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We're running out of leaders: Nigel Farage, Nick Clegg, Jim Murphy, Natalie Bennett all set to lose in the General Election

And with Nicola Sturgeon not standing to be an MP, just the leaders of Labour and the Tories will be MPs if latest polling results are replicated on May 7

Matt Dathan
Thursday 30 April 2015 00:18 BST
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Nigel Farage, Nick Clegg and Natalie Bennett
Nigel Farage, Nick Clegg and Natalie Bennett

Just two of the top six parties at Westminster will be left with MPs as leaders if the latest polls are replicated on polling day.

Nigel Farage is set to lose his battle to become MP for South Thanet and Nick Clegg is on course to lose his Sheffield Hallam seat to Labour, according to Lord Ashcroft's latest polling.

With Green party leader Natalie Bennett fighting an unwinnable seat and SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon not standing for a Westminster seat, it will leave just the Conservatives and Labour being led by MPs - until the other parties replace their leaders.

Jim Murphy, the leader of the Scottish Labour party, is also set to lose his seat, according to an Ipsos Mori poll that showed the SNP is set to win all 59 seats in Scotland.

Lord Ashcroft's latest constituency polling shows Mr Farage trailing two-points behind the Conservative candidate Craig Mackinlay for the Tory-held South Thanet constituency.

Mr Farage has pledged to quit as Ukip leader if he fails to win the seat, saying it would be “frankly just not credible for [him] to continue to lead the party without a Westminster seat of [him] own.”

Lord Ashcroft also published polling for the Sheffield Hallam seat, which showed Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg is set to lose his seat despite winning it with more than 15,000 votes in 2010.

He is trailing Labour candidate Oliver Coppard by one point, but he has narrowed the gap from the pollster's last survey last month.

However the Deputy Prime Minister insisted his party's own polling shows him "firmly ahead" in the seat and pointed to the fact that Lord Ashcroft's polls do not include the names of the candidates in the polling questions .


The Independent has got together with May2015.com to produce a poll of polls that produces the most up-to-date data in as close to real time as is possible.

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All data, polls and graphics are courtesy of May2015.com. Click through for daily analysis, in-depth features and all the data you need. (All historical data used is provided by UK Polling Report)

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