Leading article: Hungary is the next test for the EU

News in pictures
News in pictures
Opinion blogs

Paul Volcker stands tall against the banking lobby

Why is Europe, which likes to present itself as an opponent of speculative "Anglo-Saxon" finance, li...

“Not growing inequality”

What do we want? “A fairer sharing of rewards not growing inequality.” Well said, Ed Mil...

A defence of competition in health care

Just when you thought he was six feet under and all forgotten, Andrew Lansley comes bouncing back up...

The international financial whirlpool has sucked in its first member of the European family. Earlier this month, foreign investors began to dump Hungarian assets on a huge scale. This sudden withdrawal of capital had a disastrous effect. The value of the Hungarian forint plunged on international exchanges and the market for government bonds dried up.

Now the International Monetary Fund has stepped in. The rescue package will formally come from the IMF, but a big contribution will be paid for by the European Union. This is as it should be. If the EU is not at the forefront of bailing out its members when financial calamity strikes, it is difficult to see the point of the union.

In fact, this rescue is part of a broader test for the EU. After a hesitant start, its leaders responded to the near breakdown of the international payments system this month with reasonable competence. Recapitalising the private banks and guaranteeing lending between them was the right thing to do. But now the EU must deal with a crisis in confidence in the economies of some of its smaller member states. Hungary could be the first of several nations to face such a crisis. Romanian bonds have been downgraded and the Baltic nations are looking vulnerable.

The IMF will take the lead in devising the terms of any rescue packages, but the EU will have a big role to play too. A boost in fiscal transfers through development budgets and an easing of its budget deficit rules are likely to be necessary. An interest rate cut by the European Central Bank should obviously be considered as well. The central challenge, in the immediate term, is to stop member states going to the wall. But in the longer term, the EU needs to demand that members rebalance their economies and become less reliant on debt to finance growth.

It is encouraging that Europe's leaders are in close contact. Gordon Brown met the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy, yesterday. And Mr Brown will meet Germany's Chancellor, Angela Merkel, tomorrow. EU leaders are also due to meet next Friday at a special summit. But talking is one thing. The real test will be whether they can provide decisive leadership and steer the EU safely through these turbulent waters.

Independent Comment
blog comments powered by Disqus
Career Services

Day In a Page

No secularism please, we're British

No secularism please, we're British

Arguments about the role of religion in national life have recently acquired a new urgency
Harold Tillman: 'Chinese tourists can save the high street – if we let them'

Harold Tillman interview

'Chinese tourists can save the high street – if we let them'
Working as a jail torturer ruined my life

Working as a jail torturer ruined my life

Meet the former soldier who has joined the political prisoners he tortured in Turkey's Mamak prison by suing the generals who led a regime of terror
The local high street jet shop

The local high street jet shop

Got a spare $50m and can't stand the queues at Heathrow? Get yourself down to London's first private plane dealership
Do you like your doctor? It could be the death of you

Do you like your doctor?

It could be the death of you...
The mysterious affair of how Agatha Christie is teaching foreigners English

How Agatha Christie is teaching foreigners English

Twenty of the author's novels have been adapted and presented with learning notes and a CD
Six Grammys, five years off: Adele puts love before career

Six Grammys, five years off

Adele puts love before career
The 10 Best binoculars

The 10 Best binoculars

From no-frills to bins with digital cameras
Milan for £300

Milan for £300?

A cultural family holiday - on a budget - to Italy's most stylish city
'Black-hole' resorts: Turn up, tune out, log off

'Black-hole' resorts

Turn up, tune out, log off
New Arsenal face an old question of credibility in San Siro

New Arsenal face an old question of credibility in San Siro

Remodelled since winning in Milan in 2008, for all their consistency – and prize-money – Wenger's side are yet to claim a European title
James Lawton: This prodigal son deserves no forgiveness

James Lawton: This prodigal son deserves no forgiveness

City would be putting their desire to win title ahead of morals if Tevez plays for them
Mark Cavendish: Is Olympic gold at end of the rainbow?

Mark Cavendish interview

Is Olympic gold at end of the rainbow?
Apple admits it has a human rights problem

Apple admits it has a human rights problem

After years of complaints and workers' suicides in China the technology giant faces up to the human cost of its gadgets
Peter Moore: 'I feel guilty I'm the only one alive'

Peter Moore interview

'I feel guilty I'm the only one alive'