Tories and Labour to lose out to Nigel Farage's Brexit Party in European elections, another poll concludes

Second survey gives new party shock lead just weeks before 23 May vote 

Nigel Farage attends Brexit Party launch event in Coventry: 'the fightback begins today'

Nigel Farage's new Brexit Party is on course for a shock victory at next month's European Parliament elections, another poll has found.

The second YouGov survey in two days confirmed yesterday's finding that the party had leapfrogged the Conservatives and Labour, suggesting it could top the ballot in the 23 May vote.

The latest poll, set out in an infographic below created for The Independent by statistics agency Statista, places the Brexit Party on 23 per cent, Labour on 22 per cent and the Conservatives on 17 per cent.

It suggests a narrower lead for Mr Farage than the first survey, which had the Brexit Party on 27 per cent, Labour on 22 per cent and the Tories on 15 per cent.

Change UK, the group of MPs who defected from the Conservatives and Labour earlier this year, are on 8 per cent, just behind the Green Party (10 per cent) and the Liberal Democrats (9 per cent), according to the poll for The Times.

The surveys suggest the Brexit Party has attracted significant support from former supporters of Ukip, which is languishing on 6 per cent. Pollsters said a large number of Tory voters furious at Theresa May's failure to deliver Brexit are also backing the new party.

The Brexit Party only launched last week, having been formed in January.

European Parliament voting intentions, from YouGov poll

Mr Farage, the former Ukip leader, presented his new party to the public alongside Annunziata Rees-Mogg, the sister of Tory Brexiteer leader Jacob Rees-Mogg. She had twice stood to be a Conservative MP but has now defected to the Brexit Party and is its top pick for a European Parliament seat.

Mr Farage told supporters: “I do believe that we can win these European elections and that we can again start to put the fear of God into our members of parliament in Westminster.

“They deserve nothing less than that after the way they’ve treated us over this betrayal."

Responding to the latest poll, he wrote on Twitter: "There is a long way to go, but it is clear that there is a desire to change politics for good. Positive vibes!"

Mr Farage led Ukip to victory in the 2014 European Parliament elections, when it topped the poll with 26.6 per cent of the vote, but the party's popularity has tanked under current leader Gerard Batten.

YouGov's director of political research, Anthony Wells, said the Brexit Party's clear name was helping it win over Leave voters.

Support free-thinking journalism and attend Independent events

He said: "They've got very good branding - it does what it says on the tin. If you want to say 'I support Brexit' you've got a party there that is called the Brexit Party. That probably does help them in away that Change UK does not help The Independent Group."

He added: "Some of the surge is that people didn't realise that Nigel Farage is now the Brexit Party not Ukip, but some of it might be that it is in the immediate aftermath of them getting lots of publicity from their launch."

Register for free to continue reading

Registration is a free and easy way to support our truly independent journalism

By registering, you will also enjoy limited access to Premium articles, exclusive newsletters, commenting, and virtual events with our leading journalists

Please enter a valid email
Please enter a valid email
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Please enter your first name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
Please enter your last name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
You must be over 18 years old to register
You must be over 18 years old to register
Opt-out-policy
You can opt-out at any time by signing in to your account to manage your preferences. Each email has a link to unsubscribe.

By clicking ‘Create my account’ you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use, Cookie policy and Privacy notice.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy policy and Terms of service apply.

Already have an account? sign in

By clicking ‘Register’ you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use, Cookie policy and Privacy notice.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy policy and Terms of service apply.

Register for free to continue reading

Registration is a free and easy way to support our truly independent journalism

By registering, you will also enjoy limited access to Premium articles, exclusive newsletters, commenting, and virtual events with our leading journalists

Already have an account? sign in

By clicking ‘Register’ you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use, Cookie policy and Privacy notice.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy policy and Terms of service apply.

Join our new commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in