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Town 'ignored warning' of imminent earthquake

By Sarah Delaney in L'Aquila

Rescuers recovering bodies in L'Aquila yesterday

AFP

Rescuers recovering bodies in L'Aquila yesterday

As Italy reeled yesterday from a powerful earthquake that killed at least 179 people and flattened entire towns while people slept, a seismologist who claimed he could have given up to 24 hours notice of the disaster said his repeated warnings had been ignored.

Emergency workers were still hunting frantically for survivors last night in the medieval city of L'Aquila, near the epicentre of the quake, and in scores of surrounding villages across the mountainous Abruzzo region in the country's centre There were reports that one team had rescued at least 60 people from the rubble.

More than 1,500 people are thought to have been injured and up to 17,000 left homeless. Dozens of people are missing and officials said the death toll was likely to rise significantly.

But even as Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi declared an emergency and promised a record number of rescue teams, a bitter row was raging over whether lives could have been saved by evacuating homes before the quake struck at 3.32am. The quake measured 5.8 on the Richter Scale, according to the Italian National Institute of Geophysics. The US Geological Survey measured it as 6.3.

A flurry of earth tremors struck the L'Aquila area in mid-January, prompting Giampaolo Giuliani, a researcher at the National Institute of Nuclear Physics, whose laboratories are deep beneath the Gran Sasso mountain on L'Aquila's skyline to sound the alarm.

In interviews before the earthquake struck he claimed that he had developed an early warning system based not on seismic waves but on radon which is only expelled from the earth under intense pressure.

After his warnings, vans with megaphones toured L'Aquila urging people to leave their homes. But the mayor, Massimo Cialente, allegedly served the seismologist with a warning of criminal charges for scare-mongering, even though the region had experienced nine tremors since the start of April.

"Now there are people who have to apologise to me and who will have what has happened on their conscience," Mr Giuliani told La Repubblica. The expert said he was helpless to act as it became clear to him on Sunday that a quake was imminent. "I didn't know who to turn to, I had been put under investigation for saying there was going to be an earthquake."

Mr Berlusconi, who cancelled a trip to Russia to fly to the disaster zone, appeared on the defensive when asked about official complacency.

Now was the time to concentrate on relief efforts he said, and "we can discuss afterwards about the predictability of earthquakes".

In the centre of L'Aquila piles of rubble, cement, furniture and roof tiles were strewn on the ground. Grey dust carpeted the streets and covered parked cars. The roof of the cupola on one of the churches on the Piazza Duomo was completely gone.

Local people told of the horror of finding their city falling away beneath them in the night. "I woke up hearing what sounded like a bomb," Angela Palumbo, 87, said. "We managed to escape with things falling all around us. Everything was shaking, furniture falling. I don't remember ever seeing anything like this in my life."

In L'Aquila alone, 30,000 buildings were thought to have been affected.

Outside one collapsed four-storey apartment building, dozens of rescue workers were digging both with heavy equipment and bare hands. Every now and then they ordered the machines to stop so they could hear human voices – they had heard a young woman named Francesca buried beneath urging them to "hurry up", they said.

Scenes of grief and despair played out across the city as dazed survivors, some still in their underwear, others wearing pyjamas and slippers, wept or sought out family members.

Parts of the main hospital had to be evacuated because of fears of collapse and injuries had to be treated in the open air. As the city trembled repeatedly with aftershocks, one woman, whose sister was still trapped inside the ruins of a building cried out: "Enough God! Enough! Enough of these earthquakes."

About 5km away, in Paganica, all 8,000 residents had been evacuated and the small 18th century Church of the Immaculate Conception had a gaping hole in the roof, another in the centre on the façade, and its bells askew.

In Bazzano, relief workers were distributing pizza, water and soft drinks to the hungry, dusty locals. Nicoletta Tarquini, 78, looked lost as she sat in her purple pyjamas, crying. She said she didn't know when she would have the courage to return home.

Last night, rain was complicating rescue efforts but one firefighter in L'Aquila, Antonio Giangiobbe, had a miracle to report. He had been working from 10.30am on a building: "We knew there was somebody alive in there, and after digging for eight hours we pulled her out. "A wardrobe had fallen on her, protecting her from the two floors of debris that fell on top. She was calm but said, 'Hurry up hurry up, because I can feel the pressure on my legs.' She had been protected by the wardrobe."

Seismic events: Italian earthquakes

8 September 1905 Some 5,000 people killed when a 7.9 magnitude earthquake tears through Calabria, obliterating 25 villages.

28 December 1908 More than 82,000 people killed in a 7.2 magnitude earthquake which reduces Messina, Sicily's second town, to rubble. A tidal wave follows, causing more devastation.

13 January 1915 An earthquake measuring 7.0 strikes Avezzano in central Italy and kills 32,600.

27 July 1930 A quake measuring 6.5 strikes the region of Irpinia in southern Italy, killing about 1,400 people.

6 May 1976 An earthquake measuring 6.5 rocks Friuli in Italy's northeastern corner, killing 976 people and leaving 70,000 others homeless.

23 November 1980 Some 2,735 people are killed and more than 7,500 injured in an earthquake measuring 6.5. The epicentre is at Eboli but damage is reported over a huge area towards Naples.

13 December 1990 Earthquake centred in the sea off Sicily kills 13 people and injures 200.

26 September 1997 Two earthquakes measuring 6.4 kill 11 people and cause serious damage to the Basilica of St Francis in Assisi, ruining priceless medieval frescoes. A further quake measuring 5.1 hits Umbria days later causing damage.

6 September 2002 An earthquake measuring 6.0 strikes Sicily. Two people died from heart attacks triggered by the quake which also damaged artistic treasures.

31 October 2002 An earthquake measuring 5.9 hits Campobasso, south-central Italy, killing 30 people, most of them children, in San Giuliano di Puglia.

11 April 2003 An earthquake measuring 4.6 rocks northern Italy, rattling buildings from Milan to Turin and prompting officials to evacuate some schools.

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Comments

[info]johnk100 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 02:29 am (UTC)
What are his accomplishments as PM or as Envoy to the Middle East to deserve running the European Union? Could someone identify his three greatest achievements that makes him a serious candidate for this position?
[info]johnk100 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 02:43 am (UTC)
Disasters such as this one can be prevented if politicians took scientists more seriously.
Thus we can expect soon greater disasters from Global Warming because most politicians for expedient short term financial savings are ignoring global scientists warnings of the pending global disasters
Help
[info]stickytruth2 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 05:47 am (UTC)
What is the European HQ help services doing at this stage?
Earthquake and the Italian Way of Life
[info]penjamie wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 07:47 am (UTC)
It shouldn't surprise anybody that nobody acted on Giampolo Giuliani's advice. Italy never tackles any problem, large or small, until it happens and then they do so half-heartedly!
Everybody konows
[info]carmen71 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 10:48 am (UTC)
Italy has a clear map of sismic events
Abruzzo earhquake voluntarily ignored
[info]carmen71 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 11:18 am (UTC)
Italians are in a hands of very dangerous criminals, i mean who are govern and rule us. First earth quakes happen with greater frequency and there are studies and maps, but no one and i repeat no one does something,a serious strategy, some strong laws and appropriates as build houses with earthquake proof.
This is the method that we use in Italy so as not to take preventative action, in fact to facilitate disasters, even those that whether they are more or less predictable, are anyway unavoidable.
Every scandal and disaster in Italy has produced a case of bad practice.there was thieving after the earthquake in Campania, 62000 billion lire, most of which disappeared into the pockets of the Campania politicians and the entrepreneurs from the North, as well as those of the Camorra. Trial, Statute of Limitations, and among those defendants saved by the Statute of Limitations was Pomicino whom we are sending to Europe in the Popolo della Liberta PDL and the regional leader of the Udeur, who I think is called Fantini. In the Valtellina, there was thieving in the reconstruction of the Valtellina.
So i think only the facts and events talk, i m hardly afraid of just another voluntaily business on destructions and on who have die.
[info]jsimao wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 01:53 pm (UTC)
Shame on the politicians! Humanity should trust and pick the advice of scientists and technologists, rather than listening to politicians and all that lot. Science is reality, politician's words and actions are most of the time dubious...
Emission of Radon
[info]liam_ohuigin wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 04:23 pm (UTC)
If what this scientist says is true, why isn't Cornwall regularly plagued by earthquakes? Radon emission is a regular phenomenon there, but I can't recall any earthquake having occurred there in recent years.

In fact earthquakes are notoriously unpredictable - why does the Independent have to sensationalise a tragic story by seeking to turn it into one of official neglect of credible warnings. I expected to see Peter Popham's by-line beside this ridiculous story, but unless Sarah Delaney is one of his aliases he must be acquitted of this one.

[info]lasvegasrich wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 04:31 pm (UTC)
With all respect for the victims of this earthquake and their families, dare I say it, that maybe the Italians are being punished for their unfair trial of Amanda Knox. Who by any Anglo standard was given interrogations that bordered on the medieval. No legal protection, or professional interpreter, and the detectives allegedly beat her while she was interviewed.
[info]the_town_crier wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 05:06 pm (UTC)
Hundreds of people have died! And yet, here you are talking about a single individual, with a nod towards her nationality, as if being 'American' actually means something in the grand scheme of things. It doesn't, and never has. The trial of an American national has absolutely nothing - zilch - to do with an Italian earthquake. This is not 'God'. This is not a manifestation of 'religion'. This is an earthquake for Christ's sake (no pun intended), an empirical geological phenomena that doesn't substantiate your deity, cannot be reduced to your bizarre medieval theology, and should not be used to inflate an already inflated, already corrupted, Christian ideology.
the people that always paid, why?
[info]carmen71 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 05:44 pm (UTC)
Agree, every Country in the world seems the same Country, but is just to know what s is happening in large square. I know what i m talking about of. I was child i had on my skin a 1980 earthquake in Irpinia under my town in a south italy. Right now you could find people living in a containers. For me it s a double pain see that another disaster could be reduced making what somebody this time won't do the right thing, and 200 people has just paid
please
[info]carmen71 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 05:19 pm (UTC)
Please, i beg you pardon but don t over talking about some punishing..Our italian justice is rabbish and unfair 4 everybody of us in our country cos we just pay enough because, you have to know, that in italy is not egual for everybody too. Many of us are very angry for that. I m one of supporter with your anglo standard system and we (the honest people but without any such of little power and owner of right justice) really wish and trust, as value.Please if you would Take a look at one voice esample on beppegrillo.it.
end run
[info]lasvegasrich wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 07:31 pm (UTC)
I hated to distract from the earhtquake disaster by talking about Amanda Knox, but her case hit home with me. I have a grandddaughter age 21 like her. Very bright, straight A student in college, an innocent, but if you took her into a police station and interrogated her for hours, she might confess to anything.Unfortunartely for Ms. Knox, now Italian honor is at stake, and they will lean over backwards to convict her. I will pray for the victims of the earthquake.
Re: end run
[info]carmen71 wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 08:53 pm (UTC)
Gentle Mr. Lasvegasrich, believe me it s not to devalue your discussion, i could understand too as italian and for my deep knowledge of italian reality, and i could also use this logic thinking: if we try some disfunction of one part of istitutional body would means that so many other things is not going better. All at once this disaster,it could be another terrible demonstration, but it wouldn t be a punish for everybody. I will be very happy the day that this will happen but on the real and firsts responsables.
[info]marialorenza wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 09:45 pm (UTC)
Dear Sarah Delaney
The title of your article is "Town 'ignored warning' of imminent earthquake". However you have only dedicated a few lines to the polemic involving Mr.Giuliani. I've been watching Italian TV non-stop and saw Mr. Giuliani talking about His method, his this and his that. I've heard him saying that he did not continue to warn people because of fear of criminal charges. If he was so certain about the "where" and "when" why didn't he put the lives of over 200 people ABOVE his job? But apparently he wasn't and that because it is very difficult to know where the centre of the earthquake will be. You may evacuate people from a place and then find out that you moved them to the REAL centre of the quake.

I am Italian and I still remember very well the Friuli earthquake as I was 9-10 year old at the time. Thins are not that simple: there are little warning but then again, there are little warning all over Italy most of the time. You check the chandelier, see your cat is a bit nervous but it takes a lot more than that to convince someone to take everything and prepare to evacuate. It's human nature. We are attached to our material possessions and refuse to believe this time is for real.

Anyway, the article should have explained a bit more about Mr. Giuliani's case since this was the title.
L'Aquila IS NOT New Orleans.
[info]marialorenza wrote:
Tuesday, 7 April 2009 at 11:25 pm (UTC)
Lasvegasrich: your words are offensive (and I'm being gentle) to even use the word punishment in such a context and to all of you pointing the finger at Italy, remember that nobody has clean hands. Nobody. Remember Katrina.

Sarah Delaney is spreading a rumour and have not substantiated it with details. Look at the title and you'll see that she's using inverted commas around "ignored warnings", which means she has no idea if this is true or not and this is pure sensationalism. She had no time or skills to put together a decent reportage and this is the result. A few sensationalist lines just meant to draw attention to what precisely? Nothing.

I'm not defending Italian governement, god knows I hate Berlusconi and I know that Mr. Giuliani has been dragged into this by another "journalist" looking for a scoop: his name is Bruno Vespa.

Just remember another thing: L'Aquila's case doesn't even come close to New Orleans.
This story is false
[info]vincenzina wrote:
Wednesday, 8 April 2009 at 03:14 am (UTC)
I am an italian, living in Rome. This report is absolutely inaccurate. Mr. Giuliani didn't predict at all the earthquake in L'aquila and there wasn't any van with megaphones urging people to leave their homes (this is totally false) . On 29 march 2009 Mr. Giuliani predicted a destructive earthquake in Sumona in the next 24 hours. And nothing happened. Therefore he mistook the date and the place of the earthquake. Here you can read the true story: http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-quake-predict7-2009apr07,0,3910442.story
By the way, Mr. Giuliani is not a scientist and is not a graduate (he is an electrotechnician). Now Mr. Giuliani claims that he had foreseen the L'aquila earthquarke but didn't say anything in advance "for fear of legal repercussion": http://www.wallstreetitalia.com/articolo.asp?art_id=693768

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