judge him on whether he flies to the States in a rented plane run by some airline no one has heard of. Some of my colleagues in the press pack accompanying the Prime Minister talked nostalgically of flying to New York with Tony Blair on Concorde and a little dreamily of the plan, now squashed by Brown, for a "Blair Force One". (When Brown squashed it last month he was hailed as a new Stafford Cripps: austere, unflashy, careful with the people's money – ah, for the joys of article 94 of the European Convention of Human Rights, the right of a free press to be utterly inconsistent.)

Nor should we judge him on the basis put forward yesterday by Brian Wilson, the former MP and minister, who said: "There is a danger of Gordon Brown becoming the Donald Crowhurst of the political world." Crowhurst, Wilson reminded us, was the yachtsman who was so desperate to win a round-the-world race in 1969 that he reported false positions and faked his log book while sailing around the Atlantic. "It was only when it looked like he was going to win that the extent of the deception was exposed." Well, it is a more inventive analogy than the Wizard of Oz, adopted by Matthew Parris and Polly Toynbee, but it is beside the point.

We should judge Brown, as he says, on whether he will take "the right long-term decisions for the future". Only for some reason we can't remember any, except a long-term decision that Brown did not mention in his pre-flight videos. The abolition of the 10p-in-the-pound starting rate of income tax was incontrovertibly his, and definitely rather long-term: a decision that was announced more than a year ago but only implemented last week.

And when Brown lists the sort of decisions he expects to be judged by, we wonder whether it might be more flattering to him to judge him by his ability to turn up at treaty signings on time. In his Sky News interview he listed examples of his long-term decisions: a new generation of nuclear power stations, binding climate change targets and planning three million more houses.

On the first, you will have to excuse a Blairite ultra for passing. (Blairite ultra, by the way, will no doubt appear in dictionaries next year, defined as "originally, a term denoting any British citizen of voting age who does not regard Tony Blair as a war criminal; now, vulg, term of abuse used by Brownites, qv, to denounce people saying 'I told you so' to Sunday newspaper journalists".) My memory is that it was Brown's predecessor who took the heat on that decision, giving a speech to the CBI in a side room of its conference centre when Greenpeace took to the rafters.

On the second, we are still waiting for further and better particulars. The principle of binding targets for greenhouse gas emissions is a vitally important one, and it would be churlish to point out that the approximate order by which British politicians came to accepting it was: David Cameron, David Miliband, Gordon Brown. But it is still just a principle, until the policies are devised to deliver it. So far, we have had low-energy light bulbs and a suggestion that the Government might do something about plastic carrier bags by 2075.

Then there is affordable housing. Build more houses to reduce prices, Brown said, before the credit crisis that is not a crisis intervened. But now that prices are falling anyway, he still says that this is one of the long-term decisions on which he must be judged. As if we have learnt nothing from the failure of a "predict and provide" policy towards roads and runways. This means observing that traffic is increasing, and building more roads and runways to allow it to flow more freely. Only all that happens is that the new roads and runways fill up with more traffic that is created because those extra journeys are now possible.

We began to realise that "predict and provide" doesn't work for roads more than a decade ago. We may be on the cusp of recognising it doesn't work for air travel – the third runway at Heathrow could be the turning point. On the basis of my conversations with senior Conservatives, I think it is still possible that David Cameron may eventually oppose the third runway.

But when it comes to house-building, the politicians generally have not got to stage one. Build more houses, and people will come to live in them. We live in a rich part of a single market that allows free movement of labour.

The only thing that saves Brown from ridicule is that the Conservatives are just as bad. Even Boris Johnson promises affordable housing for the people of London, which is even less achievable – without a return to the whole apparatus of municipal government telling people where to live – because if we have free movement in the European Union, we have even freer movement in the United Kingdom.

Yes, of course, Brown's clunking presentation skills are not the real issue. It can even raise an indulgent smile when he so utterly mangles the line-to-take given to him by his principal adviser, Stephen Carter, as he did on Monday: "Every effort of mine, every day that I wake up is about keeping this economy moving forward." Waking up every day is a big part of Brown's message. He woke up again yesterday, on ABC's Good Morning America: "Every day you wake up and you know there's going to be a new challenge." (Not that sort of challenge, Miliband, Balls and Hutton, prefects tittering at the back.)

It matters much more that Brown promises what he cannot deliver. He calls these impossible promises "long-term decisions". Affordable housing? He might as well promise affordable money.

John Rentoul is chief political commentator for The Independent on Sunday

The New Suffragettes

Buy the new Independent eBook - £1.99 A celebration of those who risk their lives for women's rights, a century after Emily Wilding Davison's death.

kobo Amazon Kindle

React Now

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Senior Electrical Engineering Consultant – Renewable Energy Grid Connections.

Negotiable Depending on Experience: The Green Recruitment Company: The Green R...

BREEAM Consultant

£25000 - £30000 Per Annum: The Green Recruitment Company: The Green Recruitmen...

Design Engineer - ProE, Hand Calcs

Negotiable: Progressive Recruitment: Dear Sumadhab, A growing engineering comp...

Year 6 Teacher / Year Group Leader

Negotiable: Randstad Education Ilford: We are currently recruiting for a Year ...

Day In a Page

Read Next
 

This isn’t ending world hunger. It’s just a sham

Ian Birrell
 

The Pergamon Museum offers a pointed message from Berlin to Russia – give our treasures back

Mary Dejevsky
'To farm I have to rape the countryside. It’s got to be wrong': The true effect of the badger cull

The true effect of the badger cull

'To farm I have to rape the countryside. It’s got to be wrong'
Theatre review: Daniel Radcliffe gives an admirably honest performance in Michael Grandage's The Cripple of Inishmaan

First night: The Cripple of Inishmaan

Daniel Radcliffe gives an admirably honest performance in Michael Grandage's comedy
Girls Guides drop religious reference but pledge to self and the Queen

Guides drop religious reference but pledge to self and the Queen

After 103 years, organisation changes oath to welcome 'all girls, of all faiths, and none'
Steve Tongue: Joe Kinnear was one of the boys and a breath of fresh air... 21 years ago

Steve Tongue

Joe Kinnear was one of the boys and a breath of fresh air... 21 years ago
Chris Froome: Free from 'pain in neck' after Bradley Wiggins' exit

Chris Froome: Free from 'pain in neck' after Wiggins' exit

Sky's lead rider says he is in fantastic form for the Tour and happy pecking order debate is over
Hannah England: I've got the right times – now to focus on the chess

Hannah England: Keeping Track

I've got the right times – now to focus on the chess
Beards, brawn and body art

Beards, brawn and body art

Meet London’s new batch of male models
Scandi-geeks descend on Nordicana for fan-convention

Scandi-geeks descend on Nordicana for fan-convention

British love of shows such as The Bridge, Borgen and The Killing shows no sign of fading
Behind the rhetoric what is really being done to combat desertification?

The Great Green Wall of Africa,

Behind the rhetoric what is really being done to combat desertification?
Laughter Inc: the cheering growth of the chuckle industry

Laughter Inc

The cheering growth of the chuckle industry
The bad science scandal: how fact-fabrication is damaging UK's global name for research

The bad science scandal

How fact-fabrication is damaging UK's global name for research
To the manor born: The female aristocrats battling to inherit the title

Female aristocrats battle to inherit the title

A passionate protest is gathering pace among the women of Britain's aristocracy, who believe that men should no longer automatically inherit the family pile and title.
Love struck: Photographs of JFK's visit to Berlin 50 years ago reveal a nation instantly smitten

In pictures: JFK's visit to Berlin in 1963

Photographer Ulrich Mack accompanied Kennedy on the entire trip. The results are an astonishing record of a watershed moment.
Eat shoots and leaves: Mark Hix gets creative with fresh peas, mangetouts and sugar snaps

Mark Hix gets creative with English peas

English peas and their offsprings, such as mangetouts and sugar snaps, are great tossed into a salad, says our chef.
Ceviche with a smile: Chef Martin Morales has turned South America's elegant cuisine into one of London's hottest food trends

Chef Martin Morales: Ceviche with a smile

Morales has turned South America's elegant cuisine into one of London's hottest food trends