Leader of Reform UK party Nigel Farage talks to boxers at the Boxclub gym in Hull, Britain, 25 April 2025 (EPA)
Reform UK and Labour are tied at 25% in national voting intention polls ahead of next week's local elections, leaving the Conservatives behind at 21%.
The local elections will decide 1,641 council seats and six mayoral positions, with the Conservatives currently holding the majority of seats being contested (996).
While national polls don't fully reflect local election outcomes, they offer insights into current political sentiment.
Reform UK, holding no current seats, stands to gain significantly, with predictions of winning between 400-450 seats.
A parliamentary by-election will also be held in Runcorn and Helsby, testing the Labour government's popularity for the first time since their 2024 general election win.