It is plausible to suppose that more of the 18-24 age group are learning the bitter lessons of the 2015 general election and the EU referendum last year
More than most general elections, this is a contest where turning out to vote really will matter. That’s because the greatest imponderable – indeed, disappointment – that has emerged in recent years is the inability of younger voters to make their voice heard where it matters – in the ballot box. For all their active engagement and skill at using and mobilising social media, for example, they have proved, frankly, incompetent at influencing policy.
This has yielded predictable results: government policies aimed at protecting pensioners’ incomes and wealth, and innovations such as ever-high tuition fees and housing costs that have contributed so much to intergenerational unfairness.
So will the young come out and vote this time? Judgments vary, most visibly in the different weighting the opinion pollsters give to the factor. Those pollsters who believe that younger voters will turn up generally give Labour a stronger showing; those who remain sceptical mark Labour’s ratings down accordingly, and with correspondingly longer Conservative leads. That is the beginning and the end of the “confused” opinion polls, and also how they came to be so wrong in recent elections.
UK General Election 2017
12 June 2017
Scottish National Party Leader Nicola Sturgeon (C) leaves after speaking to the media in Parliament Square. Getty Images 12 June 2017
British Prime Minister Theresa May (C, L) holds the first Cabinet meeting of her new team. Getty 11 June 2017
British Prime Minister Theresa May attends church in her constituency with her husband Philip May, a few days after disappointing results in a general election. Rex Features 9 June 2017
Leader of the Labour Party Jeremy Corbyn leaves Labour Party HQ this morning, following a general election yesterday. Parliament is hung, with no individual party gaining an overall majority. Post general election reaction. Rex 9 June 2017
BELFAST, NORTHERN IRELAND - JUNE 09: DUP leader and Northern Ireland former First Minister Arlene Foster (C) holds a brief press conference with the DUP's newly elected Westminster candidates who stood in the general election Getty Images 9 June 2017
A " Get May Out" demo took place opposite the gates of Downing Street, calling for May to resign, after the shock election results and Mays coalition with the DUP. Rex Features 9 June 2017
A demonstrator wears a mask depicting Britain's Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party Theresa May, poses with a mock gravestone bearing the words "Hard Brexit, RIP", during a protest photocall near the entrance 10 Downing Street in central London AFP/Getty Images 9 June 2017
Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May arrives at the Conservative Party's headquarters in London Reuters 9 June 2017
Britain's Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party Theresa May flanked by her husband Philip delivers a statement outside 10 Downing Street in central Londo Getty 9 June 2017
Britain's Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party Theresa May leaves Buckingham Palace in London the day after a general election in which the Conservatives lost their majority Getty Images 9 June 2017
A TV cameraman watches the door of 10 Downing Street in London Getty Images 9 June 2017
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is greeted by his Office Director Karie Murphy as he arrives at Labour Party HQ in Westminster, London, after he called on the Prime Minister to resign, saying she should 'go and make way for a government that is truly representative of this country' Dominic Lipinski/PA Wire 9 June 2017
Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May arrives at the Conservative Party's headquarters with her husband Philip in London REUTERS/Peter Nicholls 9 June 2017
Ukip leader Paul Nuttall speaks during a press conference at Boston West Golf Club where he announced that he is standing down as party leader Joe Giddens/PA 9 June 2017
Ruth Davidson, leader of the Scottish Conservatives, leaves the counting centre for Britain's general election with her partner Jen Wilson in Edinburgh, Scotland REUTERS/Russell Cheyne 9 June 2017
Scottish Labour leader Kezia Dugdale celebrates with candidate for Edinburgh South Ian Murray as he retains his seat at the Meadowbank Sports Centre counting centre in Edinburgh, Scotland Getty Images 9 June 2017
First Minister Nicola Sturgeon speaks to the media at the Emirates Arena in Glasgow, as counting is under way for the General Election Andrew Milligan/PA Wire 9 June 2017
Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson at Meadowbank Sports Centre in Edinburgh, as counting is under way for the General Election PA 9 June 2017
Scottish National Party (SNP) leader Nicola Sturgeon reacts at the Emirates Arena in Glasgow, Scotland EPA 9 June 2017
Jeremy Corbyn, leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, arrives at the Labour Party's Headquarters in London REUTERS/Marko Djurica 9 June 2017
UKIP Leader Paul Nuttall leaves in a car following the vote count for the constituency of Boston and Skegness in Boston, England Anthony Devlin/Getty Images 9 June 2017
British Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Theresa May speaks at the declaration at the election count at the Magnet Leisure Centre in Maidenhead, England. Getty Images 8 June 2017
A policer officer enters a polling station in London AP 8 June 2017
A woman leaves after casting her vote at the Hove Museum and Art Gallery near Brighton, in southern England Getty 8 June 2017
A polling station sign is seen on a telephone box outside the polling station at Rotherwick Hall, west of London Getty Images 7 June 2017
A woman walks past a general election display in the window of a betting shop in Camden on June 7, 2017 in London, United Kingdom. Britain goes to the polls tomorrow, Getty Images 7 June 2017
Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May visits Atherley Bowling Club during an election campaign visit on June 7, 2017 in Southampton, England. Britain goes to the polls tomorrow June 8 to vote in a general election. Getty Images 6 June 2017
A supporter wears a pair of Jeremy Corbyn decorated tights at a general election campaign event in Birmingham, central England, on June 6, 2017. Britain goes to the polls on June 8 to vote in a general election only days after another deadly terror attack in the nation's captial. AFP/Getty Images 6 June 2017
A picture taken in London, shows election leaflets from various parties displayed ahead of the United Kingdom's general elections. Britain goes to the polls on June 8 to vote in a general election only days after another terrorist attack on the nation's capital AFP/Getty Images 6 June 2017
Election workers, George Gaunt and Luca Tragid deliver the first ballot boxes, on the Royal Mile in Edinburgh AFP/Getty Images 6 June 2017
British Prime Minister Theresa May meets with Conservative party supporters during an election campaign visit to a bakery during an election campaign visit on June 6, 2017 in Fleetwood, north-west England. Britain goes to the polls on June 8 to vote in a general election only days after another terrorist attack on the nation's capital Getty Images 5 June 2017
British Prime Minister Theresa May speaks during a general election campaign visit to a removals depot in Edinburgh AFP/Getty Images 3 June 2017
Pro-Independence supporters hold a march through Glasgow AFP/Getty Images 3 June 2017
Opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn campaigns for the upcoming general election in Beeston, Nottinghamshire AFP/Getty Images 3 June 2017
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn reacts to supporters after a rally at Beeston Youth and Community Centre as he visits the East Midlands during the final weekend of the General Election campaign on June 3, 2017 in Nottingham, England. If elected in next week's general election Mr Corbyn is pledging to create a million new jobs and to scrap zero-hours contracts Getty Images 1 June 2017
Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party leader Ruth Davidson joins a selection of Scottish Conservative election candidates and activists during campaigning on May 1, 2017 in South Queensferry, Scotland. With only seven days to go until the general election on June 8th, polls are showing the SNP out in front and the Conservatives set to close in on Labour. Getty Images 29 May 2017
Prime Minister Theresa May canvasses in Richmond with Conservative candidate Zac Goldsmith on May 29, 2017 in London, United Kingdom. After suffering defeat in the London Mayoral election Zac Goldsmith resigned over the Government's position on Heathrow expansion. He stood as an Independent but lost in a by-election to the Liberal Democrats. Britain goes to the polls on June 8 to elect a new parliament in a general election Getty Images 22 May 2017
Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron poses for a selfie taken by carer April Preston during a General Election campaign visit to the Barlow Medical Centre, in Didsbury, Manchester Yui Mok/PA 22 May 2017
Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May speaks at an election campaign event in Wrexham, Wales Reuters 22 May 2017
Britain's main opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn, and Labour's former deputy Prime Minister, John Prescott, exit the party's general election campaign 'battle' bus as they arrive at an event in Kingston upon Hull, northern England Getty Images 22 May 2017
Britain's main opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn walks with supporters between venues, before speaking again at another general election campaign event in Kingston upon Hull, northern England Getty Images 22 May 2017
An anti-fox hunting protester is taken away and arrested by police outside the venue where Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May was due to launch the Welsh Conservative general election manifesto at Gresford Memorial Hall in the village of Gresford, near Wrexham, North Wales, on May 22, 2017. Britain goes to the polls on June 8 to elect a new parliament in a general election AFP/Getty Images 12 June 2017
DUP leader Arlene Foster stands alongside deputy leader Nigel Dodds as they hold a press conference at Stormont Castle as the Stormont assembly power sharing negotiations reconvene following the general election on June 12, 2017 in Belfast, Northern Ireland. Discussions between the DUP and the Conservative party are also continuing in the wake of the UK general election as Prime Minister Theresa May looks to form a government with the help of the Democratic Unionist parties ten Westminster seats. Stormont and the political situation in Northern Ireland has been in limbo following the collapse of the power sharing executive due to the Renewable Heat Incentive scheme scandal which implicated the DUP Getty Images 12 June 2017
British Prime Minister Theresa May leaves 10 Downing Street for the 1922 committee on June 12, 2017 in London, England. British Prime Minister Theresa May held her first cabinet meeting with her re-shuffled team today Getty Images 12 June 2017
Priti Patel, International Development Secretary leaves 10 Downing Street Getty Images 12 June 2017
Michael Gove, Environment Secretary leaves 10 Downing Street on June 12, 2017 in London, England. British Prime Minister Theresa May held her first cabinet meeting with her re-shuffled team today Getty Images 12 June 2017
Larry the Downing Street cat runs ahead of Michael Fallon Britain's Secretary of State for Defence as he arrives for a cabinet meeting at Downing Street in London, Britain, June 12, 2017. REUTERS/Stefan Wermuth REUTERS It is plausible to suppose that more of the 18-24 age group are learning the bitter lessons of the general election of 2015 and the EU referendum last year. The Conservative and Brexit victories were obviously not to their tastes, but no amount of tweeting or marching could change the outcomes. Voting by their parents and grandparents helped deliver those results, and the corollary is equally obvious. Should the children and grandchildren of the older generation now come out in droves to vote Labour, then it will be greatly to the benefit of Jeremy Corbyn’s chances of getting to No 10, or at least of depriving Theresa May of anything like the sort of majority she must be hoping for. It might even help change the course of Brexit. The stakes could scarcely be higher.
Mr Corbyn's party has certainly provided plenty of incentives for the young and especially for students to vote for him, pledging to abolish tuition fees and thinking aloud about scrapping the “debts” that graduates are presently saddled with. That would be an enormously costly undertaking, and might even be an unbelievable sort of “bribe”, but no one could argue that the Labour Party has missed the opportunity to attract the backing of a group already overwhelmingly inclined to vote for it.
In any case, British democracy and indeed the economy have been badly skewed by the failure of the young to vote. Age, as much as class, race or gender, has become one of the great dividing lines in society – most notably over Brexit. No one, except perhaps the most curmudgeonly old codger, wishes to see a grey Great Britain, run by old people for old people, with the two oldest leaders of the main parties since the era of Winston Churchill and Clement Attlee. The Blairite cult of what New Labour absurdly labelled “Young Britain” went way too far, but somehow we have drifted into an age of “Old Britain”, with a 91-year-old head of state and her 95-year-old consort symbolising the ascendancy of the seniors. The rush of a million voters to register as the deadline loomed a few weeks ago suggests that younger citizens are at last resolving to teach their elders a lesson. Democracy can trump gerontocracy.