General Election 2015: Nick Clegg set to lose his seat according to latest Sheffield Hallam poll

Lib Dem leader insists private party polling shows him 'firmly ahead' but second Lord Ashcroft poll in as many months shows him behind Labour

Matt Dathan
Wednesday 29 April 2015 18:51
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The Lib Dems are set to put their electoral hope in the “incumbency factor” after a ComRes poll showed a double-digit swing to the Tories across 14 constituencies in the south-west of England
The Lib Dems are set to put their electoral hope in the “incumbency factor” after a ComRes poll showed a double-digit swing to the Tories across 14 constituencies in the south-west of England

Nick Clegg is set to lose his seat, according to the latest Lord Ashcroft poll of his Sheffield Hallam constituency.

The Liberal Democrat leader is trailing behind Labour candidate Oliver Coppard by one point, but has narrowed the gap from the pollster's survey of the seat last month.

Mr Clegg won the seat with a massive majority of more than 15,000 seats in 2010 and he insists his own party's private polling shows him "firmly ahead".

He also pointed to the fact that Lord Ashcroft does not include the names of the candidates in his polling and said voters are much more likely to support Mr Clegg when they see his name on the ballot paper.

The poll shows Mr Coppard leading on 37 per cent, Mr Clegg trailing one point behind on 36 per cent, with the Conservative candidate Ian Walker on 15 per cent.

Mr Walker's support has fallen from Lord Ashcroft's poll of Sheffield Hallam last month at the same time as Mr Clegg's support has edged up slightly, suggesting Tory supporters are lending their vote to the Liberal Democrat leader to block Labour from winning.

Talking to reporters on the campaign trail, Mr Clegg said: "Just call me old-fashioned, but if you are going to try to work out how people are going to vote, ask them the question they are actually going to be asked on polling day."


The Independent has got together with May2015.com to produce a poll of polls that produces the most up-to-date data in as close to real time as is possible.

Click the buttons below to explore how the main parties' fortunes have changed:

All data, polls and graphics are courtesy of May2015.com. Click through for daily analysis, in-depth features and all the data you need. (All historical data used is provided by UK Polling Report)

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