Donald Trump favourite to win 2024 presidential election

Former president ahead in the race after two impeachments and 2020’s ‘Big Lie’

Gino Spocchia
Friday 15 October 2021 12:56
Comments

Trump accidentally says America withdrew from Pakistan, not Afghanistan

Leer en Español

Donald Trump has become the favourite to win the election in 2024, as Joe Biden falls behind the former US president and faces challenges with his domestic agenda.

Mr Trump, according to betting odds, had been ahead in the race for the Republican nomination in 2024 but had not been on odds for a win in the election.

However, recent odds byBetfair Exchange found Mr Trump is now 4.8 to win in 2024. Mr Biden, meanwhile, was at 5.1 after falling behind his own vice president, Kamala Harris, in the presidential tie-up.

Although neither Mr Trump nor Mr Biden have formally announced a run in 2024, it is unusual for a sitting president not to take a second run at the White House. There has also been speculation that Ms Harris will run instead of her boss.

That comes despite both men being septuagenarians, and Mr Biden turning 82 — making him an octogenarian — before Inauguration Day in 2025.

Mr Trump would be 78, and almost half a year older than Mr Biden was in January. Vice President Harris would be 60, and a similar age to former president Harry Truman when he was inaugurated in 1945.

Barack Obama, in comparison, was 47 at the time of his 2009 inauguration and among the youngest ever US presidents.

Mr Trump, speaking at a rally in Iowa last Saturday, again hinted at another run in 2024 and falsely alleged that Democrats “used Covid in order to cheat and rig” the 2020 race.

The so-called “Big Lie” about his 2020 election loss has been a running theme since before Mr Biden assumed office in January, and after Mr Trump lost the race fairly.

His odds for winning in 2024 were as low as 21.0 in the wake of his second impeachment trial and alleged incitement of a riot on the US Capitol that left five people dead on 6 January.

Republicans, after attacking Mr Trump for the chaos, have largely folded and have followed his lead since the riot. Betting odds suggest he would win a Republican nomination contest.

Mr Trump told right-wing TV network Real America’s Voice last month that “a bad call from a doctor or something” would be something that stopped him from running in 2024.

Register for free to continue reading

Registration is a free and easy way to support our truly independent journalism

By registering, you will also enjoy limited access to Premium articles, exclusive newsletters, commenting, and virtual events with our leading journalists

Please enter a valid email
Please enter a valid email
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number
Please enter your first name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
Please enter your last name
Special characters aren’t allowed
Please enter a name between 1 and 40 characters
You must be over 18 years old to register
You must be over 18 years old to register
Opt-out-policy
You can opt-out at any time by signing in to your account to manage your preferences. Each email has a link to unsubscribe.

Already have an account? sign in

By clicking ‘Register’ you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use, Cookie policy and Privacy notice.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy policy and Terms of service apply.

Join our new commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in