Leading article: Farewell to the prudence that once made New Labour electable
Saturday, 19 July 2008
The Government is planning to ditch the rules that have governed Labour's stewardship of the economy for the past 11 years. New rules, to be announced in the autumn, will allow the Government to borrow and spend its way out of its present difficulties. Now you can argue that too much store is set by strict compliance with rules and that New Labour, as it then was, offered a hostage to fortune when it committed itself to rigid principles for running a sound economy. You can also argue that, as chancellor, Gordon Brown was less scrupulous in observing the rules than he was cracked up to be. What is missed here, however, is the political imperative.
In the 1990s, Labour needed to inspire public confidence. It had to demonstrate to the voters, and especially to business, that it could be trusted on the economy. This is why it pledged itself to rules on spending and borrowing before the 1997 election and why Mr Brown's first act as chancellor was to make the Bank of England independent. This is also why any plan to rewrite the rules is so devastating. It drives a coach and horses through Labour's very own undertakings on sound economic management.
For Labour to wrest from the Conservatives the laurels of being most trusted on the economy was not only a precondition for Tony Blair's first election victory, it was also a considerable feat. And it was a feat Labour kept up for more than a decade. Indeed, the perception of economic success was one reason why Mr Blair managed to win a third election victory, despite being weighed down by the problems of Iraq.
If the rules are now to be changed, that is another way of saying that the old rules, the rules introduced to show how responsible a Labour government could be, would otherwise be flouted. If, as it appears, the changes will loosen restrictions on borrowing, then the reputation for sound money that Mr Brown built as chancellor is compromised. Such a move would also amount to an admission that the state of the economy is as bad, if not worse, than feared.
Mr Brown and Alistair Darling between them have made much of the ill winds from abroad that are creating the current uncertain climate. And there is some truth in what they say. In the timing of his transfer from the Treasury to No 10 – as in so much else – Mr Brown has been unlucky. The US mortgage crisis, escalating world fuel and food prices all descended on Britain just as Tony Blair elevated himself into elder statesmanship.
At the same time, however, Gordon Brown's reputation for sound, even brilliant, economic stewardship looks increasingly overblown. In many ways, he was as blessed as Mr Darling is cursed now by the global conditions beyond one government's control. He also benefited consistently from higher government receipts than anticipated. Even so, he was not above a little rule-bending, rewriting his golden rule about keeping spending and borrowing in equilibrium by simple dint of "correcting" the timing of the economic cycle.
And the Government was always selective in the indicators it used to define its success. It cited growth, borrowing and (official) unemployment, rather than productivity, manufacturing, exports or training – areas in which Britain's performance consistently lagged behind that of other EU countries. The extent to which Britain's boom relied on cheap credit and high house prices was also underplayed, yet these are both major factors in our present discomfort.
Now, it seems, the Government wants to change the yardstick by which it measured – and asked the voters to measure – its competence. What an epitaph for Mr Brown's brand of prudence.




always like this with labour
Posted by terry sullivan | 20.07.08, 02:53 GMT
Brown has faithfully nailed his colours to the free market. Those who live by the free market will die by it. I was raised in a staunchly Labour family,born in 1940. The new Labour project was intended to destroy Democratic Socialism and they have taken the Party to the Right so that it is indistinguishable from the Tories.Strangely Cameron has become popular by claiming to be progressive and liberal. We shall see the truth if he is elected . The Tories will never change. They are the same party who devastated the manufacturing base of the UK and reinvented mass unemployment as a tool of policy. New Labour have facilitated their revival. I stopped voting for the Party I loved when the tea lady was killed in a Belgrade bombing. Brown will lose and deserve to lose because they have no philosophical base as a party any more.
Posted by stevem | 19.07.08, 15:55 GMT
Should have known when he called it a golden rule
We all know he doesn't value gold very highly otherwise why sell it so cheap!
Makes them up as he goes along remember the 5 tests.
The only thing we have to worry about is damage limitation,
hopefully the other parties have taken note on what not to do!
Posted by roger b | 19.07.08, 09:57 GMT
Labour were elected in 1997 on the premise that they would not 'tax and spend'. It was this tendency that made them unelectable for many years. The last two elections were secured despite the fact that they have taxed and spent because the taxation was through 'stealth' and went unnoticed until now!
NU labour only really existed between 1997 - 1999 after which the socialist policies of the past were reintroduced by the back door. Labour have failed to grasp the reality that Thatcher understood which is that we are in competion with the rest of the world who will undercut us if we over tax our economy.
The reality now is that labour are about to be educated in the law of diminishing returns ie the higher the rate of tax, the less money firms make and consequently the actual revenue decreases.
In short, Labour are stuffed! it will be a generation before they get another chance. Socialism does not work, never has, never will!
Posted by Jason McGarry | 19.07.08, 09:40 GMT
You use the word "reputation": was the reputation warranted or was it a propaganda ploy used by labour to take Tory ground. When a detailed realistic analysis of Broon is done, I feel sure that his stewardship was more by luck of the ongoing circumstances and that his influencing factors were the worst aspects of the era.
I point mainly to the housing sector, his lack of any controls and positive encouragement of this sector, has caused the housing price explosion with all the economic and the vastly underplayed social consequences. Broon took from the u.k. taxpayers the money that Labour squandered in vast quantities, he will be remembered but fro the wrong reasons.
Posted by PeteS | 19.07.08, 09:24 GMT
Why has the massive public overspending taken place in Labour's second term? Could it be that they were attempting to bribe their way to a third term? No, perish the thought, that would smack of the mis-use of public money, wouldn't it?
More seriously, let's just accept now that nothing is beyond this goup of incompetents as their flagship 'Prudence' sinks, the rats are showing their true natures. To quote the great, Neil Young, try taking your kids on a holiday to France. and you will soon find out the 'damage already done'.
Posted by Peter Cheeves | 19.07.08, 08:38 GMT
It always comes down to seven fat cows and seven lean cows (Genesis 41)
Posted by TomTom | 19.07.08, 07:50 GMT
Clearly labour didn't put anything away during the good times, money and fools are easily parted.
Posted by nigel | 19.07.08, 02:55 GMT
Let's face it, it was always going to end up like this. Only delusional socialists and looney liberals thought or still think different. It's now pay back time and it's gonna be very painful...
Posted by jon | 19.07.08, 01:40 GMT
Prudence was never Gordy's strong suit, nor is he gifted in understanding the public mood.
His sins are well chronicled, all in the pursuit of an out of date socialist dogma.
Gordy should hand in the badge of office now and get a proper job...as a preacher to the diminishing faithful.
Posted by Aztec | 19.07.08, 00:56 GMT