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Leading article: Europe today. Tomorrow, America

Saturday, 26 July 2008

Hardly ever – probably never if one is to be accurate – has an American presidential candidate been treated with quite such enthusiasm in Europe as Barack Obama this week. A US president, yes. Both John F Kennedy and Ronald Reagan came and wowed them in Berlin. But Barack Obama is different. He is new. He is untried. And he is – hard though it may be remember in the cascade of hope that has accompanied his visit – still just a nominee, not the elected chief.

The point is important. It is very easy amid all this enthusiasm to think that Mr Obama is here mainly to present himself to Europe. He isn't. He is here to prove to the voters back home that he has the capacity and the charm to act as a global statesman. From the moment that he appeared as the prospective Democrat candidate, the Republicans targeted his international inexperience as his chief vulnerability, the more apparent in comparison with the worldly wisdom of their candidate John McCain.

In that sense this has been a trip aimed at countering a negative in America rather than positing a positive in Europe. Every occasion in the week has been calculated to make a point to the US voter: the visit to Iraq to show that his commitment to withdrawal is acceptable to the Iraqis and possible to the troops; to Afghanistan to display his firmness in the "war on terror"; the prolonged stay in Israel to confirm his commitment to that country as America's special friend; the flying trip to Ramallah to display his belief in Middle East peace.

And so with Europe. Some may have felt disappointment at the generalised nature of his speech at the Victory Monument in Berlin. But the truth is that this has been a calibrated affair. Berlin was chosen for his only major speech in Europe not just because of its resonance with JFK but because, to the US public, good relations with Germany has more weight than friendliness with France, of whom they remain suspicious, or Britain, whom they take for granted. So too with Mr Obama's decision to seek a meeting in Britain first with Tony Blair last night and only this morning with Gordon Brown. Tony Blair remains hugely popular in America; Mr Brown, hampered by the need to show neutrality between Mr Obama and Mr McCain, much less so.

That is no cause for disappointment. If Europeans had looked to Mr Obama's visit to open up new possibilities on the policies that most concern this region – relations with Russia, energy security, EU expansion to the east, the future of Nato and the deployment of the American missile shield – then they were bound to be let down. There are no votes on the other side of the Atlantic in these questions. Europe's hope in Mr Obama is at bottom the hope that a fresh face and a more open mind will change the way Washington approaches the world after President Bush. The proof can come, as it did with JFK, only in the decisions a new president makes in response to events.

For the moment it is sufficient to say of America's bright young politician. He came. He saw. And he has largely conquered.

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Lets see who MCain asks to be VP, I hope it will be Mr. Pretty Boy Mitt Romey a former Gov. of Massachusetts's...Lets hope he does.


He is all surface, attractive if you like a guy who looks like he is modeling a suit in a window. No substance / religious....I'm sure Romey is being held out in front of him as the guy he must pick to win.

I hope he listens to them my guess is he will....like a man drowning in a pond.

Then it will be a Democratic win. Which I'm doing all I can to make happen.

Posted by michael | 27.07.08, 14:47 GMT

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Europe today? I would say: America today and hopefully Europe tomorrow.
We have a candidate whose father was from Kenya, has Muslim connections and is being nominated as President of USA. Can Europe follow this lead? I doubt it. Of course there are cosmetic appointments here and there, but nothing significant is given away. France has some claim to this fairness. I hope in my life time, I see a non white leader in Europe also.

Posted by SharifL | 27.07.08, 08:56 GMT

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The thing about Obama is that 90% of US black voters are supporting him. They expect him to create change for the blacks, which means jobs, not for the rest of the world. So don't get your hopes up.

Posted by Mary | 27.07.08, 04:52 GMT

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UK readers, please do not believe what either of the negative posters above have said. Obama is very popular in the US. What's more, republicans are extremely unpopular. the result of these two factors is that Obama is, at least for now, the heavy favorite to win.

A couple of side notes:
Obama's wife did not say she was not proud of her country. She said that this was the first time she felt truly proud of her country - which coming from a country that held her people as slaves for over a century and is still coming to terms with this legacy, is not that unsurprising. This is the first time that a black candidate has been treated as a person first and a black second.

Obama does not associate with terrorists.

Obama did not go to a racist, black seperatist church. He went to the church that most of his constituents did. This church happened to have an old preacher who is bitter and uses bitter rhetoric to demagogic ends. Bad preacher. Not Obama's issue.

Posted by Liam Shannon | 26.07.08, 15:02 GMT

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Obviously Obama was playing to the home crowd. Nevertheless, he is odds-on favourite, and all of Europe is desperate for the USA, which is still, by a mile, the world's leading nation, to elect someone with a brain.

Obama very obviously has brains to spare. (So does Hilary, for all her divisiveness.)

McCain sings Bomb Iran to the Beach Boys' Barbara Ann, and doesn't know that Iraq and Pakistan don't have a border.

God help the planet if McCain wins.

Posted by Bobby | 26.07.08, 11:23 GMT

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Write this down: Senator John McCain will win in a LANDSLIDE come November, and all the pixie dust, crossed fingers, wishes and dreams in the world will not change that fact. America is ready for a black president, but not one that went to a racist, black separatist church for 20 years, who's wife isn't proud of her country, who left the Illinois statehouse just over 2 years ago and who associates with terrorists. The first black president of the United States will most likely be a republican, but this year is McCain's.

Posted by Alan Srout | 26.07.08, 10:46 GMT

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Obama is not winning emough votes in America to win the election. (20% are undecided and probably for McCain, but want to avoid being call racist.) Many Americans are against "globalization" and pulling down the "walls" that protect us from being inundated by the over-populated jobless of Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The Arabs will not share their oil, Americans should not share are bountiful food surpluses, etc. Obama promised the unemployed rust belt states, a return to protectionism. He pandered. America is ready to return to traditional protectionism and isolationism, unlike EU elistists. Americans are not going to buy into Obams's one world policy.

Posted by newenglander | 26.07.08, 05:30 GMT

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The good cop or the bad cop, whom should we trust?

Posted by Mack | 26.07.08, 04:55 GMT

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