Geoffrey Wheatcroft: Why are we pretending we would fight for Georgia?
Messrs Miliband and Cameron want Georgia to join Nato. Such thinking is muddled, dangerous and defies the lessons of history
Sunday, 17 August 2008
Hard on the heels of Nicolas Sarkozy and Condoleezza Rice, and keen to share their limelight, David Cameron arrived in Tbilisi yesterday. His visit is a reward to the Leader of the Opposition for having expressed even more bellicose views on the Georgian crisis than the Americans, which should sound loud alarm bells for those of us who may quite soon be living under a Tory government.
In the official view of Washington, the expansion of Nato up to the borders of Russia was a benevolent spreading of democracy. "It is the right of the Georgian people and Georgian government to determine their own security orientation," says Kurt Volker, principal deputy assistant secretary of state, and Matthew Bryza, the American special envoy, adds that Russia would not have attacked Georgia if she had already belonged to Nato.
While Gordon Brown and David Miliband merely mouthed empty platitudes about the crisis (although Miliband has been sympathetic to Georgia's Nato aspirations in the past), Cameron went startlingly further when he said that its membership of Nato should be accelerated. His words so excited the Georgians that they asked him to meet their ambassador in London on Wednesday, and then fly out for his Caucasian photo-op.
No doubt this crisis has illustrated Russian ruthlessness and brutality, but then, as the Chechens might say, we knew that already. It has also exposed the severe limits of US power. Although George Bush, Dick Cheney and sabre-rattling pundits have screeched defiance at Russia, they are bereft of any practical response. Removing the Winter Olympics from Sochi doesn't sound like the ultimate deterrent.
But above all, the crisis has highlighted the incoherence of Western policy since the Cold War ended – and belatedly raised the question of just what purpose Nato now serves. This is something an intelligent opposition should be discussing.
The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation was created in 1949 as a "one for all and all for one" mutual defence alliance between west European countries, of which Great Britain was then militarily much the most important, and the United States, guarding Europe against Soviet aggression. By the terms of the treaty, "an armed attack on any member in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and ... if such an armed attack occurs, each of them ... will assist the party or parties so attacked by taking forthwith... such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area."
That object met with total success. Forty years later, the Berlin Wall fell, Soviet Russia began to implode, and its empire soon fell apart. This left Nato without an obvious role, and it might logically have been wound up. Instead, it evolved, almost without anyone's noticing, into an arm of US policy – and an outlet for Tony Blair's zealous "humanitarian interventionism".
In the spring of 1999, he mawkishly extolled Nato's bombing of Serbia: "No one in the West who has seen what is happening in Kosovo can doubt that Nato's military action is justified... [You need only ask] anyone who has seen the tear-stained faces of the hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming across the border, heard their heart-rending tales of cruelty."
But even if Blair had been correct to say that misrule in distant countries justified armed intervention – an alarmingly open-ended principle which has since helped take us into the Iraq disaster – what had it to do with Nato? How did those tear-stained faces become "an armed attack on any member"? And by what geographical conjuring trick did Afghanistan, more recently, become part of "the North Atlantic area" to require a Nato operation there?
Before then the acutely dangerous policy of enlarging Nato had already begun, partly for the most frivolous of reasons. Bill Clinton ingratiatingly promised a Polish-American audience in Chicago that Poland would join, yet another example of the baleful influence of "hyphenated" American domestic politics on foreign policy.
And so, in this heedless way, Nato was expanded to include not only the former Warsaw Pact countries Poland, Hungary and Bulgaria, but the Baltic states that were part of the Soviet Union only 20 years ago. One didn't have to be a Russian nationalist to see this as deliberate provocation of an angry and wounded country. With all its brutality, Russia has legitimate security concerns and national interests. When Georgian membership of Nato is flaunted, one wonders what the US reaction would have been if Leonid Brezhnev had invited Mexico to join the Warsaw Pact. Russian policy may sometimes have a paranoid tinge but, as the saying goes, paranoiacs have enemies, too.
No one stopped to point out that, if the fundamental Nato principle applied, an irredentist border dispute between Latvia and Russia should have become an armed conflict fought by Nato, which was plainly absurd. Bryza's claim that Russia would have been deterred if Georgia had already belonged to Nato is mercifully theoretical but highly questionable. And does Cameron really want what's left of our depleted army sent to the Caucasus to fight Russia?
It remained for a former Tory foreign secretary to dash a little cold water of sanity on these overheated effusions. On Friday Sir Malcolm Rifkind chided the folly of making threats about the use of force when these are obviously not going to be carried out. And the day before he had said, "I think people in both the United States and in the United Kingdom and elsewhere in western Europe will have to ask very clearly how important is Georgia to them.
"There was a lot of talk about how Georgia should join Nato and if only Georgia was a member of Nato this wouldn't have happened, and so forth. I think that is frankly totally unconvincing." The truth is surely as Sir Malcolm says: "The United States, Britain, France and Germany are not going to go to war with Russia over South Ossetia, however sympathetic to the people of Georgia we are.
"We are sympathetic to Tibet, we are sympathetic to Zimbabwe, but we don't contemplate military solutions to these problems. So Nato membership is not the answer." Is it too late for our politicians to learn again that kind of plain speaking and common sense?
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Copyright 2008 Independent News and Media Limited

Comments
108 Comments
I was simply laughing reading how in some comments people are suggesting to "stop Russia" or even "attack Russia" after it was actually Georgia who started the military action and Russia has reacted to protect its citizens. I wonder what these people would say if somebody discuss "attacking the UK" because of the UK troops involvement in occupation of Serbia (Kosovo), Afganistan and Iraq (and also, please, have a look at a map and just compare the distance between Serbia, Afganistan, Iraq and the UK and between Russia and South Ossetia)? And you do not accept after that that the UK (which is now unfortunately just playing a role of a "tail" of a dog - the US) has officially adopted the international policy of double-standards?
Posted by Alex | 19.08.08, 08:55 GMT
Proportionate responses and/or disproportionate aggressions are judgments that need to be weighed carefully in situations like we find presently in Georgia..High Octane words, grossly lacking elements of diplomacy are not justifiable merely because of the technological supremacy in military hardware of one remaining super power.Let us hope centuries old, traditional British diplomacy will prevail in this instance.
B.Thyagarajan
Posted by B.Thyagarajan | 19.08.08, 02:45 GMT
Scousekraut should be sent to live in Manchester ! That makes as much sense as his assertion that Cameron & Miliband should be sent to live ih Israel, what`s that got to do with the Russia/Georgia conflict ?
Posted by Haver | 18.08.08, 23:29 GMT
For some reason, one of my previous comments on one of the threads has been deleted. Any reason why? I'll make the same argument again here as I think its important. Many people posting and also many writers for the Independent who should know better have leapt on Russian reports of Georgian 'genocide' in order to argue and reinforce a blinkered world view that the US is the bad guy and Russia is the victim of Western media bias. This shows not only a lack of journalistic integrity but also a total lack of knowledge about the situation and events leading up to this conflict. The frequency of these postings are actually quite understandable from the public when you look at a recent article written by Mr. Milne. Does he intend to retract any of these comments?
Posted by Ed | 18.08.08, 18:14 GMT
Britain should get out of NATO before it finds itself being sucked into another war on behalf of those behind the scenes manipulating all this.
This has got absolutely nothing to do with freedom and democracy, and neither has Iraq or Afghanistan. It is about power and control of resources and moving us to a world government that Putin rejects.
Cameron and Miliband should be sent to live in Israel.
Posted by scousekraut | 18.08.08, 12:36 GMT
It is good to see the Independent is trying to take a 'balanced' view - although it needs to be a bit more upfront about it. This Russia-Georgia episode is yet another example of US meddling. The trouble is that the major economies of the world are sustained by the military-industrial complex. War is their 'raison d'etre'. I am afraid it is too late to change that now - and David Cameron and his ilk are going to get us all wiped out in a WW111. I don't know why they think they will survive while the rest of us perish. Radiation travels.
Posted by Marguerite Finn | 18.08.08, 12:30 GMT
Europe should withdraw from NATO and form it's own military alliance, based on European priorities and not aggressive wars beyond its own borders. At the moment the Pentagon is using European troops as imperial auxilliaries to support their own forces that are no longer capable of imposing American imperial rule across the world on their own.
Posted by flipped | 18.08.08, 12:30 GMT
My, my , the anti-war Independent isn't so anti-war now that it's the Russians doing all the killing, is it?. This article has been buried away, whereas if it were the Americans in tanks in Georgia it would be on the front page with detailed tales of US atrocities. The UK liberal left really have got themselves tied up in knots trying to justify and support Russian bully-boy tactics this last fortnight - it really has been a sad spectacle.
Posted by Sean Hunter | 18.08.08, 12:01 GMT
Because they thought the Russians would be too scared of America and NATO to do anything about Georgia's aggression against South Ossetia. They also thought is was a fait accompli and that NATO troops would in in place acting as peacekeepers before the Russian Bear awoke.. Once again our wise leaders misread the entrails and are now blustering to stop us thinking they really are the fools we know them to be!
Posted by flipped | 18.08.08, 11:01 GMT
Excellent article. NATO did lose its purpose when the Cold War ended, the Soviet Union broke up and the Berlin Wall came down.
Posted by David H | 18.08.08, 08:59 GMT
108 Comments