EU Referendum: Statistics regulator loses patience with Leave campaign over '£350m a week' EU cost figure

Today’s intervention signals the UK Statistics Authority wishes to make it abundantly clear to the voting public that the Leave figure is not to be trusted

Ben Chu
Friday 27 May 2016 11:34
Comments
Boris Johnson has ignored the ruling and continues to publicise the £350 million figure
Boris Johnson has ignored the ruling and continues to publicise the £350 million figure

The UK Statistics Authority – which polices the use of stats by politicians and civil servants – has lost patience with the Vote Leave campaign and its most prominent economic claim: that membership of the European Union costs Britain £350 million a week.

On 21 April the UK Statistics Authority, which is chaired by Sir Andrew Dilnot, criticised the use of this figure as inaccurate, since it takes no account of the special “rebate” that the UK receives on its annual contribution to the EU budget or the money that Britain’s farmers and some other areas of the UK are paid from those funds.

But the Leave campaign and its main figureheads including Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage have ignored this ruling and continued to publicise the £350 million figure relentlessly in Leave posters, websites and events. It's even emblazoned across the campaign’s official “battle bus”.

A further intervention from the UK Statistics Authority today signals it has lost patience with Leave’s tactics and though it has no legal power to prevent the campaign from making the claim it wishes to make clear to the voting public that the Leave figure is not to be trusted.

“The UK Statistics Authority is disappointed to note that there continue to be suggestions that the UK contributes £350 million to the EU each week, and that this full amount could be spent elsewhere,” it said in a statement.

“Given the high level of public interest in the European Union referendum debate, it is vital that official statistics are used accurately, with important caveats and limitations explained.”

EU Referendum: Latest Poll

The side of the Leave battle bus contains the following sentences in large letters: “We send the EU £350 million a week. Let’s fund our NHS instead”. During a visit to a business in Staffordshire earlier this month Mr Johnson burned a symbolic £350m cheque in a publicity stunt.

This was despite the Tory MP and former London Mayor conceding in an ITV interview on 11 May that “Yes we do get some of it back” and that “if you take out the abatement and the money that comes back via Brussels the figure is obviously lower”.

But in that interview Mr Johnson still refused to admit the £350 million figure was misleading, despite the clear ruling from the UK Statistics Authority. “We think it’s relevant to keep people focused on the global figure, because that is the figure over which we have no control,” he said.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies earlier this week labelled the £350m figure "clearly absurd" and said that an accurate figure of the net UK contribution taking into account the rebate and spending in Britain was £175m a week - half the Leave figure.

Further, the House of Commons Treasury Committee today branded the £350m claim "highly misleading" in a new report on the costs and benefits of the EU. Andrew Tyrie, the committee's chair, said the Leave campaign's battle bus should be "repainted" as soon as possible.

Register for free to continue reading

Registration is a free and easy way to support our truly independent journalism

By registering, you will also enjoy limited access to Premium articles, exclusive newsletters, commenting, and virtual events with our leading journalists

Please enter a valid email
Please enter a valid email
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Please enter your first name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
Please enter your last name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
You must be over 18 years old to register
You must be over 18 years old to register
Opt-out-policy
You can opt-out at any time by signing in to your account to manage your preferences. Each email has a link to unsubscribe.

Already have an account? sign in

By clicking ‘Register’ you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use, Cookie policy and Privacy notice.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy policy and Terms of service apply.

Join our new commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in