What Starmer’s benefits backdowns will cost the UK
Related: Starmer admits employer national insurance tax hikes are burden on UK businesses
Sir Keir Starmer's recent U-turns on welfare and winter fuel payments have created a £4.5 billion deficit in public finances, necessitating tax increases or spending cuts.
The decision to protect all existing Personal Independence Payment (Pip) recipients and those receiving the health element of Universal Credit will cost an estimated £3.2 billion annually.
This financial shortfall is compounded by the £1.3 billion decision to reinstate winter fuel payments for pensioners, making the chancellor's autumn Budget balancing act more challenging.
The concessions were made to appease Labour MPs and prevent a humiliating defeat on the controversial welfare bill, which faced strong opposition.
Critics warn that the changes could lead to a 'two-tier system' for Pip claimants, where new and existing recipients face different eligibility criteria.