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Terence Blacker: Science must never be political or emotional

At about the same time as a dastardly hacker was stealing the email archive of the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit, a senior member of the same faculty was addressing a group of villagers in south Norfolk. The professor's themes were energy and climate change, matters of particular interest in a part of rural East Anglia which could become an industrialised hub of renewable energy, and the point of the meeting was to bring scientific fact to bear on what had become an emotive subject.

The claim turned out to be only partially true. As in the famous emails, the concept of scientific fact in the area of global warming turned out to be surprisingly flexible and subjective. In the village hall, the eminent academic spoke convincingly about the plight of the planet and had some boldly pro-active suggestions about how we all needed to change our lives in order to conserve energy.

Somewhere along the line, though, science morphed into something very different – something political and emotion-based. We needed to give a lead to developing countries, the professor said. It was important to be able to offer our children and grandchildren a life worth living. As a general rule, communities should take it as a matter of pride to have wind turbines in their midst; these structures were important as symbols of commitment to the future. It was powerful stuff. Only later did its irrelevance to any scientific discourse begin to niggle.

There is nothing wrong with emotive subjects being addressed in a speech by an academic, but when those arguments are flying under the colours of serious, objective research, then something intellectually dishonest – or at least self-deluded – is going on.

A similar mindset has gripped the academics whose email correspondence, if it is as genuine as it seems to be, has been revealed to the world. So passionately do the scientists believe that they are right that, perhaps without noticing, their area of research became a cause. Those who disagreed with them became the enemy, to be characterised as "idiots", "ideologues", "contrarian scientists". In one email, an academic is reassured that the committee which he would be attending is "solid" except for a "token skeptic" who would be kept in check by the majority.

In a sense, this kind of knockabout stuff is all part of academic life. It is a weird fact of scholarly life that the more elevated the area of research, the lower the tactics of those involved. A university is a bitchy, rivalrous place.

Yet there are differences here. In the matter of climate change, every scientific paper is a potential weapon in the public arena. The specialists are in a position of unimaginable influence, and some of them have had their heads turned by this new, public power. The idea has developed that their role is less to discover the truth then to spread the word, to engage politicians and the business community, to convince the public. If the hacked emails are to be believed, compromises have been made by those caught up in this great campaign; often their correspondence reads more like the work of activists than academics. There is a distinct suggestion that the research can only – will only – go in one direction.

Politicians and action groups work this way, selecting favourable data, ignoring inconvenient evidence, playing PR games in the presentation of arguments. It really matters if researchers and scientists, whose careers and reputations are based on intellectual integrity, begin to put the end before the means, the argument before the truth.

Elton: a natural born Aussie

The news that Ben Elton is emigrating to Australia was apparently an invention by Britain's right-wing press. He has recently revealed that, when he spoke of acquiring Australian citizenship on a chat-show and added that his family would be based in Australia, he meant that he would be dividing his time between London and Fremantle.

It is a shame because, in a way, Elton has the perfect persona for a happy life in Australia. He is amusingly chippy about the old country. "I've made a f***ing contribution," he told the Sydney Morning Herald, addressing the question of his nationality. "I co-wrote Blackadder and co-wrote The Young Ones. I've had 12 top-10 novels. I've done my f***ing bit."

His view of the royal family – "a sad little old lady" and "a mad old bigot", whose oldest son is a "disillusioned ex-hippy" – also pretty much accords to the standard Australian view, although those remarks, too, have been the subject of a correction. They were taken out of context, he now says.

Elton's latest target is, perhaps predictably, the internet. It is now impossible (I paraphrase the original Elton version) to go to the lavatory without a photograph of the event appearing on Facebook. This complaint about "the death of privacy" was expressed to a journalist during a publicity tour.

Slightly bitter, very confused: Australian life seems to suit Ben Elton.

Beware of Coca-Cola jingle buskers

London's underground stations lost a certain charm when some fat controller in middle management decreed that anyone playing music on the Tube would need to be licensed and to be playing at an agreed place. The result might be slightly more tuneful but represented a defeat for the joyful anarchy that used to be part of music played in the wild.

Now the taming of the busking community is to go one step further. As part of a multi-media campaign, Coca-Cola are to "incentivise" buskers to play some ghastly jingle that their TV adverts will be churning out over the Christmas period. The idea is that this kind of viral advertising, by catching the public unawares, actually makes people feel warmly towards the brand being sold.

It is a lot to ask an impoverished musician to turn down the bribery of a cynical corporation but, for the sake of commuters and their own feelings of self-worth, let us hope that if they agree to play this song of yule-tide compromise, they will do so very, very quietly.

More from Terence Blacker

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Comments

emotional science
[info]ubergrump wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 07:37 am (UTC)
This is very well put. It is now very difficult to know what to believe about global warming. The attitude of many of the scientis is not so much "let's collect the data and see if it fits the hypothesis", more "let's collect data that WILL fit our hypothesis". This is more religion than science.It is probable that warming is taking place and quite likely that some of it is due to human activity but how can we judge properly when it is presented more as evangelism than science? Many of us who care about science and have practised it find this very depressing.
[info]jamie129 wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 07:40 am (UTC)
I think that's the way a lot of science works, and always has worked. Usually, over 40 years or so, the valid results are retained in spite of politicking against them - that's how science makes progress. The problem with climate change is that. if they are right, we can't wait for the normal scientific process to make that clear. What we need from them, then, is a much higher level of integrity than is common, and the emails suggest we aren't getting it.

In particular, if (as reported) a group suggested a campaign of not citing papers from a journal that appointed a sceptical editor, they should resign, in my opinion. That's not consistent with scientific inquiry or decent academic behaviour.
That green Ben Elton
[info]tendryakov wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 08:34 am (UTC)
Ben Elton is very committed to keeping his carbon footprint low, isn't he? That must be why he's decided to commute between Australia and Britain.
Re: That green Ben Elton
[info]rockinrog wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 12:00 pm (UTC)
Not only that, but he conveniently forgot to mention he also wrote 'Thin Blue Line' and was partly responsible for 'We Will Rock You', which rather suggests his emigration should be viewed as more of a penal exile. Which makes Australia the ideal place, of course.
Conflation and shark fodder
[info]econyonium wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 11:46 am (UTC)
Two distinct issues have been conflated - deliberately of course - an observed effect, increase in average global temperatures, and the assigning of a single physical element as the cause. Thus when it is said there is evidence of "global warming", and indeed there is 200 years worth, it is implied and insisted upon that this is evidence of the cause - this is not true and is not science. There is in fact no scientific evidence of any single cause which exclusively controls heat accumulation in the Earth's climate. The science in fact shows this to be a complex mechanism of multiple physical factors.

The fact that those who claim they are certain that a single element - CO2 - regulates climate, and claim they can predict weather in 50, 100 or even 200 years time based on this, have to resort to emotional blackmail, suppression of contradictory scientific information and ridicule and silencing of naysayer, indicates they are less certain than they claim.

Nobody likes to be wrong. Their behaviour suggests they know they are mistaken and so must resort to means outside science to protect their reputations.

The scientists should beware of getting into political waters, because these are infested by sharks - the politicians - and when it becomes clear, as it will, the science does not support the claim, they will turn on the scientists and tear them apart.
dilemma
[info]boblopard wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 02:35 pm (UTC)
The problem wth science is that it isn't perfect; there are always exceptions. Most often these exceptions point to a need to tweek the theory, but they can also be interpreted as proving the theory is wrong (which in absolute terms it is).

If you're a scientist and most of your evidence points towards a particular theory, having your whole theory discredited because it isn't perfect and that others find it inconvenient is naturally incredibly frustrating. This then leads the scientist into the trap of hiding the imperfections at the risk of being exposed as above.

The question is if they are convinced we are heading towards a disaster, as the human beings with the greatest knowledge in their area of research, should they wait until all evidence has been processed or rather raise the alarm now- better safe than sorry?

I don't believe scientists should be political about their findings, but neither can we trust politicians to understand and correctly interpret the evidence presented by the science.
[info]bemjammin wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 03:02 pm (UTC)
Brilliantly put. I cannot argue. And thats an achievement. It's UNDERSTANDABLE why scientists would resort to this, it's clearly a life or death situation and it's getting ignored. However, on principle, it's not commendable.
When will we learn...
[info]lefalcon wrote:
Wednesday, 25 November 2009 at 03:11 pm (UTC)
What is really depressing is how so many people who claim to believe in science seem to miss the point that certain sources of energy like the use of fossil fuels should not have been pursued in the first place. Sources of energy such a solar energy and wind power, which are renewable, should have been pursued instead. The reason that they were not was that, because they existed universally, such sources would have not been easily manipulated into the monopolistic capitalistic agenda. This is the reason why our generation, and those of the future, will be forced to pay the terrible price. Whether one refers to it as global warming or climate change, one only needs common sense to link todays erratic weather to man's indiscretions towards the environment. Any so called scientific, capitalist sponsored documents saying otherwise should be recycled as toilet-paper.
Emotional science
[info]sickofstupidity wrote:
Thursday, 26 November 2009 at 03:41 pm (UTC)
Thank you, Terence Blacker!

It's nice to see that at least one journalist who works for The Independent has the cajones to live up to the title of that paper, and express an independent opinion on climate change research and its hijacking by political opportunists and dogmatic environmentalists - an opinion that does not appear to be shared by many of his colleagues, sadly, who seem to have swallowed the Great Global Warming Hoax hook, line and sinker!

Well done!

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