Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Reform would dominate UK election if held imminently: polling

Related: New Reform MP calls on Starmer to ban burka face coverings
  • A new YouGov megapoll indicates Reform UK would become Britain’s largest party if a general election were held tomorrow, with Nigel Farage potentially forming a minority government.
  • The poll projects Reform UK would secure 271 seats, a significant increase from their current five, while Labour would see a dramatic collapse from 403 to 178 seats.
  • The Conservative party is predicted to fall to fourth place with only 46 seats, behind the Liberal Democrats, marking their worst election performance on record.
  • Several prominent Labour cabinet ministers, including Angela Rayner and Yvette Cooper, would lose their seats, and Reform would dominate multiple regions across England and Wales.
  • The poll attributes Reform's surge to Labour's plummeting popularity, with 194 Labour-held seats potentially turning to Reform, amid internal party rebellions over proposed welfare cuts and recent policy U-turns.
In full

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in